NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	103		Excitement	5.5 [735]		MVP	Norman Powell (TOR): +30.3%
Brooklyn Nets	96		Comeback	4.0 [129]		LVP	Bruno Caboclo (TOR): -12.2%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Norman Powell	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.33,0.29,0.29,0.3,0.3,0.3	0.22	0.08	-0.00	18	77%	0.31	1	-0.01	3	33%	-0.02
Terrence Ross	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.19,0.18,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.09	0.07	-0.02	21	55%	0.18	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Delon Wright	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.05	0.07	-0.03	14	56%	0.16	1	-0.01	4	100%	0.03
Jason Thompson	0.05	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.01	0.02	-0.03	12	46%	0.05	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Patrick Patterson	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.01	-0.00	5	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Bismack Biyombo	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	37%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Lucas Nogueira	-0.03	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.10	-0.02	-0.00	5	17%	-0.07	2	-0.05	2	0%	-0.03
Bruno Caboclo	-0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.15	-0.02	-0.05	9	17%	-0.09	3	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.21,0.23,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.17	-0.00	-0.04	17	78%	0.32	3	-0.11	3	67%	-0.00
Henry Sims	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.00	7	71%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	5	57%	0.02	1	-0.01	4	50%	-0.02
Donald Sloan	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.01	-0.02	-0.00	12	46%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Sean Kilpatrick	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.01	14	41%	-0.01	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Shane Larkin	0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	-0.00	-0.03	7	40%	0.02	2	-0.05	1	0%	-0.02
Wayne Ellington	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	33%	-0.03	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Chris McCullough	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.02	0.01	7	43%	-0.02	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Markel Brown	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.08	-0.00	-0.01	14	32%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.0	1.6	24.6	15.5	22.2	2.5	24.6	119.0
league avg	24.5	2.3	29.5	15.8	26.7	2.3	33.5	136.2

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +28.5%

BKN -3.7%

TOR +24.2%

TOR +5.3%

BKN -4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	BKN	NBA	TOR	BKN	NBA
this game	16.9	14.1	14.9	109.6	104.3	105.1
season	16.1	15.0		107.2	101.9
opponent	14.8	14.8		109.3	104.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	15.0	15.5	18.2	19.1	16.9
BKN	13.8	15.2	13.7	13.6	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delon Wright	75	72	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.25	8	-1	9	16.1	19.9	-3.88	14.0	14.4	-0.46
Bruno Caboclo	70	67	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.27	6	1	5	16.1	19.1	-3.05	14.4	13.4	1.00
Lucas Nogueira	70	68	0.42	0.08	0.35	0.31	4	3	1	17.0	16.5	0.53	14.2	13.9	0.29
Norman Powell	72	70	0.42	0.08	0.34	0.42	0	7	-7	17.3	15.3	2.00	14.2	13.8	0.41
Cory Joseph	33	33	0.19	0.31	-0.11	-0.04	8	-1	9	17.2	16.7	0.51	15.0	13.6	1.47
Patrick Patterson	28	29	0.19	0.31	-0.13	-0.08	9	-2	11	16.9	16.8	0.11	14.6	13.8	0.78
Terrence Ross	54	54	0.19	0.31	-0.13	0.04	5	2	3	17.4	16.1	1.31	13.8	14.5	-0.70
Bismack Biyombo	24	24	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	4	-1	16.5	17.0	-0.53	13.9	14.2	-0.29
Jason Thompson	44	43	0.07	0.43	-0.35	0.31	-8	15	-23	17.7	16.1	1.56	13.0	15.1	-2.13

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Wayne Ellington	34	34	-0.09	-0.41	0.33	-0.17	3	-10	13	14.1	14.1	0.05	15.6	17.5	-1.89
Rondae Hollis-Jefferson	44	45	-0.15	-0.35	0.20	-0.03	-4	-3	-1	14.2	14.0	0.23	18.5	15.3	3.23
Henry Sims	45	46	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.20	-2	-5	3	13.9	14.3	-0.39	16.7	17.0	-0.39
Donald Sloan	48	50	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.11	-5	-2	-3	13.6	14.6	-0.92	17.9	15.6	2.33
Chris McCullough	43	45	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.25	-1	-6	5	14.4	13.8	0.67	15.5	18.1	-2.61
Shane Larkin	56	56	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.27	-1	-6	5	14.2	13.9	0.23	15.9	18.2	-2.28
Bojan Bogdanovic	74	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.22	-5	-2	-3	14.2	13.8	0.38	16.2	19.3	-3.11
Markel Brown	58	60	-0.39	-0.11	-0.28	-0.10	-10	3	-13	14.1	14.1	-0.05	17.5	15.6	1.89
Sean Kilpatrick	58	60	-0.41	-0.09	-0.33	-0.12	-10	3	-13	14.1	14.1	-0.05	17.5	15.6	1.89

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.77,0.79,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.72,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.56,0.49,0.54,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.49,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.19,0.11,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.22,0.25,0.2,0.16,0.04,0.09,0.17,0.2,0.07,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
NJN 113, NYK 93	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.6,0.64,0.72,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.79,0.79,0.78,0.7,0.74,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.63,0.65,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.39,0.46,0.33,0.42,0.32,0.31,0.33,0.3,0.18,0.15,0.16,0.12,0.13,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.25,0.08,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	92.4%
TOR 112, OKC 102	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.54,0.57,0.64,0.67,0.68,0.7,0.69,0.73,0.68,0.73,0.65,0.58,0.49,0.51,0.58,0.61,0.68,0.66,0.61,0.51,0.46,0.41,0.3,0.32,0.28,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.18,0.14,0.19,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.23,0.13,0.15,0.17,0.15,0.01,0,0,0	92.2%
WAS 122, DET 112	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.52,0.58,0.63,0.65,0.62,0.69,0.75,0.74,0.78,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.46,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.54,0.54,0.5,0.43,0.37,0.28,0.22,0.14,0.21,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.14,0.07,0.05,0,0	92.0%