NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Denver Nuggets	116		Excitement	10.6 [51]		MVP	Lauri Markkanen (CLE): +61.0%
Cleveland Cavaliers	119		Comeback	25.7 [54]		LVP	Caris LeVert (CLE): -23.9%

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
JaMychal Green	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.02	-0.00	4	100%	0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Green	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	5	71%	0.07	0	0.00	4	100%	0.05
DeMarcus Cousins	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	8	63%	0.09	1	-0.02	3	67%	0.00
Bones Hyland	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.13,0.16,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.05	0.07	-0.03	-0.01	13	61%	0.07	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Austin Rivers	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.00	1	150%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Jokic	-0.06	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.14,0.21,0.15,0.03,-0.06	0.09	-0.13	0.02	24	64%	0.21	4	-0.26	2	100%	0.01
Monte Morris	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.07	0.00	-0.01	4	25%	-0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Aaron Gordon	-0.07	0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	15	57%	0.12	7	-0.19	5	40%	-0.07
Will Barton	-0.11	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.19,-0.19,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.11,-0.11	-0.09	-0.02	-0.01	14	33%	-0.06	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.15,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.61	0.61	0.27	0.40	0.06	18	77%	0.64	1	-0.03	4	75%	-0.02
Evan Mobley	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,-0.03,-0.04,0.07,0.2	0.20	0.06	0.16	0.02	22	53%	0.27	1	-0.07	7	71%	-0.05
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.04	-0.02	-0.00	9	67%	0.14	2	-0.12	0	0%	0.00
Lamar Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	7	57%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Moses Brown	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dylan Windler	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	8	25%	-0.05	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Goodwin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.04	2	-0.04	2	0%	-0.03
Darius Garland	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.21	-0.21	0.03	-0.22	0.02	20	53%	-0.16	2	-0.05	7	71%	-0.01
Caris LeVert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.24	-0.24	-0.04	-0.22	-0.03	11	38%	-0.23	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.22

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	23.1	1.8	29.3	15.6	26.1	2.6	34.7	2.7	17.4	153.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.4	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE +8.6%

DEN -9.3%

CLE +31.1%

CLE +26.5%

DEN -6.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DEN	CLE	NBA	DEN	CLE	NBA
this game	15.4	14.8	14.5	109.4	113.3	110.8
season	14.8	15.2		113.4	110.6
opponent	14.4	14.4		108.5	111.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DEN	12.5	13.1	14.9	21.2	18.1	15.4
CLE	15.8	15.1	13.9	14.8	13.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Austin Rivers	48	47	0.43	-0.93	1.36	-0.10	18	-21	39	13.0	17.4	-4.44	14.9	14.6	0.29
DeMarcus Cousins	33	33	0.35	-0.85	1.20	-0.03	13	-16	29	13.9	16.1	-2.15	14.4	14.9	-0.57
JaMychal Green	39	38	0.25	-0.75	1.00	0.02	8	-11	19	15.8	15.1	0.69	14.0	15.2	-1.14
Bryn Forbes	22	21	0.15	-0.65	0.81	0.07	3	-6	9	16.0	15.2	0.83	13.7	15.0	-1.30
Monte Morris	41	41	-0.01	-0.49	0.47	0.13	-5	2	-7	14.2	16.1	-1.86	15.4	14.3	1.13
Jeff Green	57	58	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.02	-8	5	-13	14.6	16.3	-1.67	15.5	13.9	1.59
Bones Hyland	68	66	-0.39	-0.11	-0.29	-0.57	6	-9	15	16.0	14.2	1.83	14.5	15.1	-0.60
Will Barton	71	70	-0.82	0.32	-1.15	-0.38	-15	12	-27	16.1	13.9	2.24	14.6	15.1	-0.46
Nikola Jokic	73	72	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.38	-16	13	-29	16.1	13.9	2.15	14.9	14.4	0.57
Aaron Gordon	68	70	-0.85	0.35	-1.20	-0.38	-16	13	-29	16.1	14.0	2.12	14.9	14.4	0.49

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaac Okoro	73	75	1.21	-0.71	1.91	0.68	18	-15	33	14.9	14.5	0.36	15.4	15.5	-0.09
Darius Garland	89	89	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.22	25	-22	47	14.4	16.6	-2.14	16.3	10.6	5.72
Lauri Markkanen	83	84	0.93	-0.43	1.36	0.31	21	-18	39	14.6	15.2	-0.54	15.7	14.1	1.58
Caris LeVert	54	55	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.64	-7	10	-17	15.3	14.2	1.12	15.9	14.8	1.09
Evan Mobley	78	76	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.28	-2	5	-7	14.9	14.2	0.71	15.1	16.1	-0.99
Lamar Stevens	43	44	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.18	8	-5	13	14.4	15.0	-0.53	15.2	15.5	-0.35
Moses Brown	11	11	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.04	-7	10	-17	13.9	14.9	-0.94	11.0	15.9	-4.89
Dylan Windler	14	14	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.07	-11	14	-25	14.6	14.8	-0.21	10.5	16.1	-5.63
Kevin Love	59	59	-0.41	0.91	-1.32	-0.14	-9	12	-21	14.7	14.8	-0.09	16.2	14.3	1.88
Brandon Goodwin	21	23	-0.47	0.97	-1.45	0.14	-21	24	-45	15.4	14.6	0.85	13.7	15.8	-2.10

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.66,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.64,0.54,0.42,0.29,0.36,0.44,0.33,0.28,0.32,0.28,0.31,0.33,0.27,0.2,0.25,0.23,0.15,0.17,0.27,0.23,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.15,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.06,0.14,0.24,0.46,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.74,0.46,0.31,0.11,0.15,0.53,1
Game		Similarity Score
GSW 124, POR 129	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.59,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.47,0.38,0.33,0.3,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.36,0.39,0.4,0.33,0.42,0.31,0.26,0.25,0.3,0.27,0.23,0.14,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.21,0.3,0.26,0.29,0.33,0.32,0.41,0.6,0.47,0.26,0.28,0.65,0.58,0.46,0.39,0.1,0.06,0.16,1	86.3%
POR 80, LAC 79	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.54,0.57,0.55,0.52,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.42,0.36,0.29,0.25,0.33,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.42,0.39,0.39,0.37,0.32,0.2,0.25,0.24,0.3,0.23,0.15,0.16,0.15,0.1,0.07,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.17,0.34,0.39,0.47,0.54,0.68,0.73,0	85.8%
ATL 98, CHA 100	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.48,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.53,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.3,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.33,0.31,0.28,0.29,0.22,0.18,0.19,0.22,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.3,0.27,0.26,0.22,0.31,0.37,0.26,0.18,0.13,0.1,0.09,0.11,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.29,0.43,0.59,0.46,0.69,0.54,0.24,0.58,1	85.5%