NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	103		Excitement	8.7 [158]		MVP	Mike Bibby (SAC): +16.0%
Indiana Pacers	98		Comeback	5.4 [279]		LVP	Brad Miller (IND): -20.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Bibby	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.15,0.16	0.03	0.13	0.00	13	57%	0.19	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.03
Peja Stojakovic	0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.04	0.02	15	68%	0.18	3	-0.10	8	100%	0.03
Hedo Turkoglu	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	4	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.03
Keon Clark	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	50%	-0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Scot Pollard	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	7	54%	-0.06	1	-0.02	10	70%	-0.04
Vlade Divac	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	3	25%	-0.05	2	-0.06	2	0%	-0.04
Bobby Jackson	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13	-0.01	-0.12	0.00	11	45%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Doug Christie	-0.13	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13	-0.12	-0.03	-0.02	6	31%	-0.06	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.00
Chris Webber	-0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.13,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.21,-0.21,-0.28,-0.28,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.18,-0.29,-0.29,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.20	-0.01	-0.04	23	38%	-0.09	3	-0.08	12	67%	0.00

Indiana Pacers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jermaine O'Neal	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03	0.03	0.09	-0.04	0.03	13	71%	0.13	1	-0.10	8	62%	0.00
Jonathan Bender	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.00	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Jamaal Tinsley	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.02	5	42%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Reggie Miller	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	-0.03	17	42%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Jeff Foster	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tim Hardaway	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Erick Strickland	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	7	31%	0.02	1	-0.12	2	50%	-0.01
Metta World Peace	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13	-0.13	-0.05	-0.06	0.01	18	50%	-0.02	2	-0.11	10	70%	-0.03
Al Harrington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.1,-0.09,-0.12,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.12	-0.04	-0.03	10	42%	-0.02	4	-0.12	4	50%	-0.02
Brad Miller	0,0,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.21	-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	14	33%	-0.11	2	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.5	2.5	28.5	16.7	28.2	2.4	40.5	140.2
league avg	46.1	2.3	28.0	14.7	24.5	2.3	29.9	149.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

IND -7.6%

SAC +8.3%

SAC +40.0%

SAC +13.0%

IND -3.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	IND	NBA	SAC	IND	NBA
this game	12.7	14.8	15.5	99.0	93.3	101.6
season	14.0	15.4		104.4	102.2
opponent	15.5	15.7		99.2	98.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	13.9	13.7	12.5	11.0	12.7
IND	14.3	14.5	16.2	14.4	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Scot Pollard	55	55	0.80	-0.30	1.09	0.27	18	-13	31	12.7	12.8	-0.12	16.7	12.8	3.81
Mike Bibby	86	86	0.76	-0.26	1.01	0.43	11	-6	17	12.3	14.7	-2.36	14.3	17.3	-2.96
Chris Webber	81	82	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.44	6	-1	7	12.5	13.3	-0.76	14.5	16.0	-1.54
Peja Stojakovic	89	89	0.54	-0.04	0.59	0.37	6	-1	7	12.4	14.4	-1.97	14.7	15.6	-0.85
Bobby Jackson	52	51	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.33	3	2	1	11.8	13.6	-1.73	15.0	14.6	0.39
Doug Christie	67	69	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.10	-3	8	-11	13.2	11.9	1.27	14.1	16.2	-2.15
Keon Clark	25	25	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.04	-5	10	-15	13.9	12.3	1.54	15.8	14.5	1.21
Vlade Divac	42	43	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	-0.02	-7	12	-19	13.7	12.0	1.64	13.8	15.5	-1.70
Hedo Turkoglu	23	25	-0.23	0.73	-0.95	-0.11	-4	9	-13	13.7	12.4	1.21	16.7	14.3	2.42

Indiana Pacers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jonathan Bender	26	26	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.13	2	-7	9	17.1	14.1	2.98	12.4	12.8	-0.44
Jamaal Tinsley	54	52	0.17	-0.67	0.83	-0.04	7	-12	19	14.9	14.7	0.22	13.4	12.0	1.42
Jeff Foster	4	5	-0.05	-0.45	0.41	0.04	-3	-2	-1	22.2	14.5	7.71	6.8	13.0	-6.21
Jermaine O'Neal	88	87	-0.11	-0.39	0.28	-0.38	9	-14	23	14.3	17.5	-3.21	12.7	12.9	-0.20
Tim Hardaway	24	25	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.04	-3	-2	-1	13.1	15.4	-2.27	10.6	13.4	-2.78
Al Harrington	55	54	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.07	-11	6	-17	16.3	13.2	3.09	12.6	12.8	-0.13
Brad Miller	69	69	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.26	-5	0	-5	14.4	15.6	-1.13	13.9	10.3	3.66
Metta World Peace	88	86	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.41	-1	-4	3	14.6	16.1	-1.46	12.9	11.9	0.93
Erick Strickland	52	52	-0.62	0.12	-0.74	-0.27	-12	7	-19	14.7	15.0	-0.33	12.0	13.4	-1.42
Reggie Miller	65	64	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.47	-8	3	-11	14.4	15.6	-1.23	12.7	12.7	-0.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.67,0.66,0.65,0.68,0.68,0.69,0.65,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.75,0.8,0.75,0.74,0.66,0.73,0.7,0.73,0.74,0.65,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.44,0.5,0.38,0.52,0.48,0.47,0.55,0.29,0.33,0.67,0.45,0.09,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 79, BOS 74	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.57,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.6,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.64,0.64,0.69,0.69,0.75,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.69,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.63,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.43,0.38,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.34,0.27,0.31,0.36,0.09,0.04,0	90.5%
DEN 101, MIN 94	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.55,0.51,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.66,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.6,0.63,0.73,0.78,0.74,0.83,0.82,0.86,0.83,0.79,0.69,0.67,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.48,0.56,0.66,0.52,0.38,0.62,0.47,0.53,0.29,0.33,0.45,0.15,0.1,0.01,0	90.5%
MIL 87, LAC 78	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.75,0.69,0.76,0.66,0.68,0.66,0.67,0.77,0.78,0.84,0.86,0.84,0.78,0.73,0.64,0.62,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.5,0.52,0.47,0.58,0.53,0.36,0.24,0.27,0.39,0.29,0.22,0,0	90.4%