NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	115		Excitement	7.3 [394]		MVP	Moritz Wagner (ORL): +31.5%
Orlando Magic	120		Comeback	2.1 [190]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (CLE): -7.4%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Love	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	-0.00	11	71%	0.21	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Lauri Markkanen	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.13	0.18	-0.04	0.01	16	68%	0.13	0	0.00	5	100%	0.02
Darius Garland	0.08	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.08	0.05	0.03	0.00	24	51%	0.12	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.03
Moses Brown	0.04	0,0,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	-0.01	0.04	-0.01	7	56%	0.07	2	-0.03	4	50%	-0.03
Cedi Osman	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.07	-0.03	0.00	7	79%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Lamar Stevens	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02	0.01	-0.03	0.00	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caris LeVert	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	8	55%	0.03	3	-0.10	4	75%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.03	-0.04	0.00	3	50%	-0.01	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Orlando Magic
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Moritz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.19,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.15	0.17	0.00	8	94%	0.31	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Robin Lopez	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.04	0.06	0.00	10	52%	0.10	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Devin Cannady	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.08	0.01	-0.00	6	71%	0.09	0	0.00	2	50%	0.00
Chuma Okeke	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.04,0.04,0.13,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.04	-0.01	9	55%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Mo Bamba	0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.13	-0.04	0.02	14	66%	0.07	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Markelle Fultz	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.00	0.00	12	67%	0.12	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
R.J. Hampton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.05	-0.00	11	42%	0.05	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.03
Ignas Brazdeikis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.03	-0.01	16	56%	0.05	2	-0.04	4	50%	-0.03
Franz Wagner	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Suggs	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.01	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.1	1.8	25.4	15.8	25.2	2.5	33.4	126.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ORL +24.2%

ORL +1.6%

ORL +4.9%

ORL +18.9%

ORL +0.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	ORL	NBA	CLE	ORL	NBA
this game	14.2	14.8	14.5	116.2	120.0	110.8
season	15.2	14.4		110.6	103.4
opponent	14.4	14.4		111.5	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.6	14.2	13.8	13.9	14.2
ORL	14.2	14.0	16.2	14.9	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	52	52	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.14	3	-8	11	13.9	14.4	-0.52	15.5	14.0	1.48
Rajon Rondo	30	30	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.00	-6	1	-7	13.8	14.3	-0.50	15.9	14.3	1.63
Cedi Osman	30	29	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.05	-7	2	-9	15.7	13.5	2.17	14.9	14.7	0.20
Caris LeVert	66	67	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.30	1	-6	7	13.4	15.6	-2.23	14.4	15.6	-1.26
Isaac Okoro	61	62	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.34	2	-7	9	13.9	14.6	-0.74	14.2	15.8	-1.57
Lauri Markkanen	70	73	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.36	2	-7	9	13.6	15.6	-2.03	14.9	14.4	0.52
Moses Brown	58	57	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	0.03	-12	7	-19	15.7	12.0	3.76	14.3	15.5	-1.23
Darius Garland	84	84	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-4	3	14.3	13.3	0.96	14.7	15.2	-0.47
Lamar Stevens	44	46	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.22	-7	2	-9	13.8	14.5	-0.68	15.1	14.5	0.63

Orlando Magic
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Devin Cannady	49	46	0.49	0.01	0.49	0.32	6	-1	7	16.1	13.5	2.57	12.8	15.3	-2.56
Ignas Brazdeikis	77	74	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.33	5	0	5	14.6	15.6	-1.01	14.2	14.0	0.26
R.J. Hampton	62	60	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.29	6	-1	7	15.9	13.0	2.93	12.8	16.2	-3.39
Robin Lopez	40	39	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.08	9	-4	13	15.4	14.4	0.97	15.2	13.4	1.78
Moritz Wagner	40	40	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.11	7	-2	9	16.1	13.9	2.18	14.4	14.0	0.46
Chuma Okeke	69	69	0.24	0.26	-0.03	0.26	-1	6	-7	14.6	15.3	-0.73	13.6	15.5	-1.98
Mo Bamba	60	60	0.15	0.35	-0.19	0.27	-4	9	-13	14.4	15.4	-0.97	13.4	15.2	-1.78
Jalen Suggs	38	39	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.06	-1	6	-7	13.0	15.9	-2.93	16.2	12.8	3.39
Markelle Fultz	51	53	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.04	-1	6	-7	13.5	16.1	-2.57	15.3	12.8	2.56
Franz Wagner	14	15	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	-0.00	-1	6	-7	13.4	15.0	-1.58	15.9	13.8	2.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.36,0.35,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.49,0.42,0.48,0.47,0.56,0.55,0.53,0.63,0.59,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.57,0.64,0.49,0.48,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.58,0.62,0.64,0.62,0.59,0.6,0.6,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.71,0.77,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.97,0.89,0.94,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 95, SAC 102	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.5,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.5,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.5,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.61,0.68,0.65,0.59,0.48,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.66,0.62,0.76,0.81,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.95,0.95,0.97,0.99,1	92.9%
LAC 101, TOR 109	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.42,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.56,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.52,0.58,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.64,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.68,0.83,0.92,0.97,0.98,1,1,1,1	92.7%
DEN 104, CLE 111	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.53,0.54,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.38,0.34,0.4,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.51,0.58,0.52,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.52,0.62,0.56,0.63,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.79,0.89,0.88,0.86,0.88,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.97,0.92,1	92.6%