NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Golden State Warriors	129		Excitement	10.1 [80]		MVP	Jalen Suggs (ORL): +64.3%
Orlando Magic	130		Comeback	12.3 [35]		LVP	Jordan Poole (GSW): -13.1%

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Stephen Curry	0.64	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.18,0.16,0.2,0.18,0.23,0.21,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.22,0.22,0.17,0.19,0.27,0.27,0.47,0.64	0.24	0.39	-0.01	22	80%	0.96	5	-0.32	5	100%	0.12
Draymond Green	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.06	0.08	0.01	5	73%	0.14	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.05
Kevon Looney	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.03	11	74%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	-0.01
JaMychal Green	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.01	-0.00	5	70%	0.09	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.03	12	56%	0.10	3	-0.08	3	33%	-0.02
Ty Jerome	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0.02	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Moses Moody	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
James Wiseman	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Klay Thompson	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03	0.12	-0.16	-0.00	24	56%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.19,-0.14,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.10	-0.03	0.00	12	41%	-0.01	4	-0.13	3	67%	-0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jalen Suggs	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0,0,0.34,0.64	0.64	0.05	0.59	-0.00	17	58%	0.72	3	-0.08	11	55%	-0.00
Chuma Okeke	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.05	0.03	6	89%	0.17	0	0.00	6	83%	0.04
R.J. Hampton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	6	94%	0.23	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.04
Kevon Harris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.00	7	71%	0.10	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.02
Wendell Carter Jr.	0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	9	58%	0.08	2	-0.03	6	67%	-0.01
Bol Bol	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Houstan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	1	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Franz Wagner	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.15,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	12	66%	0.16	4	-0.18	5	80%	-0.00
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Paolo Banchero	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.16,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12	-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	17	51%	0.12	5	-0.24	9	67%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.5	1.8	29.5	15.3	30.4	2.6	37.2	147.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +22.2%

ORL +8.7%

ORL +21.5%

GSW -6.2%

ORL +3.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	GSW	ORL	NBA	GSW	ORL	NBA
this game	14.0	13.6	14.4	122.9	125.0	113.4
season	13.9	14.3		114.1	111.0
opponent	14.5	14.1		113.0	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
GSW	13.6	16.0	13.1	13.5	14.0
ORL	13.0	15.3	12.6	13.6	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevon Looney	66	64	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.22	10	-11	21	13.9	14.1	-0.25	13.9	13.1	0.71
Klay Thompson	72	72	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.47	13	-14	27	13.5	15.0	-1.50	14.6	11.3	3.24
Ty Jerome	28	29	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.23	3	-4	7	15.2	13.5	1.65	14.3	13.3	1.05
Draymond Green	62	63	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.32	5	-6	11	13.5	14.6	-1.03	15.0	11.4	3.59
James Wiseman	21	22	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	8	-17	15.0	13.7	1.29	11.8	14.1	-2.24
Stephen Curry	86	84	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	-0.35	4	-5	9	13.2	17.7	-4.53	13.6	13.4	0.23
Moses Moody	29	27	-0.24	-0.26	0.03	0.03	-9	8	-17	13.0	14.3	-1.34	11.6	14.3	-2.64
Andrew Wiggins	69	70	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.48	3	-4	7	14.6	12.8	1.77	14.0	12.8	1.22
Jordan Poole	54	53	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.23	-10	9	-19	14.4	13.5	0.86	12.3	14.9	-2.58
JaMychal Green	38	36	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.13	-15	14	-29	15.2	13.3	1.86	11.6	14.7	-3.11

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chuma Okeke	61	62	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.39	13	-12	25	12.5	15.2	-2.69	14.4	13.3	1.13
Caleb Houstan	10	10	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	-10	21	14.0	13.5	0.46	14.6	13.9	0.69
R.J. Hampton	45	46	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.20	6	-5	11	12.4	14.5	-2.01	14.4	13.6	0.82
Franz Wagner	81	80	0.37	0.13	0.24	0.31	2	-1	3	13.6	13.5	0.08	13.6	15.2	-1.56
Kevon Harris	44	46	0.35	0.15	0.20	-0.00	12	-11	23	13.2	13.9	-0.70	14.4	13.7	0.71
Jalen Suggs	77	77	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.36	-3	4	-7	14.9	10.0	4.89	13.6	15.1	-1.55
Wendell Carter Jr.	75	74	0.16	0.34	-0.17	0.22	-2	3	-5	13.6	13.4	0.19	13.0	16.2	-3.20
Bol Bol	40	40	-0.06	0.56	-0.63	0.26	-11	12	-23	14.0	13.3	0.63	14.5	13.6	0.89
Paolo Banchero	77	79	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	0.45	-19	20	-39	13.5	13.7	-0.16	14.2	13.3	0.88
Mo Bamba	10	11	-0.12	0.62	-0.74	-0.00	-4	5	-9	15.3	13.4	1.90	15.5	13.8	1.76

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.35,0.35,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.4,0.44,0.46,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.27,0.28,0.3,0.2,0.18,0.21,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.14,0.09,0.2,0.09,0.21,0.16,0.29,0.42,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.68,0.87,0.81,0.8,0.68,0.46,0.55,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIN 88, DAL 92	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.26,0.3,0.25,0.22,0.28,0.36,0.36,0.42,0.29,0.21,0.25,0.24,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.19,0.24,0.3,0.36,0.54,0.74,0.66,0.72,0.77,0.83,0.76,0.72,0.61,0.45,0.77,0.92,1	90.6%
UTA 91, MIN 93	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.49,0.42,0.4,0.32,0.3,0.4,0.31,0.38,0.27,0.23,0.32,0.22,0.25,0.23,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.15,0.26,0.21,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.38,0.53,0.69,0.71,0.67,0.64,0.55,0.57,0.73,1	90.6%
LAL 101, WAS 106	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.42,0.4,0.34,0.28,0.31,0.29,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.19,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.09,0.1,0.18,0.42,0.56,0.62,0.62,0.53,0.59,0.65,0.71,0.68,0.54,0.68,0.92,1	90.0%