NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	130		Excitement	8.9 [144]		MVP	DeMar DeRozan (CHI): +85.1%
Chicago Bulls	135		Comeback	36.5 [61]		LVP	Zach LaVine (CHI): -9.9%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Kennard	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.25,0.25	0.06	0.17	-0.01	8	58%	0.25	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Nicolas Batum	0.15	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.16	-0.01	0.00	9	81%	0.15	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Robert Covington	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.08	0.06	0.00	2	117%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Ivica Zubac	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.07	0.01	8	65%	0.13	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Reggie Jackson	0.08	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08	0.14	-0.02	0.04	23	68%	0.15	4	-0.07	4	100%	0.05
Paul George	0.05	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.16,-0.04,-0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	-0.07	0.10	-0.02	20	47%	0.16	5	-0.11	7	86%	0.06
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	-0.00	4	50%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	4	50%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Amir Coffey	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marcus Morris Sr.	-0.01	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.15,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.10	-0.11	-0.01	12	67%	0.09	1	-0.09	6	83%	0.01

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.22,0.66,0.59,0.59,0.77,0.77,0.85	0.85	0.36	0.61	0.11	26	75%	0.96	2	-0.11	15	93%	0.01
Patrick Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.19,0.38	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.00	4	125%	0.38	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	19	55%	0.08	2	-0.03	2	50%	-0.02
Alex Caruso	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	-0.01	8	44%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	12	46%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javonte Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	3	33%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	5	33%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.04
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.03	-0.03	0.01	8	50%	-0.00	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,0,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.04,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.04	0.01	17	45%	-0.05	2	-0.05	13	77%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.2	2.5	27.4	14.6	32.2	2.5	42.2	1.7	15.4	162.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.4	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI +4.8%

CHI +14.5%

CHI +18.9%

CHI +6.6%

CHI +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	CHI	NBA	LAC	CHI	NBA
this game	14.8	14.1	14.5	116.1	125.0	110.8
season	14.6	14.5		108.8	110.9
opponent	14.5	14.5		112.3	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
LAC	13.6	14.3	14.6	16.2	16.1	14.8
CHI	15.8	14.5	14.2	12.5	12.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Hartenstein	34	33	0.07	-0.57	0.65	0.07	0	-5	5	15.2	14.6	0.61	17.5	12.6	4.90
Amir Coffey	2	2	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.03	-2	-3	1	11.5	14.9	-3.37	11.5	14.1	-2.63
Ivica Zubac	67	67	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.29	5	-10	15	15.3	14.0	1.28	13.1	15.6	-2.50
Reggie Jackson	84	82	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.15	-2	-3	1	15.0	14.4	0.61	13.7	15.4	-1.71
Terance Mann	41	39	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.18	-2	-3	1	13.7	15.4	-1.70	15.5	13.3	2.16
Robert Covington	46	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.09	0.09	-13	8	-21	14.5	15.0	-0.53	14.6	13.7	0.82
Luke Kennard	45	43	-0.31	-0.19	-0.12	-0.37	2	-7	9	15.8	14.2	1.58	15.4	13.2	2.26
Paul George	72	68	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.10	-9	4	-13	15.0	14.5	0.53	13.5	15.0	-1.46
Nicolas Batum	83	80	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.48	3	-8	11	14.5	15.8	-1.32	13.7	15.2	-1.53
Marcus Morris Sr.	86	82	-0.60	0.10	-0.70	-0.40	-7	2	-9	14.5	15.7	-1.20	13.2	17.0	-3.79

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeMar DeRozan	90	92	0.85	-0.35	1.20	0.29	19	-14	33	13.8	15.7	-1.90	15.2	13.1	2.02
Coby White	50	52	0.49	0.01	0.48	-0.01	17	-12	29	14.2	14.0	0.14	13.7	15.7	-1.98
Alex Caruso	57	58	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.12	10	-5	15	14.1	14.1	0.05	15.5	14.1	1.39
Zach LaVine	84	89	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.44	-1	6	-7	13.4	16.4	-2.95	14.4	16.3	-1.82
Nikola Vucevic	80	84	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.43	-3	8	-11	14.2	13.6	0.59	14.7	15.0	-0.25
Tristan Thompson	25	24	0.13	0.37	-0.24	-0.14	9	-4	13	14.8	13.9	0.88	14.8	14.8	0.03
Patrick Williams	74	76	0.11	0.39	-0.28	0.29	-6	11	-17	13.9	14.4	-0.52	15.4	13.5	1.98
Javonte Green	23	26	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.06	-8	13	-21	14.4	14.0	0.39	14.4	14.9	-0.51
Ayo Dosunmu	47	48	-0.57	1.07	-1.64	-0.07	-17	22	-39	15.6	12.9	2.72	14.2	15.3	-1.13

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.33,0.35,0.36,0.38,0.3,0.36,0.4,0.45,0.44,0.37,0.34,0.27,0.2,0.21,0.17,0.2,0.25,0.26,0.23,0.17,0.19,0.19,0.11,0.09,0.11,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.3,0.14,0.15,0.21,0.16,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.46,0.48,0.72,0.85,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 129, NYK 133	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.38,0.43,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.3,0.29,0.25,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.25,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.31,0.25,0.33,0.27,0.18,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.22,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.06,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.46,0.47,0.71,0.76,0.83,1	92.5%
POR 106, DEN 109	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.37,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.23,0.26,0.24,0.27,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.36,0.28,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.23,0.18,0.06,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.25,0.19,0.15,0.21,0.2,0.15,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.05,0.15,0.1,0.09,0.46,0.69,0.74,0.91,0.59,1	91.6%
LAC 95, TOR 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.43,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.4,0.38,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.42,0.33,0.26,0.27,0.31,0.28,0.27,0.2,0.22,0.24,0.2,0.22,0.3,0.27,0.21,0.15,0.19,0.2,0.22,0.21,0.22,0.22,0.25,0.17,0.23,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.17,0.03,0,0,0.54,0.69,0.94,0.99,0.99,1	91.5%