NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	108		Excitement	8.6 [184]		MVP	Gary Trent Jr. (TOR): +32.4%
Toronto Raptors	109		Comeback	6.5 [391]		LVP	Pascal Siakam (TOR): -15.5%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
LaMarcus Aldridge	0.13	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.08	0.06	0.02	12	59%	0.13	0	0.00	3	100%	0.03
Seth Curry	0.12	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.12	0.02	0.10	-0.01	16	51%	0.19	2	-0.07	3	67%	-0.01
Blake Griffin	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.02	0.04	-0.02	8	56%	0.11	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nic Claxton	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.00	3	100%	0.10	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Cam Thomas	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.02	0.00	8	61%	0.09	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
Goran Dragic	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.03	-0.00	8	48%	0.05	1	-0.03	5	40%	-0.04
James Johnson	0.02	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02	0.11	-0.03	0.07	11	76%	0.09	2	-0.08	3	67%	-0.01
Kessler Edwards	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bruce Brown	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.02	-0.06	0.01	10	43%	-0.06	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Patty Mills	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.09	0.02	-0.09	0.01	7	57%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gary Trent Jr.	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.08,0.04,0.32	0.32	0.08	0.23	-0.01	17	56%	0.32	0	0.00	9	100%	0.18
Thaddeus Young	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.07	-0.01	9	55%	0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Khem Birch	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.07	0.02	0.01	7	69%	0.07	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Malachi Flynn	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.06	0.04	0.02	11	62%	0.11	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Chris Boucher	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.03	0.00	0.00	6	57%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Scottie Barnes	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.04	0.00	0.03	13	64%	0.10	3	-0.09	2	100%	0.01
Dalano Banton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	-0.00	1	0%	-0.03	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Precious Achiuwa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	7	29%	-0.10	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.06,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15	-0.15	-0.07	-0.06	0.02	19	43%	-0.07	4	-0.09	4	100%	0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	2.4	27.4	14.8	25.6	1.7	36.1	133.9
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

BKN -32.4%

TOR +26.0%

TOR +40.6%

TOR +2.5%

TOR +13.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	TOR	NBA	BKN	TOR	NBA
this game	15.0	14.7	14.5	111.3	112.4	110.8
season	14.4	14.9		112.8	111.3
opponent	14.8	14.5		109.9	112.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	15.2	15.7	12.3	17.0	15.0
TOR	13.6	15.6	15.3	14.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Goran Dragic	30	31	0.36	-0.86	1.23	-0.08	15	-16	31	14.4	15.2	-0.84	14.7	14.7	-0.05
Cam Thomas	38	38	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.13	-1	0	-1	15.0	15.0	-0.01	13.6	15.4	-1.82
Blake Griffin	38	37	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.09	-2	1	-3	14.7	15.2	-0.44	14.4	14.9	-0.58
Kessler Edwards	5	4	0.01	-0.51	0.52	-0.02	1	-2	3	17.8	14.8	2.97	9.7	14.9	-5.17
Nic Claxton	44	46	-0.00	-0.50	0.49	-0.15	5	-6	11	14.6	15.3	-0.63	15.7	13.8	1.95
James Johnson	65	65	-0.29	-0.21	-0.07	-0.20	-3	2	-5	14.6	15.8	-1.20	14.3	15.6	-1.32
LaMarcus Aldridge	59	60	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.56	1	-2	3	15.2	14.7	0.44	14.9	14.4	0.58
Bruce Brown	68	66	-0.60	0.10	-0.69	-0.39	-7	6	-13	15.4	14.0	1.35	14.7	14.7	0.00
Patty Mills	65	65	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	-0.48	-9	8	-17	15.1	14.7	0.34	14.4	15.2	-0.80
Seth Curry	73	73	-0.84	0.34	-1.19	-0.70	-5	4	-9	15.1	14.6	0.53	15.5	12.2	3.38

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Gary Trent Jr.	79	80	1.06	-0.56	1.61	0.47	20	-19	39	14.1	17.4	-3.29	15.5	12.7	2.76
Pascal Siakam	70	71	0.64	-0.14	0.78	0.20	15	-14	29	14.0	16.6	-2.66	16.0	12.1	3.97
Scottie Barnes	82	80	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.62	0	1	-1	15.0	13.0	2.02	15.4	12.8	2.61
Malachi Flynn	86	87	0.53	-0.03	0.57	0.45	3	-2	5	14.6	15.3	-0.63	14.9	16.0	-1.14
Thaddeus Young	45	46	0.32	0.18	0.14	0.58	-9	10	-19	15.4	14.1	1.24	15.0	15.0	-0.00
Precious Achiuwa	37	36	0.01	0.49	-0.49	0.15	-5	6	-11	14.3	15.0	-0.71	14.5	15.3	-0.81
Khem Birch	38	37	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.02	-4	5	-9	14.6	14.8	-0.17	14.4	15.3	-0.97
Chris Boucher	37	38	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	-0.10	-3	4	-7	15.2	14.4	0.77	13.9	15.7	-1.83
Dalano Banton	11	10	-0.39	0.89	-1.28	-0.04	-12	13	-25	19.5	14.1	5.45	9.2	15.6	-6.44

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.49,0.51,0.59,0.68,0.61,0.69,0.71,0.65,0.6,0.61,0.64,0.56,0.49,0.47,0.42,0.41,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.48,0.58,0.59,0.44,0.59,0.4,0.25,0.19,0.18,0.14,0.13,0.32,0.31,0.29,0.27,0.53,0.72,0.85,0.83,1
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 96, CHA 100	0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.53,0.72,0.87,0.92,1	91.6%
SAS 129, MIL 135	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.62,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.32,0.22,0.1,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.1,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.54,0.91,0.92,1	90.9%
TOR 73, IND 77	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.28,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.92,1	90.7%