NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	121		Excitement	7.2 [474]		MVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): +37.0%
Philadelphia 76ers	111		Comeback	1.2 [594]		LVP	Rui Hachimura (WAS): -4.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bradley Beal	0.37	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.37,0.37	0.17	0.20	-0.00	17	71%	0.41	1	-0.04	7	86%	0.03
Kristaps Porzingis	0.32	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.23,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.32	0.25	0.13	0.06	13	81%	0.34	1	-0.02	11	100%	0.07
Kyle Kuzma	0.18	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.05	0.14	0.01	12	75%	0.28	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.04	0.00	5	67%	0.11	0	0.00	5	40%	-0.06
Will Barton	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.02	-0.00	9	55%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Anthony Gill	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.00	0.00	3	50%	0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Monte Morris	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	5	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Rui Hachimura	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	13	38%	0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.31,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.20	0.08	0.02	20	67%	0.26	0	0.00	8	62%	-0.04
Tobias Harris	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.09	0.09	0.01	12	67%	0.22	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.06	0.04	0.00	2	125%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
James Harden	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.08	0.08	0.05	0.04	-0.00	18	57%	0.14	3	-0.05	6	83%	0.02
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.01	0.00	11	59%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	-0.00	10	48%	0.02	0	0.00	5	80%	-0.00
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	0.01	2	40%	-0.00	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.04,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.03	-0.00	5	50%	0.07	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.4	2.5	30.5	14.7	28.1	2.4	29.2	133.9
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS +19.1%

WAS +18.4%

WAS +8.6%

PHI -0.7%

WAS +4.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	PHI	NBA	WAS	PHI	NBA
this game	15.1	15.6	14.4	130.1	116.8	113.4
season	14.8	15.2		113.4	115.9
opponent	14.5	14.2		112.3	114.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.5	14.9	15.8	16.4	15.1
PHI	14.2	15.8	14.2	18.7	15.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Rui Hachimura	65	68	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.19	14	-4	18	15.0	15.3	-0.33	14.8	17.4	-2.61
Deni Avdija	55	56	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.07	17	-7	24	15.0	15.2	-0.22	15.1	16.3	-1.15
Kristaps Porzingis	65	67	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	3	4	15.2	14.6	0.64	15.7	15.2	0.47
Bradley Beal	68	69	0.34	0.16	0.17	0.16	6	4	2	15.6	13.4	2.21	15.9	14.8	1.11
Kyle Kuzma	59	62	0.30	0.20	0.11	0.24	2	8	-6	15.4	14.4	1.01	16.3	14.2	2.14
Will Barton	51	50	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.02	3	7	-4	14.5	15.7	-1.20	14.4	16.9	-2.57
Monte Morris	48	49	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.18	-3	13	-16	14.8	15.4	-0.58	15.8	15.4	0.41
Daniel Gafford	24	24	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.02	2	8	-6	14.3	15.3	-0.97	15.1	15.7	-0.61
Anthony Gill	30	30	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.08	2	8	-6	14.9	15.1	-0.23	17.7	14.6	3.05

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matisse Thybulle	29	30	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.05	4	-14	18	17.1	14.9	2.19	14.6	15.3	-0.67
Paul Reed	11	11	0.06	-0.56	0.61	-0.06	4	-14	18	16.7	15.4	1.30	14.1	15.2	-1.09
Shake Milton	33	32	-0.23	-0.27	0.04	0.04	-9	-1	-8	14.7	16.0	-1.30	13.7	15.7	-1.99
P.J. Tucker	54	53	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.13	-4	-6	2	15.3	16.0	-0.74	16.5	13.2	3.25
Montrezl Harrell	27	25	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	0.00	-9	-1	-8	15.7	15.5	0.12	12.9	15.8	-2.92
Georges Niang	53	51	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.08	-8	-2	-6	15.4	15.8	-0.33	15.3	14.8	0.53
Tyrese Maxey	86	85	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.32	-2	-8	6	15.7	14.6	1.13	15.0	15.9	-0.90
James Harden	67	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.12	-9	-1	-8	15.6	15.4	0.21	15.6	13.7	1.85
Danuel House Jr.	51	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.09	-10	0	-10	14.5	16.8	-2.35	14.6	15.5	-0.84
Tobias Harris	64	64	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.21	-7	-3	-4	16.1	14.4	1.72	15.4	14.2	1.18

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.35,0.4,0.38,0.4,0.35,0.28,0.26,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.43,0.43,0.48,0.45,0.42,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.48,0.52,0.45,0.46,0.38,0.38,0.48,0.32,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.1,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 104, ORL 90	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.56,0.53,0.51,0.45,0.43,0.45,0.4,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.37,0.31,0.41,0.36,0.36,0.3,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.33,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.44,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.47,0.36,0.29,0.17,0.15,0.07,0.01,0,0	94.2%
LAC 98, MEM 91	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.41,0.42,0.39,0.38,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.31,0.31,0.38,0.4,0.34,0.39,0.36,0.33,0.4,0.46,0.49,0.42,0.42,0.51,0.42,0.55,0.45,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.42,0.34,0.38,0.33,0.32,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.01,0.04,0.01,0	92.8%
CHI 91, ATL 82	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.36,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.38,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.38,0.23,0.3,0.39,0.3,0.35,0.32,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.26,0.27,0.17,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.05,0.01,0,0	92.7%