inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Toronto Raptors 98 Excitement7.8 [371] MVPDuncan Robinson (MIA): +22.5%
Miami Heat 90 Comeback6.5 [180] LVPMax Strus (MIA): -17.4%


Toronto Raptors
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Chris Boucher0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.090.080.010.005100%0.111-0.0200%0.00
Fred VanVleet0.080,0,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.010.011659%0.142-0.06989%0.03
Malachi Flynn0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.020.020.00275%0.0500.0000%0.00
O.G. Anunoby0.020,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02-0.040.060.00460%0.133-0.11250%-0.01
Khem Birch0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.000.00250%0.0000.0000%0.00
Gary Trent Jr.-0.000,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,00.01-0.010.011947%0.021-0.0200%0.00
Pascal Siakam-0.000,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.11,-0.16,-0.17,-0.13,-0.13,-0.16,-0.2,-0.17,-0.17,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0-0.100.07-0.032244%0.155-0.15887%0.04
Christian Koloko-0.020,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.020.00-0.010.01250%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Dalano Banton-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.030.00-0.0020%-0.0300.0000%0.00
Precious Achiuwa-0.030,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.01-0.000.021240%-0.0300.0010%-0.00

Miami Heat
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Duncan Robinson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.230.230.080.14-0.00871%0.2300.001100%0.00
Jimmy Butler0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.180.180.130.050.001567%0.211-0.03989%0.05
Dewayne Dedmon0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Gabe Vincent0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.00337%-0.022-0.06250%-0.01
Haywood Highsmith0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.010.0220%-0.042-0.0500%0.00
Kyle Lowry0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.03-0.080.00835%-0.1100.004100%0.03
Tyler Herro0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11-0.11-0.00-0.080.031854%0.074-0.18580%0.01
Bam Adebayo0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16-0.15-0.06-0.13-0.031441%-0.043-0.126100%0.04
Max Strus0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17-0.17-0.11-0.08-0.021421%-0.1700.0000%0.00
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game26.42.428.314.630.42.628.9133.6
league avg25.82.328.215.028.22.332.4135.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
TOR +58.5%
MIA -16.1%
TOR +0.9%
TOR +7.1%
MIA -0.3%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsTORMIANBATORMIANBA
this game15.014.614.4100.092.8113.4
season14.715.1114.0111.9
opponent14.614.5112.1112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
TOR13.515.315.116.115.0
MIA14.714.113.116.614.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
O.G. Anunoby67670.77-0.271.040.3016-82414.615.8-1.1816.210.95.36
Fred VanVleet80800.67-0.170.830.2913-51814.616.4-1.8114.813.61.12
Pascal Siakam84840.56-0.060.620.2710-21214.518.1-3.6215.310.15.18
Precious Achiuwa70680.54-0.040.580.2510-21215.613.32.3613.517.1-3.62
Gary Trent Jr.83830.410.090.320.2753215.313.12.2514.813.31.50
Khem Birch13120.110.39-0.28-0.0144015.214.90.2117.714.13.54
Chris Boucher2525-0.030.53-0.57-0.0617-614.615.1-0.5013.115.1-1.95
Dalano Banton1816-0.110.61-0.710.04-513-1815.314.90.4510.615.4-4.80
Malachi Flynn1212-0.160.66-0.83-0.05-412-1618.114.53.5512.914.8-1.88
Christian Koloko3838-0.260.76-1.010.04-1018-2814.515.3-0.7713.315.4-2.01

Miami Heat
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Max Strus61640.16-0.660.82-0.1410-182813.815.9-2.1015.414.21.17
Duncan Robinson3334-0.07-0.430.360.11-6-2-413.415.2-1.7313.915.5-1.57
Haywood Highsmith2223-0.10-0.400.300.02-4-4013.115.0-1.9116.314.61.74
Jimmy Butler6968-0.19-0.310.12-0.13-2-6414.614.50.0414.416.2-1.73
Dewayne Dedmon2221-0.24-0.260.020.14-135-1816.913.92.9712.015.8-3.78
Bam Adebayo7577-0.26-0.24-0.02-0.415-131813.916.9-2.9715.812.03.78
Kyle Lowry7273-0.31-0.19-0.13-0.310-8814.714.00.7115.114.70.39
Tyler Herro7979-0.680.18-0.86-0.33-124-1615.79.46.2914.616.6-2.06
Gabe Vincent5251-0.810.31-1.11-0.28-1810-2814.814.30.4815.714.11.58


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.27,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.37,0.38,0.37,0.28,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.64,0.7,0.81,0.79,0.87,0.58,0.64,0.54,0.34,0.38,0.22,0.04,0.09,0
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 87, ATL 810.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.43,0.39,0.38,0.4,0.46,0.36,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.48,0.39,0.39,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.59,0.63,0.6,0.62,0.7,0.8,0.8,0.63,0.58,0.47,0.34,0.2,0.08,0.05,0.03,092.2%
NOK 111, NJN 1070.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.42,0.44,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.39,0.45,0.52,0.58,0.59,0.62,0.63,0.52,0.48,0.62,0.62,0.7,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.47,0.39,0.38,0.16,0.16,0.09,092.1%
BOS 89, DET 810.5,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.36,0.45,0.52,0.55,0.56,0.67,0.75,0.81,0.82,0.86,0.67,0.58,0.53,0.54,0.39,0.2,0.16,0.1,0.01,091.6%