NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	120		Excitement	8.6 [187]		MVP	Jayson Tatum (BOS): +65.1%
Boston Celtics	126		Comeback	4.4 [495]		LVP	Kyrie Irving (BKN): -15.8%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bruce Brown	0.21	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.21,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21	0.12	0.09	0.00	10	70%	0.21	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Seth Curry	0.14	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.05	0.09	0.00	6	67%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.07	0.06	-0.00	10	70%	0.17	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Durant	0.06	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.07,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.11,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.19,0.15,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.1,0.06,0.06	0.13	-0.07	0.01	21	71%	0.30	7	-0.25	10	90%	0.06
Andre Drummond	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.03	0.02	-0.00	5	60%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Patty Mills	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	-0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Goran Dragic	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.02	0.00	7	44%	0.05	1	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
James Johnson	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.01	-0.01	0.02	4	42%	-0.04	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.02
Cam Thomas	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	3	50%	0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Kyrie Irving	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.1,-0.1,-0.16,-0.23,-0.16,-0.16	-0.00	-0.11	0.05	18	51%	-0.05	3	-0.11	1	100%	0.00

Boston Celtics
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jayson Tatum	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.21,0.24,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.18,0.15,0.32,0.32,0.36,0.41,0.38,0.38,0.42,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.53,0.65,0.65	0.65	0.36	0.31	0.02	30	70%	0.74	2	-0.09	17	82%	0.08
Jaylen Brown	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15	0.15	0.08	0.08	0.01	17	58%	0.17	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.11	0.03	0.01	7	81%	0.13	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Robert Williams III	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.07	-0.01	0.01	7	71%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Derrick White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	0.01	0.00	3	60%	0.04	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Payton Pritchard	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	0.00	3	50%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Theis	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	0.00	0	37%	-0.02	1	-0.02	8	37%	-0.09
Marcus Smart	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	0.00	10	56%	0.06	5	-0.13	5	80%	0.01
Grant Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.00	6	17%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.3	3.4	26.5	15.6	29.4	3.5	34.3	143.0
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BOS +18.7%

BOS +10.4%

BKN -7.3%

BOS +26.0%

BOS +2.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	BOS	NBA	BKN	BOS	NBA
this game	14.4	14.2	14.5	118.8	124.8	110.8
season	14.4	14.9		112.8	112.2
opponent	14.7	14.5		105.7	112.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	14.8	13.6	13.7	15.4	14.4
BOS	15.2	14.7	14.0	12.9	14.2

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cam Thomas	9	9	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.01	2	-8	10	14.4	14.3	0.10	14.4	14.1	0.31
James Johnson	15	14	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.04	-2	-4	2	13.3	14.5	-1.20	15.3	14.0	1.31
LaMarcus Aldridge	46	47	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.20	2	-8	10	14.0	14.6	-0.57	16.2	12.4	3.76
Seth Curry	59	61	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.18	1	-7	8	14.4	14.4	-0.00	14.3	13.9	0.39
Andre Drummond	37	36	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.04	-8	2	-10	15.1	14.0	1.10	12.2	15.2	-2.97
Patty Mills	30	29	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.05	-6	0	-6	14.4	14.4	0.01	13.5	14.4	-0.90
Bruce Brown	60	62	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.25	0	-6	6	14.9	13.6	1.30	14.8	13.1	1.72
Nic Claxton	38	37	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.21	-4	-2	-2	15.0	14.0	1.07	13.1	14.8	-1.66
Goran Dragic	49	49	-0.37	-0.13	-0.25	-0.17	-7	1	-8	13.8	14.8	-1.01	13.6	14.7	-1.10
Kevin Durant	82	83	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.29	-3	-3	0	14.0	16.0	-2.02	14.3	13.7	0.60
Kyrie Irving	80	78	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.34	-5	-1	-4	14.4	14.2	0.15	13.9	15.0	-1.03

Boston Celtics
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jayson Tatum	88	88	0.73	-0.23	0.96	0.38	12	-6	18	13.8	16.3	-2.47	14.4	14.4	-0.03
Al Horford	65	64	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.29	8	-2	10	13.3	15.7	-2.34	15.1	13.1	2.06
Daniel Theis	23	23	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.10	11	-5	16	12.0	14.8	-2.85	15.8	13.9	1.85
Payton Pritchard	27	27	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.19	7	-1	8	13.1	14.5	-1.38	15.4	14.0	1.43
Jaylen Brown	74	73	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.29	-3	9	-12	14.5	13.3	1.13	14.1	15.0	-0.94
Marcus Smart	74	74	0.11	0.39	-0.29	0.14	-1	7	-8	14.5	13.1	1.38	14.0	15.4	-1.43
Robert Williams III	78	78	0.08	0.42	-0.34	0.23	-5	11	-16	14.8	12.0	2.85	13.9	15.8	-1.85
Derrick White	40	41	0.07	0.43	-0.35	-0.01	3	3	0	14.3	14.1	0.23	14.8	14.0	0.80
Grant Williams	36	37	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.03	-2	8	-10	15.7	13.3	2.34	13.1	15.1	-2.06

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.56,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.42,0.37,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.41,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.58,0.58,0.59,0.41,0.24,0.26,0.21,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.61,0.6,0.69,0.85,0.78,0.68,0.54,0.77,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 76, UTA 83	0.5,0.51,0.47,0.5,0.54,0.5,0.47,0.47,0.47,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.46,0.52,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.47,0.49,0.39,0.36,0.44,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.4,0.46,0.48,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.44,0.62,0.62,0.57,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.76,0.83,0.69,0.64,0.91,0.99,1	91.8%
DAL 97, MIL 100	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.48,0.43,0.48,0.41,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.51,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.44,0.39,0.46,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.58,0.43,0.45,0.53,0.58,0.65,0.59,0.41,0.31,0.33,0.48,0.46,0.38,0.43,0.42,0.47,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.61,0.46,0.84,0.91,1	91.5%
POR 89, WAS 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.47,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.41,0.34,0.34,0.35,0.3,0.37,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.44,0.41,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.55,0.7,0.73,0.58,0.59,0.52,0.37,0.3,0.32,0.46,0.48,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.64,0.76,0.78,0.9,0.71,0.83,0.9,1	91.3%