inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
New Orleans Pelicans 130 Excitement9.4 [95] MVPNikola Jokic (DEN): +63.7%
Denver Nuggets 138 Comeback85.2 [34] LVPDeMarcus Cousins (DEN): -10.1%


New Orleans Pelicans
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Ingram0.230,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.08,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.33,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.37,0.37,0.44,0.44,0.23,0.230.080.11-0.042462%0.535-0.301385%0.09
Tony Snell0.150,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.080.080.012150%0.1500.0000%0.00
Jonas Valanciunas0.060,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.020.03-0.011659%0.123-0.0600%0.00
Devonte' Graham0.060,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.060.030.03-0.001052%0.071-0.02333%-0.04
Jose Alvarado0.050,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.000.01475%0.0500.0000%0.00
Willy Hernangomez0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01-0.040.04-0.01938%0.041-0.03367%0.00
Naji Marshall0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0-0.000.010.00250%0.0000.00450%-0.00
Jaxson Hayes0.000,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.010.000.01650%0.0000.0000%0.00
CJ McCollum-0.040,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0,0,-0.040.07-0.060.051955%-0.001-0.03667%-0.05
Herbert Jones-0.080,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.15,-0.15,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.01-0.01939%0.053-0.1300%0.00

Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Nikola Jokic0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.13,0.39,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.64,0.640.640.280.400.052282%0.885-0.241292%0.19
Aaron Gordon0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,-0.01,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.16,0.16,0.160.160.070.110.021757%0.253-0.091567%-0.03
JaMychal Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.150.150.080.05-0.024100%0.151-0.002100%0.01
Bones Hyland0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.070.010.00579%0.091-0.02475%0.01
Bryn Forbes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.030.01-0.01558%0.0500.002100%0.01
Jeff Green0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.020.020.01750%0.0200.002100%0.01
Will Barton0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.020.02-0.020.02756%0.011-0.03250%-0.02
Monte Morris0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05-0.050.05-0.060.031460%0.062-0.112100%0.00
Austin Rivers0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.03-0.05-0.0120%-0.0700.0000%0.00
DeMarcus Cousins0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1-0.10-0.10-0.02-0.02410%-0.082-0.02250%-0.01
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 OT1Total
this game24.52.528.20.230.81.645.21.614.3148.9
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.32.315.4134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DEN +0.9%
DEN +32.7%
DEN +8.2%
DEN +6.7%
DEN +1.4%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsNOPDENNBANOPDENNBA
this game15.013.414.5116.1123.2110.8
season14.714.8110.9113.4
opponent14.414.6111.6112.0

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4OTTotal
NOP15.315.412.416.415.915.0
DEN13.513.415.99.917.413.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New Orleans Pelicans
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jose Alvarado23220.52-1.021.540.0217-254213.615.3-1.7214.313.21.06
Jaxson Hayes51530.33-0.831.150.098-162415.614.51.0914.812.22.68
Devonte' Graham48470.10-0.600.710.052-101214.415.4-1.0812.314.2-1.93
Jonas Valanciunas62620.01-0.510.520.16-5-3-215.514.31.2914.312.32.02
Tony Snell4040-0.03-0.470.44-0.092-101213.815.6-1.8310.714.9-4.19
Naji Marshall2121-0.11-0.390.280.01-4-4014.415.1-0.7311.913.8-1.92
Brandon Ingram8283-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.22-80-815.214.40.7813.812.31.45
Willy Hernangomez5047-0.570.07-0.65-0.34-80-814.315.5-1.2912.813.8-1.02
Herbert Jones8283-0.830.33-1.15-0.36-168-2415.713.02.6513.712.80.89
CJ McCollum9293-0.960.46-1.43-0.38-2012-3215.014.60.3913.314.2-0.95

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Nikola Jokic89880.90-0.401.290.2522-143613.214.4-1.2215.712.13.63
Monte Morris74730.83-0.331.160.3915-72213.812.71.0715.813.42.48
Austin Rivers55540.53-0.030.550.269-11011.715.0-3.2915.414.50.91
Aaron Gordon86860.490.010.480.2010-21214.211.03.1515.413.71.72
Jeff Green62610.270.230.040.1835-213.413.5-0.1515.214.70.56
Bryn Forbes33340.050.45-0.410.10-210-1212.613.8-1.2012.815.9-3.09
Will Barton5050-0.060.56-0.62-0.03-19-1014.612.52.0615.214.80.48
JaMychal Green4143-0.260.76-1.01-0.14-412-1612.613.9-1.2414.115.5-1.39
Bones Hyland3839-0.330.83-1.16-0.13-715-2212.713.8-1.0713.415.8-2.48
DeMarcus Cousins2323-0.410.91-1.32-0.03-1321-3414.413.21.2212.615.6-3.03


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.53,0.51,0.56,0.6,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.81,0.84,0.8,0.74,0.78,0.77,0.79,0.84,0.81,0.83,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.64,0.63,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.55,0.52,0.56,0.59,0.44,0.21,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.2,0.23,0.11,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.1,0.04,0.54,0.55,0.36,0.55,0.95,1
GameSimilarity Score
ORL 111, BOS 1160.5,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.65,0.66,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.54,0.68,0.68,0.72,0.73,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.75,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.64,0.61,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.59,0.44,0.33,0.29,0.08,0.19,0.24,0.14,0.05,0.06,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.1,0.18,0.46,0.46,0.54,0.68,0.84,189.2%
MEM 86, PHI 890.5,0.51,0.46,0.45,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.57,0.67,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.78,0.82,0.84,0.83,0.81,0.83,0.75,0.73,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.35,0.44,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.25,0.29,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.18,0.19,0.15,0.1,0.05,0.46,0.76,0.64,0.84,0.91,188.5%
LAL 113, DEN 1170.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.59,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.74,0.76,0.71,0.7,0.71,0.7,0.67,0.62,0.67,0.7,0.69,0.71,0.64,0.61,0.59,0.63,0.68,0.72,0.67,0.58,0.49,0.42,0.35,0.41,0.34,0.22,0.22,0.13,0.12,0.07,0.08,0.15,0.31,0.24,0.18,0.31,0.17,0.04,0.27,0.46,0.53,0.54,0.85,0.99,187.8%