NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	97		Excitement	6.7 [504]		MVP	Immanuel Quickley (NYK): +15.0%
New York Knicks	100		Comeback	2.2 [813]		LVP	Julius Randle (NYK): -23.2%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rui Hachimura	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.02	0.00	7	73%	0.10	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Kristaps Porzingis	0.09	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.12	0.01	0.04	9	75%	0.12	1	-0.04	6	100%	0.01
Corey Kispert	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.11	0.00	0.06	7	78%	0.06	0	0.00	4	100%	0.01
Raul Neto	0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.00	10	55%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Tomas Satoransky	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.02	0.00	2	83%	0.03	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06	-0.02	-0.03	0.01	9	50%	-0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.06	-0.02	0.00	5	29%	-0.06	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.02
Ish Smith	-0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.01	-0.01	10	20%	-0.09	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	-0.19	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.19	-0.05	-0.12	0.01	17	47%	-0.08	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.03

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.10	0.04	-0.01	7	65%	0.17	1	-0.02	9	100%	0.05
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.03	0.02	10	65%	0.11	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Evan Fournier	0,0,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	13	58%	0.09	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.05	0.02	0.02	6	67%	0.07	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.02
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	5	42%	0.02	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.07	0.00	-0.03	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Jericho Sims	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	1	0%	-0.04	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
RJ Barrett	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.16	-0.16	-0.09	-0.06	0.00	22	36%	-0.13	1	-0.03	6	83%	0.03
Julius Randle	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.11,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.14,-0.18,-0.18,-0.2,-0.2,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23,-0.23	-0.23	-0.18	-0.06	-0.00	22	35%	-0.13	4	-0.10	8	62%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.6	1.7	27.9	14.5	31.4	2.5	36.5	138.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -23.0%

NYK +24.3%

NYK +39.0%

NYK +4.4%

NYK +5.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	NYK	NBA	WAS	NYK	NBA
this game	15.1	14.3	14.5	99.0	102.0	110.8
season	14.9	15.1		109.8	109.4
opponent	14.6	14.4		109.6	113.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	16.1	16.8	13.5	13.9	15.1
NYK	13.4	12.5	15.3	16.1	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Ish Smith	29	29	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	-0.07	0	-3	3	16.3	14.6	1.76	12.9	14.9	-1.97
Kristaps Porzingis	56	56	-0.14	-0.36	0.23	-0.34	7	-10	17	15.6	14.3	1.33	15.4	12.9	2.55
Corey Kispert	59	58	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.32	6	-9	15	14.7	15.6	-0.90	15.1	13.2	1.93
Tomas Satoransky	20	19	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	0.02	-7	4	-11	17.6	14.4	3.18	14.2	14.3	-0.13
Raul Neto	49	50	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.36	4	-7	11	14.0	16.1	-2.06	15.0	13.6	1.40
Daniel Gafford	37	37	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.09	-6	3	-9	14.2	15.6	-1.42	12.1	15.6	-3.50
Kyle Kuzma	72	70	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	-0.36	3	-6	9	15.0	15.3	-0.27	14.7	13.4	1.29
Deni Avdija	52	53	-0.32	-0.18	-0.14	-0.17	-5	2	-7	14.2	16.0	-1.75	13.7	15.0	-1.26
Rui Hachimura	41	42	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.00	-11	8	-19	16.4	14.1	2.31	13.7	14.7	-1.01
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	75	76	-0.54	0.04	-0.59	-0.37	-6	3	-9	14.8	16.0	-1.21	14.5	13.8	0.64

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Julius Randle	79	79	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.37	4	-1	5	14.6	13.1	1.50	14.9	15.6	-0.69
Immanuel Quickley	57	55	0.36	0.14	0.23	0.16	7	-4	11	13.9	14.9	-1.05	15.4	14.6	0.79
RJ Barrett	81	81	0.35	0.15	0.21	0.47	-4	7	-11	14.6	13.2	1.38	14.8	16.3	-1.48
Mitchell Robinson	62	64	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.20	4	-1	5	14.5	13.9	0.59	14.8	15.5	-0.70
Alec Burks	56	58	0.28	0.22	0.05	0.36	-3	6	-9	14.9	13.5	1.39	14.4	16.0	-1.61
Evan Fournier	69	71	0.27	0.23	0.03	0.30	-1	4	-5	14.8	13.3	1.48	15.2	14.8	0.35
Quentin Grimes	36	33	0.23	0.28	-0.05	0.08	5	-2	7	13.7	14.7	-0.94	15.8	14.7	1.08
Jericho Sims	31	30	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.08	4	-1	5	12.7	15.1	-2.35	15.9	14.7	1.19
Obi Toppin	19	19	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.04	-1	4	-5	13.1	14.6	-1.50	15.6	14.9	0.69

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.35,0.37,0.34,0.38,0.38,0.38,0.4,0.42,0.32,0.37,0.41,0.41,0.48,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.7,0.6,0.6,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.71,0.78,0.73,0.73,0.78,0.88,0.85,0.85,0.86,0.94,0.93,0.86,0.95,0.99,1,1,0.98,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 82, UTA 97	0.5,0.49,0.53,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.56,0.55,0.47,0.39,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.35,0.34,0.33,0.38,0.31,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.52,0.6,0.69,0.64,0.76,0.77,0.83,0.78,0.83,0.88,0.9,0.85,0.9,0.88,0.95,0.98,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.5%
NOP 89, DAL 108	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.49,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.34,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.42,0.49,0.44,0.51,0.54,0.61,0.64,0.67,0.63,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.71,0.74,0.78,0.72,0.73,0.86,0.87,0.9,0.85,0.92,0.95,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
BOS 93, NJN 109	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.38,0.37,0.33,0.33,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.35,0.36,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.41,0.46,0.54,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.85,0.72,0.76,0.71,0.84,0.9,0.87,0.93,0.95,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1	94.3%