NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	122		Excitement	11.6 [29]		MVP	Kelly Olynyk (UTA): +66.5%
New Orleans Pelicans	121		Comeback	6.1 [178]		LVP	Herbert Jones (NOP): -21.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk	0.66	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.23,0.23,0.66	0.12	0.53	-0.02	12	69%	0.68	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Lauri Markkanen	0.25	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.23,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,-0.01,0.25	0.17	0.09	0.01	17	69%	0.30	2	-0.05	11	100%	0.16
Jarred Vanderbilt	0.13	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.00	0.00	7	88%	0.19	1	-0.07	3	100%	0.02
Jordan Clarkson	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.11,0.01,0.01,0.17,0.17,0.03,0.03	-0.05	0.08	-0.01	19	45%	0.21	3	-0.18	2	50%	-0.04
Walker Kessler	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Simone Fontecchio	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.03	-0.00	-0.03	5	50%	0.03	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	-0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.01	-0.01	0.00	5	70%	0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Malik Beasley	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.07	0.03	-0.02	5	36%	0.01	2	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02
Collin Sexton	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.00	10	33%	-0.05	2	-0.06	4	75%	-0.00
Mike Conley	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.08	-0.06	-0.01	12	29%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

New Orleans Pelicans
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.09,0.14,0.27,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.11	0.11	0.05	0.06	0.00	25	54%	0.36	2	-0.25	2	100%	0.01
Trey Murphy III	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.05	0.03	11	70%	0.15	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.00
Larry Nance Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.08	0.08	0.02	0.06	-0.00	10	50%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Zion Williamson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.00	-0.00	16	66%	0.16	4	-0.11	6	83%	0.02
Brandon Ingram	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	5	83%	0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Devonte' Graham	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Naji Marshall	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	6	44%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jaxson Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jose Alvarado	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	6	58%	0.09	3	-0.15	0	0%	0.00
Jonas Valanciunas	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.11,-0.13,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	-0.01	11	25%	-0.08	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Herbert Jones	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22	-0.22	-0.08	-0.14	-0.00	9	39%	-0.02	3	-0.19	5	60%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.1	1.6	32.5	15.3	28.5	2.3	29.3	2.5	16.3	151.4
league avg	25.8	2.3	28.2	15.0	28.2	2.3	32.4	2.3	15.0	135.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA +18.7%

UTA +33.5%

NOP -34.4%

UTA +27.4%

UTA +4.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	NOP	NBA	UTA	NOP	NBA
this game	15.1	13.6	14.4	110.9	108.0	113.4
season	14.3	14.2		114.4	113.4
opponent	14.6	14.1		111.6	115.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
UTA	14.5	12.9	16.5	15.7	18.0	15.1
NOP	14.3	13.7	11.2	13.8	17.3	13.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Collin Sexton	42	44	0.96	-0.46	1.43	0.64	11	-10	21	13.3	16.2	-2.97	12.7	14.1	-1.45
Jordan Clarkson	74	76	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.51	4	-3	7	15.1	15.0	0.11	14.4	11.8	2.55
Lauri Markkanen	80	81	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.35	6	-5	11	15.4	14.2	1.19	14.0	12.4	1.63
Walker Kessler	46	47	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.06	9	-8	17	14.6	15.5	-0.88	13.9	13.4	0.50
Rudy Gay	35	34	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.09	6	-5	11	14.3	15.5	-1.19	13.6	13.6	-0.01
Malik Beasley	46	46	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.17	2	-1	3	15.0	15.2	-0.21	13.1	13.9	-0.73
Kelly Olynyk	76	79	0.19	0.31	-0.12	0.42	-8	9	-17	15.4	14.4	1.04	13.5	13.7	-0.15
Simone Fontecchio	1	1	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	1	-1	2.0	15.2	-13.22	1.0	13.7	-12.68
Talen Horton-Tucker	21	19	-0.15	0.65	-0.80	0.09	-8	9	-17	15.4	15.0	0.41	11.1	14.1	-3.02
Jarred Vanderbilt	57	58	-0.45	0.95	-1.39	-0.33	-4	5	-9	15.4	14.8	0.56	13.8	13.3	0.48
Mike Conley	64	66	-0.51	1.01	-1.52	-0.10	-14	15	-29	15.9	14.0	1.85	13.0	14.4	-1.37

New Orleans Pelicans
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Murphy III	83	83	0.33	-0.83	1.16	-0.08	14	-15	29	13.3	14.3	-1.01	15.3	14.4	0.87
Devonte' Graham	31	31	0.19	-0.69	0.88	0.16	1	-2	3	15.0	13.0	1.94	14.6	15.3	-0.72
Brandon Ingram	23	21	0.01	-0.51	0.53	0.01	0	-1	1	14.8	13.2	1.54	16.0	14.9	1.17
Herbert Jones	72	72	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	-0.07	-1	0	-1	14.1	12.6	1.54	15.6	14.2	1.40
Jaxson Hayes	7	6	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.07	-8	7	-15	17.9	13.3	4.58	9.8	15.4	-5.57
Larry Nance Jr.	63	61	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.37	6	-7	13	12.8	14.6	-1.79	15.1	15.1	0.07
CJ McCollum	81	82	-0.29	-0.21	-0.09	-0.56	9	-10	19	13.7	13.2	0.55	16.0	12.4	3.63
Zion Williamson	65	65	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.09	-7	6	-13	13.2	14.0	-0.83	14.4	16.0	-1.60
Jonas Valanciunas	49	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.10	-7	6	-13	14.6	12.8	1.79	15.1	15.1	-0.07
Jose Alvarado	54	50	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.25	-5	4	-9	13.1	14.0	-0.94	14.6	15.5	-0.95
Naji Marshall	30	29	-0.93	0.43	-1.36	-0.72	-7	6	-13	11.5	14.3	-2.82	14.3	15.4	-1.03

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.6,0.51,0.47,0.46,0.4,0.49,0.49,0.56,0.6,0.56,0.48,0.46,0.44,0.36,0.36,0.22,0.24,0.18,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.23,0.28,0.28,0.14,0.16,0.13,0.15,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.1,0.25,0.28,0.57,0.58,0.54,0.61,0.37,0.32,0.74,0
Game		Similarity Score
CHI 100, NJN 98	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.41,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.55,0.42,0.4,0.35,0.36,0.4,0.4,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.39,0.31,0.2,0.22,0.26,0.2,0.14,0.13,0.19,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.17,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.14,0.21,0.14,0.42,0.54,0.69,0.63,0.57,0.28,0	87.7%
OKC 92, MEM 89	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.57,0.55,0.49,0.44,0.47,0.42,0.37,0.4,0.34,0.33,0.33,0.3,0.3,0.26,0.18,0.18,0.17,0.21,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.24,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.19,0.21,0.15,0.22,0.47,0.64,0.85,0.94,0.46,0.53,0.46,0.55,0.42,0	87.4%
MEM 104, PHX 98	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.38,0.45,0.36,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.53,0.44,0.39,0.41,0.44,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.12,0.05,0.04,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.14,0.22,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.34,0.41,0.54,0.54,0.45,0.22,0.09,0	87.3%