NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	123		Excitement	9.4 [134]		MVP	Kelly Olynyk (UTA): +60.3%
Utah Jazz	124		Comeback	6.5 [199]		LVP	Talen Horton-Tucker (UTA): -9.6%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dillon Brooks	0.35	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.24,0.35	0.17	0.18	0.01	20	71%	0.41	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Tyus Jones	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.24,0.24,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.14	0.06	0.01	15	72%	0.24	1	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Desmond Bane	0.17	0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.08,0.12,0.26,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.22,0.3,0.3,0.17	0.07	0.09	-0.02	23	59%	0.33	5	-0.15	8	87%	0.06
David Roddy	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.06	0.10	-0.00	5	100%	0.24	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Clarke	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.02	0.00	6	67%	0.09	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kennedy Chandler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Xavier Tillman	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	0.00	3	67%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Santi Aldama	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	-0.01	8	53%	0.03	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.02
John Konchar	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Steven Adams	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.02	4	-0.10	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.26,0.26,0.6,0.6	0.60	0.16	0.43	-0.01	10	100%	0.69	4	-0.09	3	100%	0.03
Malik Beasley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.26	0.26	0.11	0.15	0.00	7	86%	0.26	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Collin Sexton	0,0,-0.01,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.13	0.13	0.08	0.05	-0.00	12	73%	0.19	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.01,-0.02,-0.07,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.13,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.05	0.01	17	60%	0.16	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.02
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.01	-0.02	21	51%	0.10	2	-0.05	3	100%	0.03
Ochai Agbaji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.00	0.03	-0.00	6	41%	0.03	0	0.00	5	60%	-0.03
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.04	-0.05	-0.00	8	61%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Jarred Vanderbilt	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	4	70%	0.07	4	-0.11	2	100%	0.01
Talen Horton-Tucker	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	17%	-0.03	2	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.1	2.0	25.1	14.5	25.3	1.7	39.0	134.8
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +13.8%

UTA +0.0%

UTA +1.2%

UTA +10.3%

UTA +24.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	UTA	NBA	MEM	UTA	NBA
this game	13.1	14.6	14.4	118.3	119.2	113.4
season	13.9	14.3		113.4	114.4
opponent	14.1	14.3		115.5	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	12.3	13.6	12.9	13.7	13.1
UTA	14.3	13.6	17.1	13.5	14.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Adams	38	41	0.48	-0.98	1.46	0.16	11	-12	23	13.5	12.9	0.65	15.5	14.0	1.46
Kennedy Chandler	32	33	0.30	-0.80	1.10	0.12	6	-7	13	12.7	13.3	-0.66	13.2	15.2	-2.00
David Roddy	54	56	0.14	-0.64	0.78	-0.06	7	-8	15	13.1	13.1	0.03	15.8	13.1	2.74
John Konchar	60	60	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.21	4	-5	9	12.8	13.6	-0.82	14.5	14.7	-0.18
Xavier Tillman	23	23	-0.23	-0.27	0.03	0.03	-9	8	-17	12.7	13.2	-0.48	14.9	14.5	0.38
Dillon Brooks	59	58	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.53	9	-10	19	12.9	13.3	-0.38	16.6	12.1	4.46
Brandon Clarke	37	34	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.40	-6	5	-11	12.8	13.3	-0.43	13.0	15.3	-2.30
Santi Aldama	68	68	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.40	-10	9	-19	13.4	12.7	0.69	13.2	17.2	-4.00
Desmond Bane	79	78	-0.72	0.22	-0.93	-0.48	-8	7	-15	13.3	12.4	0.89	13.7	17.2	-3.49
Tyus Jones	70	69	-0.86	0.36	-1.22	-0.60	-9	8	-17	13.3	12.7	0.65	15.1	13.5	1.56

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Lauri Markkanen	81	81	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.55	9	-8	17	14.7	14.1	0.57	13.4	12.0	1.38
Jordan Clarkson	69	69	0.76	-0.26	1.02	0.55	7	-6	13	15.1	13.5	1.60	13.3	12.7	0.56
Collin Sexton	69	68	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.53	7	-6	13	14.8	14.2	0.57	13.4	12.5	0.90
Kelly Olynyk	73	72	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.55	6	-5	11	14.5	14.8	-0.37	13.2	12.9	0.26
Malik Beasley	69	69	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.50	-4	5	-9	14.8	14.2	0.57	13.1	13.2	-0.17
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	46	46	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.12	3	-2	5	13.7	15.2	-1.50	13.2	13.1	0.10
Talen Horton-Tucker	21	23	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	-0.01	-7	8	-15	15.0	14.5	0.53	12.9	13.2	-0.26
Jarred Vanderbilt	53	54	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	-0.13	-4	5	-9	13.4	15.8	-2.33	12.5	13.8	-1.32
Ochai Agbaji	39	38	-0.42	0.93	-1.35	-0.07	-12	13	-25	15.2	14.2	1.01	12.5	13.5	-1.01

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.6,0.54,0.6,0.59,0.52,0.47,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.52,0.56,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.61,0.73,0.69,0.63,0.69,0.67,0.76,0.62,0.48,0.31,0.34,0.36,0.6,0.66,0.43,0.38,0.38,0.22,0.3,0.24,0.27,0.19,0.21,0.14,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 96, UTA 99	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.52,0.56,0.61,0.61,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.73,0.67,0.65,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.6,0.6,0.5,0.38,0.47,0.38,0.37,0.21,0.19,0.22,0.07,0.11,0.22,0.16,1	88.7%
PHX 104, MEM 108	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.41,0.32,0.33,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.44,0.35,0.31,0.39,0.51,0.56,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.69,0.72,0.67,0.7,0.63,0.65,0.56,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.33,0.37,0.31,0.35,0.47,0.15,0.21,0.22,0.84,1	88.6%
BKN 82, CHI 83	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.58,0.57,0.61,0.64,0.65,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.51,0.48,0.53,0.53,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.74,0.72,0.7,0.61,0.54,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.6,0.7,0.74,0.62,0.62,0.47,0.41,0.24,0.17,0.25,0.28,0.14,0.41,1	88.3%