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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Milwaukee Bucks 136 Excitement14.6 [3] MVPShai Gilgeous-Alexander (OKC): +51.3%
Oklahoma City Thunder 132 Comeback5.2 [299] LVPJevon Carter (MIL): -28.8%


Milwaukee Bucks
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brook Lopez0.500,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.41,0.41,0.41,0.51,0.51,0.50.030.47-0.002350%0.531-0.03250%-0.24
MarJon Beauchamp0.180,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.180.100.06-0.011373%0.242-0.0600%0.00
George Hill0.160,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.160.050.11-0.00667%0.251-0.09683%0.03
Bobby Portis0.140,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.07,0.15,0.14-0.030.16-0.001246%0.192-0.054100%0.02
Serge Ibaka0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.030.002100%0.081-0.0300%0.00
Sandro Mamukelashvili-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Grayson Allen-0.040,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.040.09-0.100.03882%0.183-0.226100%0.05
Wesley Matthews-0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.060.01-0.07-0.00462%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Jordan Nwora-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.03-0.02925%-0.0700.002100%0.01
Jevon Carter-0.290,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.19,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.15,-0.26,-0.26,-0.290.11-0.380.022764%0.065-0.35250%-0.01

Oklahoma City Thunder
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander0,0,0.02,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.72,0.72,0.65,0.57,0.47,0.510.510.130.420.042562%0.674-0.161385%0.06
Tre Mann0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.31,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.060.060.09-0.04-0.001666%0.152-0.0900%0.00
Josh Giddey0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.060.011945%0.101-0.0520%-0.02
Isaiah Joe0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.020.00-0.00275%0.0300.0000%0.00
Jalen Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.05-0.020.00664%0.0300.002100%0.01
Darius Bazley00.000.000.000.0000%0.0000.0000%0.00
Aaron Wiggins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.00-0.0010%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Kenrich Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.00250%-0.001-0.0200%0.00
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.05-0.04-0.01-0.01642%0.032-0.0800%0.00
Mike Muscala0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.00933%-0.051-0.0200%0.00
Luguentz Dort0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14-0.14-0.00-0.130.001443%-0.1400.0000%0.00
Aleksej Pokusevski0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.03,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19-0.190.08-0.240.031171%-0.152-0.04250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1 OT2Total
this game27.01.829.013.022.41.039.01.813.71.821.4171.9
league avg25.82.328.215.028.22.332.42.315.02.315.0135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIL +31.4%
MIL +41.6%
MIL +0.6%
OKC -40.4%
MIL +16.9%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMILOKCNBAMILOKCNBA
this game15.713.814.4117.2110.0113.4
season14.013.7113.8113.5
opponent14.514.2112.8111.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
MIL14.516.317.215.214.715.7
OKC14.314.412.213.612.513.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Milwaukee Bucks
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Bobby Portis70701.22-0.721.941.046-2815.815.60.2213.913.70.18
MarJon Beauchamp59611.06-0.561.630.6514-102415.815.60.2315.012.62.46
Brook Lopez93920.70-0.200.890.4010-61615.416.8-1.4114.312.32.01
Grayson Allen72760.250.250.00-0.0410-61614.817.2-2.3513.015.2-2.18
Serge Ibaka23280.150.35-0.210.23-37-1016.815.41.4111.914.4-2.47
Sandro Mamukelashvili11120.050.45-0.41-0.0122014.415.8-1.4716.613.53.06
Jevon Carter9093-0.100.60-0.69-0.1931215.915.10.7514.013.20.78
George Hill7373-0.170.67-0.85-0.03-59-1415.516.1-0.6313.514.4-0.88
Wesley Matthews5561-0.250.75-1.00-0.16-37-1015.615.8-0.1913.614.0-0.41
Jordan Nwora3434-0.400.90-1.300.01-1418-3217.914.83.0513.214.1-0.82

Oklahoma City Thunder
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander97910.18-0.680.860.064-81213.614.6-0.9715.915.10.74
Aaron Wiggins11110.15-0.650.80-0.057-111815.013.71.2919.715.34.45
Darius Bazley770.11-0.610.72-0.045-91414.913.81.1017.615.61.99
Mike Muscala38370.05-0.550.600.11-2-2011.914.7-2.8615.215.9-0.71
Isaiah Joe890.02-0.520.54-0.011-5617.113.63.5415.815.70.09
Luguentz Dort8580-0.07-0.430.37-0.101-5613.714.0-0.2915.516.1-0.60
Jalen Williams4545-0.29-0.21-0.07-0.17-40-414.113.60.4916.015.50.53
Josh Giddey9291-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.08-84-1213.813.9-0.1415.217.4-2.22
Tre Mann6970-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.454-81214.612.81.7816.314.81.55
Kenrich Williams3835-0.41-0.10-0.31-0.05-128-2012.414.5-2.1314.716.1-1.37
Jeremiah Robinson-Earl2827-0.570.07-0.64-0.31-95-1413.813.8-0.0515.315.8-0.57
Aleksej Pokusevski8379-1.120.62-1.74-0.80-117-1814.212.91.2715.316.6-1.28


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.43,0.41,0.44,0.41,0.49,0.43,0.43,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.58,0.58,0.55,0.56,0.58,0.65,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.61,0.54,0.5,0.48,0.54,0.45,0.3,0.36,0.38,0.38,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.64,0.62,0.49,0.57,0.38,0.28,0.17,0.2,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.06,0.19,0.46,0.39,0.28,0.43,0.77,0.54,0.46,0.55,0.33,0.04,0
GameSimilarity Score
NOP 117, SAC 1150.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.36,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.35,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.58,0.65,0.67,0.68,0.63,0.61,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.42,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.48,0.32,0.44,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.66,0.48,0.37,0.36,0.27,0.1,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.05,087.5%
LAC 103, NJN 960.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.43,0.4,0.51,0.44,0.54,0.49,0.56,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.46,0.5,0.52,0.42,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.44,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.57,0.52,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.19,0.1,0.11,0.06,0.09,0.05,086.9%
ORL 87, BOS 830.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.44,0.44,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.59,0.63,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.49,0.52,0.46,0.39,0.52,0.58,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.48,0.6,0.46,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.42,0.26,0.24,0.13,0.19,0.1,0.1,0.27,086.8%