NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	101		Excitement	8.8 [202]		MVP	Stephen Curry (GSW): +63.5%
Golden State Warriors	106		Comeback	10.5 [195]		LVP	Cedi Osman (CLE): -11.3%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Caris LeVert	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.01	0.17	-0.00	11	46%	0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Evan Mobley	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16	0.02	0.12	-0.03	15	57%	0.23	3	-0.07	5	80%	0.03
Donovan Mitchell	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,0.05,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.09	0.08	0.03	0.03	20	63%	0.16	3	-0.07	6	100%	0.05
Jarrett Allen	0.02	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02	0.04	-0.02	0.01	8	72%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.09
Isaac Okoro	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.00	-0.00	5	31%	-0.02	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
Kevin Love	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	10	41%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.02
Darius Garland	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,-0.01,-0.05,-0.07	-0.05	-0.02	-0.00	19	36%	-0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Cedi Osman	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	4	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.13,0.07,0.3,0.63	0.63	0.27	0.37	0.01	23	77%	0.76	2	-0.13	6	67%	-0.00
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	-0.00	13	64%	0.19	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.05	0.02	13	69%	0.21	3	-0.10	3	100%	0.02
Anthony Lamb	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0	0.00	0.02	-0.02	0.00	4	78%	0.06	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.01
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.01	-0.02	5	20%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.02,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.08	0.04	-0.00	13	32%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.09	-0.01	0.00	3	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	2.6	26.7	14.6	28.6	0.6	41.7	141.0
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +99.6%

CLE -20.0%

CLE -9.0%

CLE -11.8%

CLE -8.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	GSW	NBA	CLE	GSW	NBA
this game	16.1	13.1	14.4	103.1	107.1	113.4
season	15.1	13.9		114.0	114.1
opponent	14.1	14.7		112.6	109.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	13.9	17.4	16.3	17.2	16.1
GSW	13.2	13.3	14.3	11.6	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Donovan Mitchell	76	76	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.26	7	-12	19	16.4	15.3	1.12	12.8	14.0	-1.21
Jarrett Allen	68	69	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.25	1	-6	7	15.8	16.9	-1.14	13.3	12.7	0.59
Caris LeVert	70	71	-0.28	-0.22	-0.07	-0.25	-1	-4	3	15.5	17.8	-2.30	13.0	13.4	-0.44
Evan Mobley	80	82	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.39	1	-6	7	16.1	16.5	-0.44	12.6	15.5	-2.92
Darius Garland	77	78	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.28	-3	-2	-1	14.8	20.9	-6.06	13.0	13.7	-0.71
Cedi Osman	39	39	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.12	-9	4	-13	17.8	15.1	2.74	14.4	12.3	2.06
Isaac Okoro	36	36	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.14	-9	4	-13	18.1	15.0	3.07	13.6	12.8	0.74
Kevin Love	44	44	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.07	-12	7	-19	16.7	15.7	0.94	13.2	13.0	0.21

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevon Looney	60	61	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.55	6	-1	7	12.8	13.6	-0.83	16.9	14.9	2.01
Stephen Curry	72	71	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.24	7	-2	9	12.6	14.4	-1.83	15.7	17.3	-1.64
Klay Thompson	66	64	0.43	0.07	0.35	0.34	3	2	1	12.7	13.9	-1.20	15.1	18.1	-2.98
Andrew Wiggins	75	75	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.46	-3	8	-11	13.5	11.8	1.74	16.1	16.3	-0.15
Draymond Green	70	69	0.25	0.25	0.00	0.19	2	3	-1	12.8	14.0	-1.21	15.4	17.8	-2.34
Donte DiVincenzo	29	29	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.16	3	2	1	14.0	12.8	1.21	17.8	15.4	2.34
Anthony Lamb	45	44	0.05	0.45	-0.39	-0.12	6	-1	7	13.6	12.7	0.81	18.2	14.4	3.78
Jordan Poole	69	67	0.02	0.48	-0.47	-0.04	2	3	-1	13.7	11.8	1.93	16.1	16.2	-0.03
Jonathan Kuminga	9	10	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	6	-7	12.0	13.2	-1.22	12.5	16.6	-4.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.44,0.48,0.49,0.55,0.53,0.55,0.55,0.49,0.5,0.53,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.57,0.52,0.45,0.3,0.21,0.25,0.29,0.2,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.3,0.34,0.41,0.58,0.64,0.46,0.33,0.18,0.19,0.23,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
VAN 85, SEA 87	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.42,0.47,0.47,0.44,0.37,0.44,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.38,0.35,0.41,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.29,0.42,0.36,0.46,0.22,0.31,0.16,0.11,0.42,1	90.8%
NJN 103, ATL 105	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.59,0.55,0.55,0.63,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.66,0.68,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.56,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.5,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.39,0.35,0.29,0.19,0.22,0.31,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.38,0.47,0.62,0.68,0.64,0.47,0.28,0.15,0.04,0.15,0.18,1	90.1%
SAS 85, SEA 88	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.44,0.38,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.48,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.52,0.54,0.46,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.3,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.21,0.24,0.29,0.28,0.38,0.48,0.43,0.57,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.27,0.25,0.46,0.32,0.58,1	90.1%