NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Phoenix Suns	107		Excitement	10.2 [62]		MVP	Jordan Poole (GSW): +53.5%
Golden State Warriors	103		Comeback	3.0 [615]		LVP	Deandre Ayton (PHX): -27.4%

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Chris Paul	0.35	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0,0,0.13,0.35	0.03	0.31	-0.01	9	68%	0.43	3	-0.08	4	75%	0.03
Jae Crowder	0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.16,0.16	0.06	0.09	-0.01	6	62%	0.16	0	0.00	4	100%	0.07
Landry Shamet	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.04	0.10	-0.01	7	57%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Devin Booker	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.13,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,0.06	-0.03	0.08	-0.01	21	41%	0.06	0	0.00	12	83%	0.12
Mikal Bridges	0.04	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.10	-0.10	-0.04	14	65%	0.10	2	-0.06	6	83%	0.02
Torrey Craig	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	-0.00	0.04	-0.00	7	43%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cameron Payne	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.00	7	43%	0.02	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.1,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.09	-0.01	-0.00	4	20%	-0.05	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Deandre Ayton	-0.27	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.11,-0.07,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07,-0.13,-0.27,-0.27,-0.27	-0.10	-0.17	0.00	17	44%	0.00	5	-0.28	2	100%	0.01

Golden State Warriors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jordan Poole	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.54	0.54	0.23	0.33	0.03	22	70%	0.58	2	-0.05	10	90%	0.12
Gary Payton II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.03	0.02	-0.00	8	62%	0.10	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Nemanja Bjelica	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.02	0.04	0.00	3	83%	0.09	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Kevon Looney	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Moses Moody	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jonathan Kuminga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Otto Porter Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.00	4	62%	0.01	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Draymond Green	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.06,0.06,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	4	62%	0.19	4	-0.25	5	80%	0.05
Andre Iguodala	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	3	50%	0.02	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Andrew Wiggins	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.07,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.04	-0.09	0.01	16	47%	-0.06	3	-0.08	8	62%	-0.03
Klay Thompson	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.14,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.17	-0.15	-0.07	21	30%	-0.18	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	27.6	2.8	28.5	15.4	29.2	2.8	43.2	149.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +14.8%

GSW -1.2%

PHX +18.4%

PHX +17.9%

PHX +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	PHX	GSW	NBA	PHX	GSW	NBA
this game	14.1	13.2	14.5	100.9	98.1	110.8
season	14.2	14.2		114.0	112.2
opponent	14.9	14.7		106.7	107.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
PHX	14.6	14.3	13.2	14.3	14.1
GSW	11.6	12.8	15.8	12.9	13.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Mikal Bridges	93	91	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.30	8	-4	12	13.9	15.8	-1.98	12.7	16.0	-3.25
Deandre Ayton	79	78	0.48	0.02	0.46	0.13	12	-8	20	14.0	14.4	-0.35	13.0	13.7	-0.75
Devin Booker	83	82	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.38	3	1	2	14.0	14.4	-0.41	12.9	14.1	-1.22
Jae Crowder	77	75	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.22	5	-1	6	14.0	14.4	-0.41	12.6	14.6	-1.94
Chris Paul	74	72	0.30	0.20	0.09	0.24	2	2	0	14.2	13.9	0.25	12.5	14.6	-2.08
Torrey Craig	38	37	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.35	-2	6	-8	14.0	14.2	-0.14	14.9	12.2	2.73
Cameron Payne	32	34	0.19	0.31	-0.11	0.14	2	2	0	13.9	14.2	-0.25	14.2	12.7	1.47
Landry Shamet	37	38	0.02	0.48	-0.47	0.11	-3	7	-10	14.6	13.8	0.78	14.4	12.5	1.98
Bismack Biyombo	17	18	-0.13	0.63	-0.77	0.07	-7	11	-18	15.9	13.8	2.11	14.2	13.0	1.19

Golden State Warriors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Moses Moody	1	1	0.06	-0.56	0.62	0.06	0	-4	4	23.0	13.1	9.91	8.0	14.2	-6.17
Nemanja Bjelica	38	39	0.02	-0.52	0.53	-0.13	5	-9	14	15.0	12.1	2.89	15.1	13.5	1.57
Kevon Looney	33	35	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.08	-3	-1	-2	13.4	13.1	0.27	13.2	14.5	-1.32
Jonathan Kuminga	11	11	-0.04	-0.46	0.41	0.01	-2	-2	0	13.2	13.2	0.00	15.2	14.0	1.19
Jordan Poole	80	84	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-6	8	13.1	13.5	-0.44	14.0	14.7	-0.72
Otto Porter Jr.	62	60	-0.18	-0.32	0.13	-0.27	3	-7	10	12.8	13.7	-0.95	14.6	13.5	1.04
Klay Thompson	74	75	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.25	-5	1	-6	13.4	12.6	0.85	13.7	15.1	-1.44
Andrew Wiggins	74	75	-0.42	-0.08	-0.33	-0.21	-7	3	-10	12.3	15.4	-3.08	13.8	15.0	-1.21
Gary Payton II	46	45	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.36	-2	-2	0	14.1	12.5	1.61	14.9	13.5	1.39
Andre Iguodala	34	32	-0.45	-0.05	-0.39	-0.42	-1	-3	2	14.2	12.7	1.47	14.7	13.9	0.78
Draymond Green	72	73	-0.51	0.01	-0.53	-0.22	-10	6	-16	12.1	15.6	-3.54	13.8	14.8	-1.02

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.45,0.33,0.35,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.49,0.56,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.48,0.49,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.41,0.49,0.4,0.45,0.52,0.45,0.48,0.58,0.71,0.59,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.57,0.43,0.33,0.37,0.37,0.65,0.53,0.38,0.23,0.57,0.15,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 82, NJN 79	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.43,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.42,0.48,0.45,0.33,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.35,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.42,0.38,0.26,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.59,0.73,0.45,0.37,0.43,0.31,0	90.5%
NYK 87, TOR 80	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.61,0.58,0.65,0.73,0.56,0.48,0.48,0.58,0.48,0.47,0.24,0.42,0.47,0.35,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.43,0.15,0	90.5%
IND 74, CHA 71	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.47,0.45,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.41,0.41,0.39,0.42,0.44,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.61,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.62,0.6,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.62,0.55,0.41,0.48,0.6,0.52,0.42,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.47,0.41,0.53,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.08,0	90.4%