NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	127		Excitement	7.1 [433]		MVP	Cedi Osman (CLE): +32.9%
Cleveland Cavaliers	122		Comeback	3.2 [556]		LVP	Evan Mobley (CLE): -10.5%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.27	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.27	0.06	0.23	0.02	13	61%	0.33	1	-0.06	2	100%	0.01
D'Angelo Russell	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.06,0.18	0.05	0.15	0.02	17	62%	0.34	4	-0.16	6	83%	0.04
Taurean Prince	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.10	0.07	-0.01	8	71%	0.18	0	0.00	5	80%	0.01
Jaden McDaniels	0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.11,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.13	0.01	0.04	9	94%	0.13	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Patrick Beverley	0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.06	0.03	-0.01	8	69%	0.11	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.04	0.04	0.00	4	67%	0.08	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.03
Malik Beasley	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.01	0.01	6	75%	0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.01	0.02	-0.01	6	50%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Edwards	0.02	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0.02,0.05,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	-0.01	-0.03	13	61%	0.09	4	-0.07	2	100%	0.01
Jordan McLaughlin	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.33	0.33	0.12	0.22	0.00	9	81%	0.39	3	-0.06	8	75%	-0.05
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.16	0.00	0.06	14	74%	0.16	2	-0.05	7	100%	0.02
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.08,0.08	0.08	-0.00	0.07	-0.01	5	43%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.01
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.14,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.12	-0.03	0.03	10	87%	0.24	3	-0.18	4	75%	-0.00
Brandon Goodwin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.08	-0.07	-0.00	13	63%	0.04	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Lamar Stevens	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	-0.01	2	67%	0.02	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.01
Tim Frazier	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	0.00	1	100%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.03	7	50%	0.04	5	-0.13	6	83%	0.02
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.1	-0.10	-0.02	-0.10	-0.01	12	58%	-0.00	4	-0.10	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.0	1.8	32.5	15.0	30.2	2.3	44.8	152.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +42.8%

CLE -0.5%

CLE -16.3%

MIN +25.9%

CLE -2.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	CLE	NBA	MIN	CLE	NBA
this game	14.1	14.8	14.5	127.0	122.0	110.8
season	13.9	15.2		112.6	110.6
opponent	14.4	14.4		108.5	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	14.4	14.3	13.4	14.1	14.1
CLE	13.8	17.0	14.9	13.6	14.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Patrick Beverley	57	58	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.29	9	-4	13	14.0	14.1	-0.16	15.9	13.1	2.85
Anthony Edwards	65	67	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.23	7	-2	9	13.9	14.4	-0.49	15.1	14.1	0.98
D'Angelo Russell	70	71	0.39	0.11	0.29	0.19	7	-2	9	14.1	14.0	0.07	15.1	13.8	1.35
Jarred Vanderbilt	58	55	0.34	0.16	0.19	0.37	-1	6	-7	13.9	14.2	-0.24	15.2	14.2	1.08
Karl-Anthony Towns	72	73	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.34	0	5	-5	13.7	15.1	-1.42	14.6	15.1	-0.44
Taurean Prince	43	42	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.05	8	-3	11	13.6	14.4	-0.86	14.8	14.7	0.14
Naz Reid	28	27	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.01	5	0	5	15.1	13.7	1.42	15.1	14.6	0.44
Jordan McLaughlin	29	29	0.03	0.47	-0.44	0.09	-2	7	-9	14.4	13.9	0.56	13.8	15.1	-1.35
Jaden McDaniels	38	38	-0.00	0.50	-0.51	0.14	-5	10	-15	14.7	13.6	1.07	13.3	15.6	-2.27
Malik Beasley	40	40	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.05	-3	8	-11	14.1	14.0	0.17	13.0	15.9	-2.83

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kevin Love	55	56	-0.13	-0.37	0.25	-0.30	6	-11	17	13.6	16.1	-2.47	14.0	14.1	-0.15
Lamar Stevens	11	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	0.08	-7	2	-9	15.2	14.7	0.49	12.9	14.2	-1.29
Tim Frazier	9	9	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	0.12	-9	4	-13	16.4	14.6	1.86	13.1	14.1	-1.03
Dean Wade	20	20	-0.16	-0.34	0.18	0.13	-10	5	-15	15.6	14.5	1.12	15.3	13.7	1.56
Cedi Osman	60	58	-0.22	-0.28	0.07	-0.39	6	-11	17	14.5	15.1	-0.58	14.0	14.1	-0.12
Brandon Goodwin	74	74	-0.31	-0.19	-0.13	-0.52	7	-12	19	14.1	16.6	-2.47	14.5	12.9	1.57
Evan Mobley	71	71	-0.32	-0.18	-0.13	-0.29	-1	-4	3	14.8	14.5	0.33	14.3	13.4	0.85
Lauri Markkanen	83	83	-0.37	-0.13	-0.24	-0.43	2	-7	9	14.5	16.2	-1.72	13.6	16.2	-2.56
Isaac Okoro	57	56	-0.39	-0.11	-0.27	-0.12	-9	4	-13	15.8	13.3	2.54	14.2	13.9	0.25
Jarrett Allen	69	69	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.18	-7	2	-9	15.0	14.1	0.90	14.0	14.3	-0.30

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.57,0.65,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.75,0.71,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.64,0.58,0.44,0.45,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.46,0.29,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.12,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.07,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.11,0.15,0.18,0.08,0.28,0.2,0.27,0
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 103, BKN 96	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.04,0.09,0.17,0.2,0.07,0,0,0	91.7%
NYK 109, IND 103	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.62,0.62,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.68,0.74,0.72,0.72,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.61,0.58,0.58,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.42,0.38,0.37,0.25,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.07,0.1,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.02,0.06,0.17,0.14,0.28,0.32,0.26,0	91.2%
BOS 95, CLE 89	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.72,0.7,0.67,0.72,0.69,0.72,0.7,0.65,0.64,0.56,0.53,0.56,0.54,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.54,0.51,0.41,0.33,0.31,0.21,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.15,0.12,0.14,0.15,0.16,0.13,0.22,0.15,0.1,0.14,0.15,0.17,0.19,0.13,0.14,0.06,0.1,0.02,0	91.0%