NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	112		Excitement	6.6 [513]		MVP	Tyus Jones (MEM): +21.4%
San Antonio Spurs	111		Comeback	1.0 [1042]		LVP	Keldon Johnson (SAS): -23.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyus Jones	0.21	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.24,0.26,0.23,0.23,0.19,0.22,0.22,0.21,0.21	0.13	0.07	-0.01	21	60%	0.21	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.09	0.03	-0.00	12	67%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Clarke	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	-0.00	-0.03	6	77%	0.13	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.00
Dillon Brooks	0.08	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.08	0.03	0.05	0.00	17	55%	0.14	2	-0.06	4	25%	-0.04
Desmond Bane	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04	0.07	-0.03	0.00	11	64%	0.06	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Steven Adams	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	4	80%	0.09	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Ziaire Williams	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
John Konchar	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	-0.06	0,0,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	10	45%	-0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dejounte Murray	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.15	0.04	0.02	20	77%	0.29	5	-0.12	3	100%	0.01
Tre Jones	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.03	0.01	3	100%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Devin Vassell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.11	-0.01	0.01	14	63%	0.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Josh Richardson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	-0.02	6	69%	0.07	2	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Zach Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.00	3	67%	0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jakob Poeltl	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.02	-0.00	6	64%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Jock Landale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lonnie Walker IV	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	7	37%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Joshua Primo	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	-0.00	-0.00	2	0%	-0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Keldon Johnson	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.24	-0.24	0.01	-0.20	0.05	21	50%	-0.16	2	-0.08	4	75%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.5	2.3	24.4	15.3	27.6	2.3	29.6	125.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MEM +31.9%

MEM +0.2%

MEM +16.1%

SAS -1.0%

MEM +2.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	SAS	NBA	MEM	SAS	NBA
this game	16.3	13.5	14.5	115.5	115.6	110.8
season	14.1	13.9		112.9	111.3
opponent	14.6	14.3		111.0	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	15.5	14.3	15.3	20.5	16.3
SAS	12.2	15.1	14.1	12.8	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dillon Brooks	60	62	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.38	6	-5	11	16.8	15.5	1.34	13.8	13.1	0.61
Tyus Jones	68	68	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.22	4	-3	7	17.9	12.6	5.33	13.5	13.7	-0.19
Brandon Clarke	39	37	0.32	0.18	0.15	0.35	-1	2	-3	13.4	18.3	-4.90	13.3	13.7	-0.35
Desmond Bane	67	66	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.34	-1	2	-3	16.2	16.4	-0.16	13.9	12.8	1.03
Jaren Jackson Jr.	50	52	0.29	0.20	0.09	0.15	5	-4	9	15.1	17.6	-2.45	14.6	12.3	2.22
Kyle Anderson	47	44	0.20	0.29	-0.09	0.32	-4	5	-9	17.6	15.1	2.45	12.3	14.6	-2.22
De'Anthony Melton	51	49	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.52	-11	12	-23	16.6	16.0	0.59	12.3	14.8	-2.52
Steven Adams	58	59	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.12	2	-1	3	18.3	13.4	4.90	13.7	13.3	0.35
Ziaire Williams	26	25	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.03	4	-3	7	12.9	17.5	-4.65	13.3	13.6	-0.30
John Konchar	19	18	-0.06	0.56	-0.61	-0.09	1	0	1	13.1	17.1	-4.02	15.5	13.1	2.41

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tre Jones	35	35	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.17	12	-13	25	12.5	14.1	-1.57	16.1	16.4	-0.32
Zach Collins	29	31	0.11	-0.61	0.73	-0.12	8	-9	17	12.2	14.1	-1.96	14.9	17.0	-2.08
Lonnie Walker IV	30	32	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.28	9	-10	19	12.3	14.1	-1.76	13.6	17.6	-3.98
Jock Landale	9	8	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.05	-4	3	-7	14.8	13.4	1.36	10.2	16.8	-6.58
Josh Richardson	62	63	-0.15	-0.35	0.21	-0.50	12	-13	25	12.8	14.9	-2.17	16.7	15.6	1.03
Joshua Primo	31	31	-0.25	-0.25	0.01	0.05	-10	9	-19	15.1	12.8	2.30	15.6	16.6	-0.95
Jakob Poeltl	67	65	-0.34	-0.16	-0.18	-0.07	-9	8	-17	14.1	12.2	1.96	17.2	14.5	2.72
Dejounte Murray	78	80	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.35	-1	0	-1	13.4	13.9	-0.50	16.2	16.8	-0.58
Devin Vassell	66	66	-0.76	0.26	-1.02	-0.47	-10	9	-19	14.1	12.3	1.76	17.4	14.0	3.36
Keldon Johnson	73	74	-0.84	0.34	-1.18	-0.49	-12	11	-23	14.0	12.2	1.74	17.1	13.7	3.46

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.45,0.43,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.4,0.47,0.38,0.45,0.29,0.2,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.21,0.16,0.17,0.11,0.16,0.08,0.1,0.05,0.1,0.07,0.09,0.22,0.3,0.47,0.42,0.27,0.21,0.22,0.06,0.13,0.15,0.08,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 113, WAS 100	0.5,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.4,0.41,0.44,0.4,0.37,0.39,0.43,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.37,0.34,0.25,0.21,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.12,0.14,0.18,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.19,0.15,0.34,0.34,0.44,0.37,0.19,0.26,0.24,0.09,0.1,0.02,0.01,0,0	93.5%
NOH 112, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.39,0.32,0.37,0.37,0.4,0.37,0.38,0.34,0.29,0.25,0.27,0.22,0.27,0.2,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.16,0.27,0.24,0.19,0.13,0.12,0.16,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.43,0.28,0.42,0.26,0.29,0.12,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.01,0	93.2%
SAS 105, DAL 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.45,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.4,0.34,0.3,0.28,0.36,0.31,0.28,0.24,0.17,0.18,0.14,0.12,0.18,0.16,0.15,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.11,0.21,0.14,0.11,0.08,0.13,0.29,0.24,0.15,0.17,0.22,0.06,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.03,0	92.6%