NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

New York Knicks	109		Excitement	7.9 [245]		MVP	Lamar Odom (LAL): +31.0%
Los Angeles Lakers	120		Comeback	6.3 [393]		LVP	Zach Randolph (NYK): -20.6%

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nate Robinson	0.28	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.16,0.16,0.23,0.23,0.29,0.34,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.28,0.28	0.10	0.15	-0.02	15	65%	0.30	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.06
David Lee	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.10	0.04	0.01	13	68%	0.18	2	-0.06	5	100%	0.03
Eddy Curry	0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.05	0.00	0.00	5	67%	0.07	1	-0.03	5	80%	0.01
Jamal Crawford	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.19,0.15,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.01	20	51%	0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.02
Mardy Collins	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jared Jeffries	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Richardson	-0.05	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.00	12	50%	-0.01	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Renaldo Balkman	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	4	30%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Zach Randolph	-0.21	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.09,-0.13,-0.21,-0.21	-0.11	-0.10	-0.00	20	38%	-0.08	3	-0.13	2	100%	0.01

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Lamar Odom	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.23,0.23,0.31,0.31,0.31	0.31	0.15	0.18	0.02	10	73%	0.33	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.03
Sasha Vujacic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.24,0.24,0.21,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.15	0.10	0.03	13	74%	0.22	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Ronny Turiaf	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.04	0.05	-0.02	10	58%	0.13	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.04
Kobe Bryant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.15,-0.12,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.02	0.06	-0.03	21	50%	0.15	4	-0.07	6	50%	-0.05
Derek Fisher	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.06	-0.02	0.00	11	65%	0.07	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.02
Vladimir Radmanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.04	-0.01	0.00	2	150%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Jordan Farmar	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.02	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DJ Mbenga	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	0.00	2	17%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Luke Walton	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.05	-0.00	-0.00	3	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Javaris Crittenton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kwame Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.01	-0.06	0.01	6	56%	0.02	2	-0.11	6	33%	-0.04

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	2.4	33.3	14.6	27.4	2.5	32.5	137.9
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

LAL +35.9%

LAL +9.0%

LAL +6.6%

NYK -2.0%

LAL +0.6%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	NYK	LAL	NBA	NYK	LAL	NBA
this game	14.9	14.8	15.4	113.5	122.4	105.7
season	15.7	14.6		103.1	110.6
opponent	15.2	15.2		104.1	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
NYK	13.6	13.0	15.2	18.0	14.9
LAL	15.2	15.2	13.0	16.2	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jared Jeffries	20	20	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.09	-2	-9	7	15.8	14.6	1.26	18.1	14.0	4.10
Mardy Collins	19	19	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.14	-4	-7	3	16.1	14.6	1.49	15.6	14.6	0.99
Renaldo Balkman	19	19	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	0.13	-5	-6	1	16.2	14.5	1.69	17.9	14.1	3.86
David Lee	76	76	-0.21	-0.29	0.08	-0.18	-1	-10	9	14.8	15.1	-0.31	14.4	16.4	-1.97
Jamal Crawford	88	90	-0.40	-0.10	-0.31	-0.20	-7	-4	-3	14.8	15.2	-0.43	14.6	18.0	-3.44
Eddy Curry	30	33	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	0.06	-16	5	-21	14.6	15.0	-0.37	16.6	13.9	2.71
Quentin Richardson	77	79	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	-5	-1	14.5	16.2	-1.69	14.1	17.9	-3.86
Zach Randolph	79	80	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.31	-6	-5	-1	14.5	16.4	-1.82	14.0	18.5	-4.49
Nate Robinson	72	74	-0.54	0.04	-0.57	-0.30	-8	-3	-5	14.8	14.9	-0.08	14.6	15.5	-0.82

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kwame Brown	57	55	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.08	27	-16	43	15.8	13.5	2.28	15.4	14.1	1.28
Jordan Farmar	52	50	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.22	17	-6	23	13.8	16.0	-2.11	15.3	14.3	1.01
Sasha Vujacic	50	50	0.69	-0.19	0.89	0.20	17	-6	23	14.2	15.5	-1.30	15.7	13.9	1.77
Lamar Odom	73	72	0.46	0.04	0.43	0.17	10	1	9	15.4	13.3	2.09	15.4	13.2	2.14
Kobe Bryant	90	88	0.40	0.10	0.31	0.20	7	4	3	14.6	18.0	-3.44	14.8	15.2	-0.43
Luke Walton	15	15	0.11	0.39	-0.27	-0.06	6	5	1	17.9	14.3	3.58	15.5	14.7	0.80
DJ Mbenga	11	10	-0.05	0.55	-0.61	0.03	-3	14	-17	13.1	15.1	-1.97	12.5	15.1	-2.63
Javaris Crittenton	7	7	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.02	-2	13	-15	15.3	14.8	0.48	12.1	15.1	-2.92
Vladimir Radmanovic	25	24	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.02	-6	17	-23	13.4	15.3	-1.98	12.7	15.6	-2.92
Ronny Turiaf	58	58	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.03	-9	20	-29	14.7	15.1	-0.40	14.6	15.2	-0.59
Derek Fisher	52	51	-0.24	0.74	-0.99	0.02	-9	20	-29	15.5	14.1	1.33	14.2	15.6	-1.40

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.56,0.51,0.59,0.66,0.6,0.57,0.49,0.53,0.47,0.51,0.6,0.58,0.65,0.58,0.63,0.56,0.52,0.42,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.4,0.37,0.32,0.36,0.39,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.41,0.37,0.4,0.42,0.3,0.25,0.14,0.32,0.31,0.41,0.6,0.85,0.72,0.85,1,1
Game		Similarity Score
MEM 117, GSW 122	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.61,0.54,0.54,0.42,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.43,0.42,0.42,0.39,0.35,0.48,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.3,0.21,0.23,0.19,0.31,0.35,0.6,0.81,0.9,0.95,0.99,1	93.5%
MIL 91, BOS 94	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.58,0.55,0.57,0.58,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.65,0.51,0.55,0.6,0.65,0.67,0.59,0.45,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.45,0.49,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.42,0.38,0.27,0.41,0.33,0.4,0.3,0.35,0.21,0.24,0.37,0.31,0.46,0.53,0.81,0.9,0.86,0.92,1	92.8%
DET 84, IND 94	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.6,0.53,0.55,0.51,0.52,0.53,0.54,0.62,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.39,0.48,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.39,0.33,0.42,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.4,0.46,0.38,0.25,0.28,0.42,0.3,0.53,0.61,0.86,0.85,0.99,1,1	92.2%