NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	127		Excitement	14.8 [5]		MVP	Kelly Olynyk (DET): +108.7%
Charlotte Hornets	126		Comeback	7.2 [130]		LVP	LaMelo Ball (CHA): -44.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kelly Olynyk	1.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.09,0.19,0.28,0.21,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,1.09	0.15	0.94	0.00	13	71%	1.09	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Saddiq Bey	0.46	0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.03,0.5,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.46,0.46	0.17	0.29	-0.01	18	72%	0.59	2	-0.12	3	100%	0.02
Isaiah Livers	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.02	-0.01	-0.00	6	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerami Grant	-0.00	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,0.1,0.18,0	0.09	-0.10	-0.01	19	68%	0.38	4	-0.38	0	0%	0.00
Hamidou Diallo	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	13	46%	-0.01	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
Cory Joseph	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	4	20%	-0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Rodney McGruder	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.08	-0.03	0.00	5	0%	-0.10	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Killian Hayes	-0.21	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.12,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21,-0.21	-0.04	-0.17	-0.00	7	40%	-0.08	2	-0.13	1	0%	-0.01
Cade Cunningham	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.06,0,0.17,0.09,0.09,0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.23	-0.08	-0.15	0.01	16	50%	-0.03	5	-0.20	6	67%	-0.01
Isaiah Stewart	-0.25	0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.25	-0.04	-0.21	0.00	9	35%	-0.25	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.02

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.15,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.31,0.34,0.34,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.55	0.55	0.24	0.32	0.01	21	72%	0.56	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.12,0.08,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.2,0.13,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.14,0.29,0.3,0.3	0.30	0.16	0.16	0.02	14	74%	0.40	3	-0.10	11	91%	0.08
Kelly Oubre Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,0.05,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.04	0.10	-0.00	9	68%	0.23	3	-0.09	4	100%	0.03
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.05,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.13	0.13	-0.01	0.14	0.01	9	56%	0.38	2	-0.25	0	0%	0.00
Cody Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.08	0.04	0.00	6	93%	0.16	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
JT Thor	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	1	100%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	1	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.03
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.05	-0.06	-0.00	4	33%	-0.08	1	-0.02	7	14%	-0.13
LaMelo Ball	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.14,-0.3,-0.3,-0.35,-0.35,-0.44,-0.44	-0.44	-0.17	-0.30	-0.03	24	34%	-0.29	4	-0.15	2	100%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.6	2.8	28.2	15.3	28.5	2.4	40.8	1.8	16.1	160.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	2.3	15.4	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET +38.5%

CHA -22.3%

DET +55.8%

CHA -21.1%

CHA -0.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	CHA	NBA	DET	CHA	NBA
this game	15.2	13.5	14.5	114.4	113.5	110.8
season	14.6	14.0		105.0	112.9
opponent	14.5	14.4		112.8	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
DET	14.9	15.2	15.3	15.0	15.8	15.2
CHA	14.5	12.0	14.1	12.6	15.8	13.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cade Cunningham	66	69	0.73	-0.23	0.95	0.55	6	-5	11	15.3	15.0	0.33	14.3	12.2	2.10
Saddiq Bey	81	81	0.70	-0.20	0.91	0.59	4	-3	7	14.7	16.3	-1.62	14.0	12.3	1.68
Killian Hayes	64	65	0.67	-0.17	0.83	0.46	7	-6	13	15.0	15.4	-0.47	13.4	13.7	-0.34
Kelly Olynyk	51	50	0.66	-0.16	0.83	0.72	-2	3	-5	15.6	14.8	0.80	12.6	14.2	-1.63
Jerami Grant	69	69	0.52	-0.02	0.55	0.55	-1	2	-3	15.2	15.1	0.02	13.9	12.8	1.18
Rodney McGruder	35	35	-0.08	0.58	-0.66	-0.05	-1	2	-3	14.8	15.3	-0.47	12.6	13.9	-1.31
Isaiah Stewart	60	61	-0.16	0.66	-0.83	-0.25	3	-2	5	14.8	15.6	-0.80	14.2	12.6	1.63
Cory Joseph	47	46	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.01	-6	7	-13	15.4	15.0	0.47	13.7	13.4	0.34
Isaiah Livers	28	29	-0.18	0.68	-0.86	-0.09	-3	4	-7	16.4	14.7	1.71	11.9	14.0	-2.12
Hamidou Diallo	54	50	-0.19	0.69	-0.89	-0.13	-2	3	-5	15.2	15.1	0.06	12.6	14.2	-1.67

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kelly Oubre Jr.	51	52	0.52	-1.02	1.54	0.43	3	-4	7	12.8	14.1	-1.35	14.9	15.4	-0.54
Mason Plumlee	40	38	0.34	-0.84	1.18	0.17	6	-7	13	14.1	13.1	1.02	16.9	14.2	2.69
Montrezl Harrell	52	53	0.27	-0.77	1.03	0.35	-3	2	-5	12.2	14.6	-2.42	14.3	16.0	-1.70
JT Thor	24	26	0.02	-0.52	0.54	0.08	-2	1	-3	12.1	13.9	-1.75	14.1	15.5	-1.41
P.J. Washington	65	64	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.66	6	-7	13	14.4	12.2	2.15	15.7	14.4	1.34
Miles Bridges	90	89	-0.49	-0.01	-0.48	-0.46	-1	0	-1	13.2	14.6	-1.39	15.6	13.2	2.46
Terry Rozier	83	81	-0.67	0.17	-0.84	-0.55	-4	3	-7	14.3	11.1	3.24	15.3	14.8	0.44
LaMelo Ball	84	86	-0.73	0.23	-0.97	-0.70	-1	0	-1	13.0	15.2	-2.23	14.8	16.2	-1.35
Cody Martin	66	66	-1.27	0.77	-2.04	-1.01	-9	8	-17	14.3	12.3	2.03	14.5	16.0	-1.50

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.53,0.47,0.57,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.51,0.44,0.4,0.47,0.46,0.58,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.39,0.36,0.42,0.32,0.37,0.45,0.57,0.42,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.56,0.59,0.56,0.58,0.67,0.75,0.63,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.66,0.75,0.64,0.45,0.84,0.46,0.55,0.72,0.78,0.58,0
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 108, DET 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.63,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.68,0.54,0.68,0.84,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.42,0	89.8%
WAS 102, ATL 98	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.52,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.58,0.71,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.45,0.55,0.84,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.55,0.42,0	89.1%
SAC 116, CLE 112	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.42,0.38,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.57,0.6,0.67,0.62,0.6,0.6,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.49,0.42,0.39,0.42,0.36,0.3,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.4,0.43,0.36,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.48,0.44,0.48,0.68,0.62,0.57,0.62,0.62,0.85,0.86,0.8,0.61,0.47,0.64,0.55,0.85,0.5,0.55,0.55,0.84,0.84,0	88.9%