NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	111		Excitement	7.5 [429]		MVP	Desmond Bane (MEM): +29.3%
Portland Trail Blazers	106		Comeback	1.3 [873]		LVP	Ja Morant (MEM): -27.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Desmond Bane	0.29	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.21,0.23,0.29	0.12	0.19	0.02	16	67%	0.33	3	-0.04	11	91%	0.01
Steven Adams	0.11	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.04	-0.01	9	67%	0.14	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.01
David Roddy	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	6	71%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Santi Aldama	0.08	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.06	0.02	-0.01	8	61%	0.08	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Dillon Brooks	0.06	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.01	7	56%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
John Konchar	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.07	-0.02	0.02	6	83%	0.07	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Clarke	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	6	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Tyus Jones	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	-0.01	6	17%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Ja Morant	-0.28	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.17,-0.19,-0.26,-0.25,-0.25,-0.28	-0.18	-0.12	-0.02	19	44%	-0.05	8	-0.23	7	86%	0.06

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0.05,0.19,0.27,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.09	0.01	21	62%	0.30	4	-0.13	8	87%	0.05
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.12	0.04	0.01	14	72%	0.23	3	-0.08	4	100%	0.02
Keon Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.03	-0.03	9	56%	0.09	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Nassir Little	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.08,-0.06	-0.06	0.02	-0.07	0.01	18	53%	0.08	4	-0.14	7	86%	0.00
Justise Winslow	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.01	-0.03	6	17%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Shaedon Sharpe	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.01	6	17%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Josh Hart	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.01	-0.01	4	38%	0.00	3	-0.07	5	60%	-0.01
Drew Eubanks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.05	-0.04	0.02	6	50%	-0.02	3	-0.09	2	50%	-0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.4	3.5	26.6	15.7	28.2	3.5	36.5	139.3
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +17.8%

POR -2.8%

MEM +11.2%

MEM +18.4%

MEM +5.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	POR	NBA	MEM	POR	NBA
this game	14.2	14.3	14.4	108.8	106.0	113.4
season	13.9	14.7		113.4	113.4
opponent	14.1	14.3		117.3	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	12.3	15.2	14.3	15.0	14.2
POR	14.9	14.8	15.7	12.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
John Konchar	46	45	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.04	13	-8	21	14.3	14.1	0.23	14.8	13.9	0.88
Desmond Bane	78	78	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.24	6	-1	7	13.6	16.0	-2.38	14.4	14.3	0.09
Ja Morant	69	68	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.28	1	4	-3	14.0	14.5	-0.46	14.1	14.8	-0.69
Santi Aldama	62	63	0.28	0.22	0.07	0.26	1	4	-3	14.1	14.3	-0.20	13.8	15.3	-1.52
Brandon Clarke	30	29	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.00	9	-4	13	13.7	14.4	-0.68	14.8	14.1	0.69
Dillon Brooks	65	63	0.25	0.25	-0.00	0.31	-2	7	-9	13.9	14.6	-0.66	14.0	14.9	-0.92
David Roddy	40	37	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.10	4	1	3	14.3	14.1	0.20	15.3	13.8	1.52
Steven Adams	70	69	0.20	0.30	-0.11	0.37	-6	11	-17	14.8	12.9	1.85	14.3	14.5	-0.26
Tyus Jones	50	48	0.14	0.36	-0.21	0.17	-1	6	-7	14.9	13.5	1.46	14.4	14.2	0.19

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jusuf Nurkic	71	71	-0.06	-0.44	0.37	-0.42	12	-17	29	14.3	14.4	-0.15	15.1	12.2	2.90
Jerami Grant	81	81	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.39	8	-13	21	13.9	16.2	-2.24	14.8	11.8	3.04
Shaedon Sharpe	51	52	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	0.01	-6	1	-7	15.1	13.6	1.47	13.7	14.7	-0.99
Anfernee Simons	83	84	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	-0.38	5	-10	15	14.1	15.5	-1.43	14.5	12.7	1.83
Nassir Little	24	25	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.01	-9	4	-13	15.8	13.9	1.96	13.8	14.3	-0.50
Drew Eubanks	22	25	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	0.04	-13	8	-21	14.5	14.3	0.15	11.4	15.1	-3.68
Keon Johnson	36	39	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.28	-3	-2	-1	13.0	15.1	-2.09	14.2	14.1	0.09
Justise Winslow	48	49	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.06	-11	6	-17	15.1	13.6	1.55	13.3	15.0	-1.75
Josh Hart	84	84	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.29	-8	3	-11	14.2	14.8	-0.56	14.2	13.8	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.3,0.36,0.45,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.39,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.3,0.37,0.37,0.28,0.33,0.33,0.32,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.29,0.13,0.26,0.08,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.25,0.45,0.32,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 102, DET 99	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.37,0.35,0.37,0.32,0.31,0.34,0.28,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.28,0.31,0.25,0.39,0.29,0.35,0.18,0.2,0.23,0.32,0.3,0.15,0.07,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.19,0.46,0.45,0.09,0	93.2%
VAN 96, HOU 92	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.29,0.19,0.3,0.42,0.34,0.4,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.35,0.29,0.31,0.31,0.23,0.29,0.13,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.05,0.04,0.09,0.13,0.38,0.37,0.31,0.28,0	92.3%
IND 82, CLE 78	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.53,0.43,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.51,0.42,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.33,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.26,0.34,0.39,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.35,0.28,0.34,0.4,0.32,0.15,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.12,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.19,0.36,0.23,0.16,0	92.2%