NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	96		Excitement	8.3 [227]		MVP	Cody Zeller (CHA): +28.3%
Charlotte Hornets	100		Comeback	7.7 [209]		LVP	Kent Bazemore (ATL): -16.2%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Paul Millsap	0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.10	0.05	-0.03	13	69%	0.21	2	-0.04	6	83%	0.01
Tim Hardaway Jr.	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.02	0.08	-0.01	9	50%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Korver	0.11	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.11,0.11	-0.02	0.12	-0.01	6	42%	0.14	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kris Humphries	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	75%	0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Mike Muscala	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.17,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.04	-0.04	0.00	8	65%	0.04	2	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Dwight Howard	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	0.01	0.02	9	42%	-0.02	1	-0.03	6	33%	-0.06
Taurean Prince	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Malcolm Delaney	-0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.08	-0.02	-0.00	8	25%	-0.07	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.12	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12	-0.05	-0.06	0.00	12	42%	-0.04	2	-0.08	2	50%	-0.02
Kent Bazemore	-0.16	0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.16	0.00	-0.13	0.04	15	59%	0.01	4	-0.18	2	100%	0.03

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cody Zeller	0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28	0.28	0.12	0.18	0.02	10	85%	0.34	3	-0.06	7	71%	0.11
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.19,-0.19,-0.23,-0.2,-0.2,-0.2,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.03,-0.13,-0.07,0,0.11,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.01	0.10	-0.00	20	46%	0.13	1	-0.04	6	50%	-0.06
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,0.06,0.06	0.06	-0.05	0.12	0.01	10	33%	0.08	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.01
Nicolas Batum	0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.11,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.16,0.14,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.11,0.11,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.08	-0.09	-0.02	17	63%	0.05	3	-0.04	4	100%	0.03
Ramon Sessions	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Marco Belinelli	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.04	0.03	-0.00	7	37%	0.02	1	-0.03	2	50%	-0.01
Roy Hibbert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	0.00	1	25%	-0.03	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02
Marvin Williams	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.01	-0.04	-0.02	9	44%	0.02	1	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Frank Kaminsky	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11	-0.11	-0.10	-0.03	-0.02	11	18%	-0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	21.4	2.4	25.5	15.3	24.1	1.8	35.1	125.7
league avg	24.8	2.3	29.6	15.7	26.8	2.3	33.5	136.4

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -1.0%

CHA +12.0%

CHA +0.4%

CHA +30.4%

CHA +8.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	CHA	NBA	ATL	CHA	NBA
this game	14.8	14.3	14.8	98.0	100.0	107.7
season	14.4	15.1		104.2	107.9
opponent	14.8	14.9		107.9	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.0	16.3	13.3	15.8	14.8
CHA	13.7	15.0	13.9	14.8	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taurean Prince	36	36	0.40	-0.90	1.31	0.17	8	-12	20	14.0	15.2	-1.18	13.1	15.0	-1.98
Malcolm Delaney	37	37	0.22	-0.72	0.95	0.05	6	-10	16	15.2	14.5	0.66	13.0	15.1	-2.10
Kris Humphries	8	9	-0.04	-0.46	0.42	0.02	-2	-2	0	18.5	14.4	4.06	13.4	14.4	-0.96
Dwight Howard	62	63	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	0.02	-7	3	-10	15.1	14.2	0.83	14.8	13.4	1.41
Mike Muscala	51	51	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.31	4	-8	12	14.6	15.0	-0.35	14.4	14.2	0.15
Tim Hardaway Jr.	47	48	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.27	-4	0	-4	14.7	14.8	-0.10	14.2	14.4	-0.21
Kyle Korver	58	60	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.31	-3	-1	-2	15.0	14.4	0.59	14.8	13.6	1.16
Paul Millsap	71	71	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.35	-5	1	-6	14.5	15.4	-0.82	13.6	16.0	-2.32
Kent Bazemore	59	62	-0.70	0.20	-0.90	-0.50	-7	3	-10	14.6	15.0	-0.37	15.0	13.2	1.79
Dennis Schroder	61	63	-0.72	0.22	-0.95	-0.43	-10	6	-16	14.5	15.2	-0.66	15.1	13.0	2.10

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Marvin Williams	58	58	0.78	-0.28	1.07	0.40	13	-9	22	14.8	13.7	1.04	14.4	15.3	-0.89
Cody Zeller	64	62	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.37	10	-6	16	15.0	13.1	1.89	14.2	15.8	-1.58
Kemba Walker	71	69	0.60	-0.10	0.70	0.43	6	-2	8	14.9	12.9	2.05	13.9	16.8	-2.91
Nicolas Batum	72	69	0.51	-0.01	0.53	0.40	4	0	4	14.4	14.0	0.39	13.9	16.9	-3.01
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist	70	70	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.13	11	-7	18	14.4	14.1	0.36	15.4	13.2	2.19
Marco Belinelli	56	54	0.07	0.43	-0.37	0.27	-7	11	-18	13.9	14.8	-0.85	15.3	14.1	1.20
Ramon Sessions	31	32	-0.13	0.63	-0.76	-0.07	-2	6	-8	13.1	14.9	-1.73	16.3	14.0	2.24
Roy Hibbert	36	36	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	0.01	-6	10	-16	13.1	15.0	-1.89	15.8	14.2	1.58
Frank Kaminsky	42	40	-0.28	0.78	-1.07	-0.02	-9	13	-22	13.7	14.8	-1.04	15.3	14.4	0.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.66,0.62,0.64,0.58,0.52,0.58,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.42,0.33,0.27,0.36,0.32,0.52,0.48,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.3,0.22,0.14,0.13,0.27,0.31,0.34,0.39,0.53,0.72,0.87,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 73, IND 77	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.53,0.57,0.58,0.62,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.33,0.39,0.39,0.35,0.45,0.56,0.52,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.25,0.28,0.23,0.26,0.3,0.28,0.62,0.63,0.78,0.92,1	92.4%
NYK 109, LAL 120	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.14,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.6,0.85,0.72,0.85,1,1	91.9%
SAS 129, MIL 135	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.59,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.66,0.71,0.69,0.63,0.62,0.54,0.52,0.49,0.58,0.53,0.51,0.44,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.56,0.59,0.51,0.5,0.42,0.42,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.44,0.32,0.22,0.1,0.18,0.17,0.19,0.1,0.29,0.33,0.31,0.54,0.91,0.92,1	91.7%