NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

LA Clippers	106		Excitement	6.9 [472]		MVP	Luke Kennard (LAC): +35.9%
Detroit Pistons	102		Comeback	8.4 [277]		LVP	Nicolas Batum (LAC): -11.7%

LA Clippers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Luke Kennard	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.13,0.24,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.09	0.26	-0.01	13	62%	0.36	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaiah Hartenstein	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.12	0.00	7	67%	0.19	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.02
Marcus Morris Sr.	0.16	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.13,0.16	0.16	0.03	0.03	19	67%	0.21	2	-0.05	8	100%	0.04
Reggie Jackson	0.10	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.08,-0.1,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.1,0.09,0.1	0.00	0.10	0.01	16	47%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Terance Mann	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.04	0.04	0.01	3	75%	0.07	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Ivica Zubac	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.03	-0.01	11	54%	0.10	2	-0.06	4	50%	-0.02
Brandon Boston Jr.	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Amir Coffey	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	11	33%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	-0.12	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	6	17%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jerami Grant	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.04,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.18,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.27,0.27,0.32,0.32,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26	0.26	0.08	0.15	-0.03	15	64%	0.30	2	-0.04	3	100%	0.04
Isaiah Livers	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.09	0.06	0.00	5	90%	0.15	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02	0.02	0.02	0.01	0.01	13	54%	0.04	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.01	-0.01	11	46%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.03	-0.01	0.01	4	75%	0.05	2	-0.05	4	100%	0.02
Saben Lee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.01	0.00	2	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	10	45%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Cade Cunningham	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.04,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0.08,-0.02,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	0.02	-0.07	0.03	20	53%	0.04	3	-0.11	3	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.2	2.5	31.3	14.6	26.2	2.8	30.6	131.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAC +34.8%

DET -11.0%

LAC +15.0%

LAC +9.9%

LAC +1.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAC	DET	NBA	LAC	DET	NBA
this game	16.7	14.7	14.5	116.5	110.9	110.8
season	14.6	14.6		108.8	105.0
opponent	14.4	14.5		112.6	109.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAC	16.4	15.7	16.6	18.6	16.7
DET	14.2	12.4	15.4	17.4	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

LA Clippers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Reggie Jackson	73	75	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.34	11	-7	18	16.8	16.6	0.24	15.2	12.5	2.71
Luke Kennard	48	51	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.37	6	-2	8	16.4	17.1	-0.74	14.5	15.1	-0.60
Nicolas Batum	47	49	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.14	11	-7	18	16.5	17.0	-0.53	15.4	14.0	1.48
Ivica Zubac	58	59	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.13	10	-6	16	16.2	17.7	-1.44	14.4	15.3	-0.88
Marcus Morris Sr.	66	68	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.18	8	-4	12	16.0	18.6	-2.55	15.3	13.0	2.30
Terance Mann	47	44	0.08	0.42	-0.33	0.32	-8	12	-20	16.7	16.8	-0.05	14.3	15.1	-0.81
Isaiah Hartenstein	30	31	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.19	-4	8	-12	18.8	15.7	3.06	15.9	14.1	1.80
Amir Coffey	70	67	-0.03	0.53	-0.56	0.20	-8	12	-20	17.2	15.1	2.09	14.2	16.2	-2.06
Brandon Boston Jr.	16	16	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	0.05	-6	10	-16	17.2	16.6	0.61	10.9	15.5	-4.60

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Saddiq Bey	68	67	0.13	-0.63	0.75	-0.02	5	-9	14	14.0	16.7	-2.66	16.2	18.3	-2.15
Kelly Olynyk	31	28	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	0.05	-9	5	-14	13.8	15.2	-1.46	15.9	17.1	-1.29
Saben Lee	34	31	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	0	-4	15.1	14.5	0.60	15.7	17.3	-1.57
Jerami Grant	68	68	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-5	6	15.0	14.1	0.89	17.4	14.9	2.45
Cade Cunningham	84	84	-0.35	-0.15	-0.20	-0.38	1	-5	6	15.0	12.1	2.86	16.7	17.0	-0.27
Marvin Bagley III	56	58	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.41	1	-5	6	15.7	13.2	2.54	17.7	15.1	2.55
Cory Joseph	66	67	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.28	-5	1	-6	14.2	16.0	-1.81	17.3	15.3	1.92
Isaiah Livers	53	52	-0.69	0.19	-0.87	-0.39	-10	6	-16	14.8	14.6	0.26	16.1	17.6	-1.47

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.56,0.65,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.66,0.7,0.8,0.79,0.84,0.85,0.84,0.82,0.82,0.69,0.77,0.8,0.86,0.89,0.82,0.8,0.78,0.81,0.82,0.75,0.81,0.79,0.67,0.68,0.58,0.66,0.71,0.53,0.54,0.36,0.35,0.23,0.25,0.36,0.31,0.09,0
Game		Similarity Score
ORL 107, CLE 106	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.57,0.6,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.76,0.75,0.75,0.78,0.8,0.8,0.78,0.88,0.84,0.77,0.83,0.81,0.79,0.77,0.74,0.79,0.7,0.63,0.56,0.66,0.66,0.48,0.57,0.42,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.31,0.36,0.32,0.16,0	92.9%
SAS 105, DAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.71,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.74,0.75,0.78,0.76,0.82,0.85,0.84,0.85,0.86,0.81,0.83,0.81,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.81,0.75,0.73,0.7,0.64,0.74,0.74,0.75,0.73,0.63,0.75,0.7,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.42,0.53,0.29,0.17,0.23,0.29,0.47,0.05,0	92.0%
SAC 89, PHX 82	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.47,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.63,0.65,0.69,0.74,0.76,0.78,0.83,0.82,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.86,0.85,0.85,0.83,0.81,0.78,0.8,0.81,0.77,0.65,0.7,0.73,0.79,0.81,0.76,0.77,0.81,0.75,0.66,0.66,0.62,0.71,0.63,0.47,0.36,0.18,0.38,0.16,0.15,0.02,0	91.9%