NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	93		Excitement	8.1 [258]		MVP	Armoni Brooks (TOR): +18.1%
Philadelphia 76ers	88		Comeback	3.3 [121]		LVP	Scottie Barnes (TOR): -36.4%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Armoni Brooks	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.05	0.13	-0.00	4	75%	0.18	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Boucher	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.14	-0.03	0.08	-0.08	12	43%	0.11	1	0.03	4	75%	0.03
Precious Achiuwa	0.12	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.25,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12	0.12	0.01	0.01	15	66%	0.12	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Pascal Siakam	0.08	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.05	0.00	20	57%	0.18	3	-0.10	6	83%	-0.01
Thaddeus Young	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Khem Birch	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	6	29%	-0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Gary Trent Jr.	-0.09	0,0,0.01,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	0.01	-0.00	13	28%	-0.09	0	0.00	6	83%	0.04
Scottie Barnes	-0.36	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.26,-0.26,-0.26,-0.36	-0.15	-0.21	-0.00	21	29%	-0.26	2	-0.11	3	0%	-0.12

Philadelphia 76ers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Matisse Thybulle	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.05	0.02	6	86%	0.14	0	0.00	2	100%	0.04
Georges Niang	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	9	61%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tyrese Maxey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04	0.04	0.10	-0.05	0.02	14	66%	0.13	1	-0.09	1	100%	0.00
Paul Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.03	1	0%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Shake Milton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danny Green	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
DeAndre Jordan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Joel Embiid	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.1,0.1,0.02,-0.06	-0.06	-0.04	-0.06	-0.05	20	41%	0.02	1	-0.07	11	82%	0.03
Tobias Harris	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.09	-0.11	-0.02	9	25%	-0.11	1	-0.07	2	50%	-0.01
James Harden	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.16,-0.16,-0.22	-0.22	-0.10	-0.15	-0.02	12	50%	-0.05	6	-0.17	10	70%	-0.12

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	1.8	28.3	15.5	30.3	1.8	41.0	141.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHI -0.4%

TOR +1.4%

TOR +26.5%

TOR +18.9%

TOR +3.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	PHI	NBA	TOR	PHI	NBA
this game	16.1	14.7	14.5	98.9	94.6	110.8
season	14.9	15.2		111.3	112.4
opponent	14.6	14.8		109.8	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	14.8	17.3	17.3	15.0	16.1
PHI	15.2	14.0	15.3	14.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Chris Boucher	76	76	0.67	-0.17	0.85	0.21	16	-11	27	16.5	14.2	2.37	14.3	16.5	-2.23
Precious Achiuwa	66	68	0.58	-0.08	0.66	0.37	7	-2	9	14.9	19.0	-4.10	15.2	13.4	1.79
Scottie Barnes	82	80	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.42	5	0	5	16.3	14.7	1.63	14.7	15.0	-0.34
Thaddeus Young	39	40	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.01	13	-8	21	15.5	16.5	-0.93	14.8	14.6	0.20
Armoni Brooks	28	28	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.06	10	-5	15	17.2	15.6	1.66	14.8	14.7	0.16
Gary Trent Jr.	66	65	0.14	0.36	-0.22	0.29	-5	10	-15	15.6	17.2	-1.66	14.7	14.8	-0.16
Pascal Siakam	70	69	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.25	-5	10	-15	15.8	16.8	-0.95	14.8	14.5	0.34
Khem Birch	43	39	-0.31	0.81	-1.13	0.16	-16	21	-37	17.7	14.8	2.89	14.5	14.9	-0.38

Philadelphia 76ers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Matisse Thybulle	59	63	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.22	9	-14	23	16.2	12.2	3.95	16.7	14.9	1.81
Tyrese Maxey	69	69	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.32	10	-15	25	14.5	15.2	-0.67	16.9	13.8	3.06
Paul Reed	7	5	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	0.06	-6	1	-7	15.3	14.7	0.62	11.2	16.4	-5.16
Shake Milton	19	19	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.13	-9	4	-13	12.5	15.3	-2.74	15.3	16.3	-0.96
Joel Embiid	68	71	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.36	7	-12	19	15.0	13.9	1.13	16.8	14.0	2.82
Danny Green	35	34	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.00	-9	4	-13	14.0	15.2	-1.18	15.0	16.7	-1.75
DeAndre Jordan	24	23	-0.34	-0.16	-0.19	-0.05	-10	5	-15	14.4	14.8	-0.45	14.0	16.8	-2.82
Tobias Harris	52	54	-0.41	-0.09	-0.31	-0.61	7	-12	19	14.5	14.9	-0.39	16.1	16.0	0.15
Georges Niang	60	57	-0.53	0.03	-0.55	0.15	-23	18	-41	14.5	15.1	-0.54	15.7	16.7	-0.97
James Harden	72	75	-0.58	0.08	-0.65	-0.55	-1	-4	3	14.7	14.8	-0.13	16.1	16.0	0.11

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.72,0.74,0.72,0.76,0.68,0.7,0.72,0.64,0.64,0.6,0.67,0.68,0.64,0.73,0.67,0.61,0.54,0.46,0.48,0.51,0.45,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.56,0.62,0.73,0.64,0.68,0.7,0.74,0.57,0.52,0.53,0.31,0.51,0.27,0.47,0.54,0.23,0.17,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 110, WAS 103	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.62,0.62,0.62,0.63,0.59,0.63,0.63,0.69,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.66,0.64,0.69,0.61,0.68,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.62,0.61,0.5,0.45,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.59,0.62,0.59,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.66,0.75,0.57,0.42,0.36,0.59,0.54,0.55,0.72,0.32,0.05,0	91.1%
PHI 107, NOH 103	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.67,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.68,0.69,0.69,0.62,0.64,0.65,0.68,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.64,0.54,0.49,0.41,0.48,0.42,0.39,0.45,0.59,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.72,0.66,0.78,0.79,0.62,0.68,0.47,0.53,0.47,0.55,0.72,0.43,0.27,0	90.8%
PHX 111, HOU 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.58,0.64,0.61,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.75,0.79,0.79,0.82,0.77,0.66,0.59,0.61,0.56,0.58,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.61,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.63,0.64,0.66,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.47,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.61,0.45,0.23,0.01,0	90.7%