inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)
Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Oklahoma City Thunder 121 Excitement10.4 [59] MVPShai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +108.6%
Washington Wizards 120 Comeback8.6 [112] LVPDeni Avdija (WAS): -15.8%


Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander1.090,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.33,0.37,1.090.230.880.032269%1.132-0.051771%-0.04
Luguentz Dort0.160,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.040.10-0.011259%0.202-0.05333%-0.05
Lindy Waters III0.100,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.10.060.04-0.01764%0.1000.0000%0.00
Kenrich Williams0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.09,0.090.030.06-0.01675%0.222-0.1300%0.00
Aaron Wiggins0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.060.020.01487%0.0800.0000%0.00
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.040.00-0.00380%0.071-0.02475%-0.00
Aleksej Pokusevski0.020,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.06-0.020.034100%0.061-0.0400%0.00
Josh Giddey-0.030,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,0,0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.02-0.000.001150%0.082-0.1100%0.00
Jaylin Williams-0.040,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.010.0010%-0.021-0.0200%0.00
Jalen Williams-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,0,-0.05,-0.08,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,0.09,0.09,-0.05-0.050.00-0.011145%0.063-0.1000%0.00
Mike Muscala-0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.02-0.03-0.00050%0.001-0.05250%-0.01

Washington Wizards
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Bradley Beal0,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.40.400.100.310.021958%0.531-0.145100%0.07
Rui Hachimura0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.190.190.130.06-0.00887%0.1900.0000%0.00
Kyle Kuzma0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.120.12-0.050.16-0.011558%0.267-0.141100%0.01
Kristaps Porzingis0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.21,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.10.100.15-0.030.021569%0.162-0.06978%-0.06
Monte Morris0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.090.090.090.010.01779%0.0900.0000%0.00
Daniel Gafford0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.000.001100%0.0200.0000%0.00
Jordan Goodwin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.040.03-0.02367%0.083-0.0800%0.00
Will Barton0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.01-0.03-0.00550%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Corey Kispert0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.05-0.01-0.02333%-0.022-0.0200%0.00
Deni Avdija0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,0,-0.16-0.16-0.04-0.110.011055%0.144-0.302100%0.02
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game24.11.825.615.325.71.841.2135.5
league avg25.82.328.215.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)
victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
OKC +68.1%
WAS -14.6%
WAS -20.2%
OKC +18.1%
WAS -1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsOKCWASNBAOKCWASNBA
this game13.315.114.4119.8117.6113.4
season13.714.8113.5113.4
opponent14.214.5114.6112.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
OKC14.314.511.512.913.3
WAS13.316.817.313.315.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Lindy Waters III56571.47-0.972.450.5332-316312.714.0-1.2915.814.21.65
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander74740.80-0.301.100.549-81713.113.9-0.7715.015.2-0.19
Kenrich Williams54550.80-0.301.100.3316-153112.514.1-1.6115.614.41.21
Luguentz Dort72720.430.070.360.55-45-913.612.60.9814.416.6-2.16
Josh Giddey43450.050.45-0.400.73-2324-4714.312.51.8513.916.0-2.05
Mike Muscala2325-0.000.50-0.51-0.093-2511.913.7-1.7814.015.4-1.43
Jaylin Williams1211-0.060.56-0.610.00-23-515.513.02.5117.514.82.77
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl2725-0.070.57-0.64-0.0701-114.612.81.7316.814.52.28
Aaron Wiggins5857-0.190.69-0.89-0.05-56-1113.213.4-0.1915.015.2-0.26
Jalen Williams5760-0.200.70-0.90-0.2001-112.614.2-1.6715.314.80.50
Aleksej Pokusevski2929-0.531.03-1.570.08-2122-4314.612.71.8714.415.4-0.98

Washington Wizards
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kristaps Porzingis76760.47-0.971.440.0016-173315.115.10.0013.712.01.71
Monte Morris55570.27-0.771.05-0.4324-254914.515.7-1.1614.611.63.05
Daniel Gafford1213-0.25-0.25-0.010.16-1413-2715.215.10.1012.513.4-0.86
Bradley Beal7978-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.5710-112114.815.9-1.0813.412.70.71
Will Barton3533-0.33-0.17-0.150.17-1716-3317.413.93.5811.514.1-2.59
Kyle Kuzma8282-0.33-0.17-0.17-0.7113-142714.716.5-1.7713.711.62.10
Jordan Goodwin4443-0.43-0.07-0.370.01-1514-2914.015.9-1.9012.913.6-0.74
Corey Kispert2524-0.45-0.05-0.410.13-2019-3916.714.62.1210.314.2-3.93
Deni Avdija6363-0.520.02-0.54-0.551-2315.015.1-0.0813.612.80.76
Rui Hachimura3936-0.640.14-0.79-0.56-32-515.215.00.1212.913.5-0.58


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.5,0.61,0.6,0.64,0.66,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.76,0.66,0.6,0.55,0.51,0.58,0.63,0.72,0.81,0.8,0.75,0.8,0.89,0.84,0.81,0.82,0.79,0.76,0.76,0.68,0.68,0.52,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.52,0.57,0.48,0.53,0.41,0.59,0.46,0.61,0.63,0.32,0.27,0
GameSimilarity Score
SAC 103, IND 980.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.29,0.33,0.67,0.45,0.09,0.08,089.8%
DET 114, TOR 1110.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.67,0.66,0.71,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.75,0.77,0.74,0.8,0.75,0.71,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.82,0.79,0.77,0.78,0.67,0.61,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.69,0.65,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.55,0.27,089.6%
IND 81, NOH 750.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.57,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.61,0.55,0.63,0.63,0.64,0.65,0.7,0.66,0.77,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.84,0.91,0.9,0.92,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.9,0.85,0.78,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.56,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.62,0.62,0.58,0.58,0.41,0.41,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.32,0.16,089.6%