NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	107		Excitement	7.2 [412]		MVP	Mike Conley (UTA): +34.4%
Golden State Warriors	111		Comeback	174.4 [5]		LVP	Rudy Gobert (UTA): -30.5%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mike Conley	0.34	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.27,0.27,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.35,0.34	0.19	0.14	-0.01	18	70%	0.34	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Juancho Hernangomez	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	83%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hassan Whiteside	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.01	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Clarkson	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	13	50%	0.05	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Danuel House Jr.	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	5	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.11	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11	0.11	-0.20	0.02	19	58%	-0.08	1	-0.03	7	86%	0.01
Royce O'Neale	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.16	-0.00	-0.05	5	0%	-0.05	4	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Bojan Bogdanovic	-0.15	0,0,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.15	-0.02	-0.16	-0.04	15	49%	-0.13	2	-0.02	5	60%	-0.07
Rudy Gobert	-0.30	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.3	0.02	-0.30	0.02	9	56%	-0.02	2	-0.29	7	57%	-0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Klay Thompson	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.18,0.22,0.34,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.20	0.04	0.01	28	64%	0.24	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Poole	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.05,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.04,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.07	0.03	0.03	22	61%	0.19	5	-0.11	7	100%	0.11
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	0.01	0.05	10	85%	0.11	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	0.00	0.01	8	62%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	3	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.02	5	67%	0.04	3	-0.05	5	80%	0.01
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.3	2.4	26.6	15.3	27.3	2.0	37.3	135.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

GSW +31.8%

GSW +14.5%

UTA -23.0%

GSW +30.7%

UTA -4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	GSW	NBA	UTA	GSW	NBA
this game	16.7	13.8	14.5	112.6	118.1	110.8
season	14.8	14.2		115.1	112.2
opponent	14.9	14.7		106.7	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	16.6	16.5	17.4	16.2	16.7
GSW	14.7	14.1	13.9	12.6	13.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Danuel House Jr.	32	33	0.46	-0.96	1.43	-0.15	21	-25	46	16.2	16.9	-0.61	16.6	12.3	4.36
Juancho Hernangomez	30	30	0.45	-0.95	1.41	-0.13	20	-24	44	16.2	16.9	-0.71	16.7	12.5	4.20
Jordan Clarkson	54	54	0.14	-0.64	0.79	0.14	0	-4	4	16.4	17.0	-0.70	14.2	13.3	0.84
Hassan Whiteside	23	19	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.18	-7	3	-10	17.6	16.3	1.26	12.2	14.2	-2.07
Mike Conley	69	69	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.65	13	-17	30	16.6	16.9	-0.37	14.7	11.3	3.44
Rudy Gobert	72	75	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.56	3	-7	10	16.3	17.6	-1.26	14.2	12.2	2.07
Donovan Mitchell	67	65	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.26	-21	17	-38	17.0	15.8	1.18	12.5	16.7	-4.12
Bojan Bogdanovic	65	64	-0.95	0.45	-1.41	-0.25	-24	20	-44	16.9	16.2	0.71	12.5	16.7	-4.20
Royce O'Neale	63	61	-0.96	0.46	-1.43	-0.23	-25	21	-46	16.9	16.2	0.61	12.3	16.6	-4.36

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Andrew Wiggins	65	68	0.98	-0.48	1.46	0.22	26	-22	48	12.5	16.8	-4.27	17.2	15.3	1.89
Draymond Green	67	69	0.89	-0.39	1.28	0.30	20	-16	36	12.7	16.6	-3.96	16.6	16.8	-0.16
Jordan Poole	73	76	0.74	-0.24	0.99	0.28	16	-12	28	13.1	16.2	-3.13	16.7	16.3	0.49
Klay Thompson	79	78	0.56	-0.06	0.62	0.50	2	2	0	13.9	13.5	0.33	16.7	16.6	0.01
Otto Porter Jr.	58	57	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.37	3	1	2	14.5	12.6	1.90	16.3	17.2	-0.97
Gary Payton II	43	44	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	-0.21	5	-1	6	14.0	13.6	0.35	16.7	16.6	0.18
Jonathan Kuminga	7	8	-0.15	0.65	-0.79	0.03	-6	10	-16	15.4	13.7	1.75	15.5	16.8	-1.26
Kevon Looney	25	24	-0.22	0.72	-0.93	0.14	-12	16	-28	14.4	13.6	0.86	17.0	16.5	0.52
Andre Iguodala	29	27	-0.33	0.83	-1.15	0.23	-19	23	-42	16.0	12.8	3.12	15.7	17.0	-1.27
Nemanja Bjelica	24	24	-0.38	0.88	-1.26	0.06	-15	19	-34	16.7	12.8	3.84	16.7	16.6	0.07

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.42,0.43,0.46,0.42,0.36,0.34,0.41,0.43,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.34,0.25,0.19,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.13,0.21,0.25,0.16,0.19,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.17,0.19,0.15,0.19,0.1,0.26,0.1,0.09,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.11,0.23,0.38,0.63,0.69,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 99, ATL 106	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.37,0.38,0.31,0.3,0.35,0.35,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.21,0.19,0.17,0.14,0.21,0.24,0.19,0.17,0.13,0.1,0.14,0.16,0.17,0.27,0.21,0.11,0.2,0.14,0.1,0.06,0.08,0.13,0.18,0.25,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.46,0.55,0.85,1	91.5%
ORL 112, IND 114	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.38,0.34,0.38,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.36,0.3,0.26,0.27,0.29,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.29,0.23,0.22,0.12,0.18,0.14,0.08,0.19,0.22,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.38,0.64,0.85,0.9,1	91.3%
TOR 104, BOS 109	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.35,0.29,0.34,0.46,0.4,0.36,0.4,0.36,0.26,0.24,0.25,0.22,0.18,0.23,0.22,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.14,0.17,0.18,0.12,0.1,0.15,0.19,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.39,0.38,0.63,0.32,0.42,1	90.5%