NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	108		Excitement	9.4 [136]		MVP	Jabari Smith Jr. (HOU): +24.4%
Houston Rockets	114		Comeback	1.1 [686]		LVP	Jordan Clarkson (UTA): -18.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Beasley	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.05	0.00	9	67%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.01	0.06	-0.03	7	56%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Collin Sexton	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	0.00	7	67%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.01	10	59%	0.07	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Simone Fontecchio	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.13,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.04,0,0,0,0	0.06	0.02	0.07	9	72%	0.08	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01	0.03	-0.05	-0.00	5	93%	0.07	5	-0.09	4	75%	-0.01
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Walker Kessler	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Mike Conley	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	-0.00	6	47%	0.11	2	-0.18	3	33%	-0.03
Lauri Markkanen	-0.08	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.08,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.10	0.02	-0.01	19	34%	-0.05	1	-0.03	3	0%	-0.05
Rudy Gay	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.08	-0.04	-0.00	5	0%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	-0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.05,-0.19	0.03	-0.21	0.01	14	59%	-0.02	3	-0.16	1	100%	0.01

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jabari Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.24	0.24	0.16	0.10	0.01	10	81%	0.27	1	-0.03	6	100%	0.04
Jalen Green	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.21,0.24,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.13	0.07	-0.00	16	71%	0.28	3	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Eric Gordon	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16	0.16	0.00	0.15	-0.01	11	54%	0.23	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Daishen Nix	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.05	0.07	0.00	3	70%	0.12	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Kevin Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.04,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.18,0.14,0.09	0.09	0.02	0.07	0.01	19	55%	0.18	4	-0.10	9	100%	0.10
Tari Eason	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.03	0.08	-0.00	12	39%	0.08	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.01
Josh Christopher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	-0.00	0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Boban Marjanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	0.00	0.00	0	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Garrison Mathews	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Usman Garuba	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.02	-0.02	3	25%	-0.05	2	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03
Kenyon Martin Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.11	-0.03	-0.01	9	17%	-0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.6	2.3	28.3	14.7	27.0	1.8	34.4	134.1
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +11.8%

HOU +44.7%

UTA -20.4%

HOU +22.7%

UTA -8.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	HOU	NBA	UTA	HOU	NBA
this game	14.1	14.9	14.4	109.1	114.0	113.4
season	14.3	14.8		114.4	109.8
opponent	13.9	14.1		118.0	115.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	13.8	12.6	13.8	16.3	14.1
HOU	13.9	14.6	16.2	15.0	14.9

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Olynyk	54	56	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.17	8	-14	22	14.0	14.1	-0.05	15.2	14.5	0.64
Walker Kessler	19	20	-0.02	-0.48	0.46	-0.02	0	-6	6	11.5	14.7	-3.20	15.1	14.8	0.34
Mike Conley	55	56	-0.15	-0.35	0.19	-0.18	1	-7	8	14.3	13.7	0.64	15.0	14.7	0.27
Jordan Clarkson	57	58	-0.16	-0.34	0.19	-0.19	1	-7	8	14.2	13.9	0.27	15.0	14.7	0.33
Nickeil Alexander-Walker	10	10	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.11	-2	-4	2	18.5	13.6	4.94	14.0	15.0	-0.98
Collin Sexton	34	34	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.03	-5	-1	-4	12.3	15.0	-2.69	14.9	14.8	0.09
Lauri Markkanen	63	64	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.21	1	-7	8	14.0	14.2	-0.30	15.1	14.4	0.68
Rudy Gay	29	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	0.00	-7	1	-8	12.3	14.8	-2.43	14.6	15.0	-0.46
Talen Horton-Tucker	36	36	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.12	-7	1	-8	14.2	14.0	0.30	14.4	15.1	-0.68
Malik Beasley	42	42	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.14	-7	1	-8	13.9	14.2	-0.27	14.7	15.0	-0.33
Jarred Vanderbilt	66	65	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.13	-9	3	-12	14.8	12.7	2.09	14.6	15.4	-0.76
Simone Fontecchio	30	30	-0.44	-0.06	-0.39	-0.33	-4	-2	-2	15.9	13.3	2.59	15.1	14.8	0.27

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Porter Jr.	71	72	0.44	0.06	0.38	0.35	3	3	0	14.7	15.4	-0.75	15.0	11.6	3.39
Eric Gordon	66	64	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.18	8	-2	10	14.6	15.4	-0.85	14.1	14.0	0.09
Daishen Nix	44	43	0.31	0.19	0.12	0.16	5	1	4	15.5	14.4	1.19	13.6	14.4	-0.76
Jabari Smith Jr.	69	68	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.23	2	4	-2	15.0	14.6	0.39	14.9	12.2	2.77
Kenyon Martin Jr.	72	70	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.38	-4	10	-14	14.7	15.2	-0.51	14.5	13.1	1.35
Usman Garuba	23	23	0.24	0.26	-0.02	0.09	5	1	4	14.9	14.9	0.04	12.6	14.5	-1.95
Garrison Mathews	25	25	0.23	0.27	-0.04	-0.07	10	-4	14	14.6	15.0	-0.43	12.4	14.6	-2.17
Tari Eason	39	40	0.22	0.28	-0.07	0.01	7	-1	8	15.1	14.7	0.41	13.1	14.7	-1.61
Jalen Green	74	73	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.21	-1	7	-8	15.0	14.4	0.62	14.2	13.5	0.71
Boban Marjanovic	26	26	0.07	0.43	-0.36	-0.02	3	3	0	13.9	15.2	-1.35	13.8	14.2	-0.34
Josh Christopher	9	9	-0.05	0.55	-0.60	0.07	-4	10	-14	15.1	14.9	0.25	12.7	14.2	-1.53

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.63,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.61,0.64,0.73,0.64,0.59,0.7,0.67,0.71,0.69,0.58,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.56,0.67,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.79,0.71,0.81,0.9,0.8,0.73,0.9,0.78,0.76,0.85,1
Game		Similarity Score
WAS 107, PHX 108	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.64,0.63,0.65,0.61,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.65,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.55,0.61,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.56,0.66,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.73,0.9,0.85,0.91,0.96,0.89,0.76,0.96,1	93.7%
SEA 102, POR 108	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.6,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.64,0.67,0.59,0.66,0.78,0.74,0.72,0.61,0.55,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.52,0.63,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.52,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.79,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.79,0.94,0.95,1	92.3%
LAC 98, SAC 105	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.51,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.61,0.67,0.7,0.54,0.6,0.72,0.67,0.61,0.6,0.62,0.52,0.52,0.63,0.56,0.64,0.62,0.66,0.65,0.57,0.73,0.83,0.91,0.88,0.85,0.89,0.85,0.72,1	92.3%