NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	101		Excitement	8.9 [145]		MVP	Terry Rozier (CHA): +47.8%
Charlotte Hornets	107		Comeback	1.8 [378]		LVP	P.J. Washington (CHA): -9.2%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Juancho Hernangomez	0.17	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.08	0.08	-0.00	9	70%	0.18	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.04
Jordan Clarkson	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.19,0.19,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.03	0.09	-0.01	18	49%	0.15	1	-0.02	3	100%	0.01
Mike Conley	0.11	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.06	0.05	-0.00	8	69%	0.17	1	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Eric Paschall	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	-0.00	0.00	4	110%	0.14	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Royce O'Neale	0.09	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,0.09,0.09	-0.01	0.11	0.00	8	37%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gobert	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	-0.01	-0.00	7	69%	0.18	1	-0.14	2	50%	-0.01
Trent Forrest	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rudy Gay	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	-0.01	-0.02	8	19%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Donovan Mitchell	-0.06	0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.02,-0.06,-0.07,0.01,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06	0.00	-0.06	0.00	21	59%	0.24	6	-0.31	2	100%	0.04

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.19,0.45,0.48	0.48	0.13	0.34	-0.01	20	60%	0.48	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.27	0.27	0.14	0.12	-0.00	15	72%	0.32	2	-0.05	6	67%	0.04
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.05	0.05	-0.00	6	64%	0.10	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Isaiah Thomas	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	6	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen McDaniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.03	0.00	1	100%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.03	-0.01	0.00	4	60%	0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
LaMelo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.15,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.16,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.06	-0.06	22	47%	0.05	2	-0.06	1	100%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Cody Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	33%	0.00	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.13,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.16,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.2,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.13	0.02	-0.01	10	27%	-0.02	3	-0.07	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.1	2.0	24.1	14.7	27.2	2.3	37.5	132.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

UTA -13.0%

CHA +12.2%

CHA +19.4%

CHA +30.6%

CHA +0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	CHA	NBA	UTA	CHA	NBA
this game	16.8	15.3	14.5	113.5	117.6	110.8
season	14.8	14.0		115.1	112.9
opponent	14.5	14.7		112.8	110.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	18.8	17.6	15.8	15.0	16.8
CHA	13.9	16.0	16.2	15.0	15.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Eric Paschall	19	19	0.02	-0.53	0.55	0.02	0	-6	6	16.1	16.9	-0.89	16.7	14.9	1.86
Trent Forrest	23	23	-0.01	-0.49	0.49	0.08	-3	-3	0	17.2	16.6	0.57	14.9	15.4	-0.47
Rudy Gay	24	26	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.05	-2	-4	2	16.8	16.7	0.11	13.7	15.9	-2.20
Mike Conley	61	62	-0.16	-0.34	0.17	-0.28	4	-10	14	16.3	17.7	-1.45	15.0	15.8	-0.78
Juancho Hernangomez	50	51	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	-0.17	-4	-2	-2	18.1	15.1	3.03	15.8	14.6	1.23
Jordan Clarkson	67	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.47	-0.16	-11	5	-16	16.2	18.5	-2.32	15.1	15.7	-0.52
Donovan Mitchell	66	68	-0.49	-0.01	-0.49	-0.41	-3	-3	0	16.6	17.2	-0.57	15.4	14.9	0.47
Rudy Gobert	70	71	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.35	-6	0	-6	16.9	16.1	0.89	15.1	15.9	-0.88
Royce O'Neale	65	67	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.40	-5	-1	-4	16.7	16.8	-0.11	15.6	14.3	1.32

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaiah Thomas	25	26	0.62	-0.12	0.75	0.21	14	-8	22	16.2	14.9	1.29	18.7	16.0	2.69
Miles Bridges	68	68	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.35	8	-2	10	15.1	15.6	-0.46	16.7	16.8	-0.07
Terry Rozier	65	62	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.37	7	-1	8	15.0	15.9	-0.87	17.0	16.1	0.92
Mason Plumlee	32	31	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.39	5	1	4	15.2	15.3	-0.12	17.4	16.4	1.02
P.J. Washington	62	60	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.41	0	6	-6	15.6	14.6	0.99	16.4	17.4	-1.03
LaMelo Ball	62	63	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.15	4	2	2	15.6	14.5	1.15	16.7	16.8	-0.02
Jalen McDaniels	20	20	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.03	3	3	0	15.8	15.1	0.75	16.9	16.7	0.19
Montrezl Harrell	37	35	-0.11	0.61	-0.71	-0.05	-2	8	-10	15.6	15.0	0.65	16.4	17.0	-0.58
Cody Martin	49	48	-0.17	0.67	-0.85	-0.17	0	6	-6	14.0	16.8	-2.83	15.9	17.7	-1.77
Kelly Oubre Jr.	35	32	-0.27	0.77	-1.05	-0.01	-9	15	-24	15.2	15.3	-0.06	16.2	17.1	-0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.35,0.4,0.41,0.41,0.47,0.48,0.53,0.48,0.53,0.42,0.45,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.56,0.54,0.64,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.72,0.75,0.67,0.6,0.64,0.46,0.52,0.48,0.54,0.63,0.59,0.71,0.72,0.81,0.46,0.69,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 93, NYK 97	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.47,0.45,0.53,0.45,0.44,0.46,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.61,0.63,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.77,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.64,0.5,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.63,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.83,1	92.9%
CLE 91, DEN 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.39,0.39,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.42,0.46,0.4,0.44,0.4,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.58,0.6,0.66,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.77,0.68,0.68,0.63,0.7,0.6,0.46,0.43,0.48,0.53,0.68,0.59,0.54,0.61,0.67,0.63,0.85,0.96,1	92.2%
BOS 73, DET 81	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.48,0.54,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.47,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.59,0.67,0.65,0.69,0.7,0.7,0.64,0.65,0.62,0.73,0.74,0.63,0.57,0.5,0.48,0.53,0.57,0.73,0.69,0.91,0.87,0.75,0.63,0.92,1,1	91.9%