NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	102		Excitement	11.0 [30]		MVP	Antonio Daniels (WAS): +27.1%
Atlanta Hawks	98		Comeback	5.8 [172]		LVP	Marvin Williams (ATL): -33.5%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Antonio Daniels	0.27	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.27	0.06	0.23	0.02	9	58%	0.27	0	0.00	6	100%	0.07
DeShawn Stevenson	0.25	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.25	0.09	0.16	0.00	13	63%	0.28	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.08
Roger Mason Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.01	0.00	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dominic McGuire	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brendan Haywood	-0.02	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	2	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Oleksiy Pecherov	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Nick Young	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	3	33%	-0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Darius Songaila	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Andray Blatche	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	0.02	-0.10	0.00	10	50%	-0.08	0	0.00	6	83%	-0.01
Caron Butler	-0.14	0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.07,0,0.08,0.08,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.14	0.02	-0.16	0.01	19	50%	-0.08	1	-0.07	4	100%	0.04
Antawn Jamison	-0.16	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,-0.19,-0.19,-0.24,-0.24,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16	-0.03	-0.14	-0.00	22	46%	0.01	2	-0.17	4	75%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Josh Smith	0,0,0,0.02,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.23	0.23	0.11	0.12	0.00	26	56%	0.36	2	-0.13	10	40%	-0.12
Josh Childress	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.06	0.03	0.00	9	58%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Al Horford	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	0.01	0.00	7	57%	0.07	2	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mario West	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Lorenzen Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Acie Law	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.06	-0.01	-0.03	1	0%	-0.02	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Johnson	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	-0.01	7	36%	-0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.14,0.19,0.16,0.09,0.25,0.25,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.13	-0.13	0.03	-0.16	0.00	19	53%	0.16	2	-0.29	5	60%	-0.08
Marvin Williams	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,0,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.24,-0.29,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34,-0.34	-0.34	-0.09	-0.24	0.01	18	38%	-0.24	2	-0.09	6	67%	-0.11

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4		OT1	Total
this game	24.0	1.8	25.2	15.6	23.0	2.8	33.5	1.0	23.6	150.7
league avg	27.9	2.4	30.0	16.2	26.6	2.4	33.3	1.9	17.1	140.1

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL -29.6%

WAS +34.5%

WAS +11.1%

WAS +41.9%

ATL -7.9%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	ATL	NBA	WAS	ATL	NBA
this game	17.5	16.6	15.4	109.7	105.4	105.7
season	16.1	15.4		106.8	104.2
opponent	15.7	15.5		107.2	107.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	OT	Total
WAS	15.7	19.2	19.6	18.3	12.5	17.5
ATL	17.0	16.8	14.7	18.6	15.9	16.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
DeShawn Stevenson	71	73	0.97	-0.47	1.43	0.53	15	-11	26	16.8	19.9	-3.03	16.6	16.6	-0.01
Antawn Jamison	85	86	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.43	13	-9	22	17.2	21.6	-4.46	16.7	16.1	0.54
Andray Blatche	58	58	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.40	1	3	-2	17.3	17.9	-0.63	16.2	17.3	-1.12
Antonio Daniels	84	84	0.40	0.10	0.30	0.40	0	4	-4	17.6	17.0	0.61	16.7	16.0	0.71
Caron Butler	82	80	0.30	0.20	0.10	0.45	-5	9	-14	17.8	15.7	2.07	16.4	18.1	-1.66
Brendan Haywood	19	19	0.04	0.46	-0.43	-0.02	2	2	0	18.2	17.4	0.77	17.9	16.3	1.64
Dominic McGuire	1	1	0.02	0.48	-0.46	0.02	0	4	-4	0.0	17.7	-17.74	13.0	16.7	-3.68
Roger Mason Jr.	24	23	-0.01	0.51	-0.52	-0.07	2	2	0	19.8	16.8	3.02	18.5	16.0	2.44
Oleksiy Pecherov	6	6	-0.06	0.56	-0.62	0.06	-4	8	-12	20.3	17.4	2.98	16.0	16.7	-0.69
Darius Songaila	19	19	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	-0.08	-3	7	-10	18.5	17.3	1.16	16.9	16.6	0.31
Nick Young	16	16	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	-0.19	-1	5	-6	16.9	17.7	-0.74	14.7	17.0	-2.29

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Josh Childress	47	48	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.07	2	-6	8	15.7	17.6	-1.86	17.7	17.4	0.29
Anthony Johnson	72	73	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	-0.19	2	-6	8	17.3	14.5	2.74	18.2	15.1	3.12
Acie Law	13	12	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	3	-10	17.5	16.5	1.04	16.0	17.8	-1.78
Lorenzen Wright	11	9	-0.18	-0.32	0.15	0.09	-9	5	-14	17.9	16.5	1.43	14.7	17.9	-3.19
Josh Smith	86	86	-0.38	-0.12	-0.25	-0.38	0	-4	4	16.9	14.0	2.86	17.6	17.0	0.59
Al Horford	76	78	-0.46	-0.04	-0.42	-0.66	7	-11	18	16.3	18.3	-2.02	17.6	17.5	0.02
Joe Johnson	88	88	-0.52	0.02	-0.55	-0.41	-4	0	-4	16.5	19.0	-2.49	17.3	22.0	-4.70
Marvin Williams	72	71	-0.65	0.15	-0.79	-0.44	-7	3	-10	16.6	16.9	-0.34	17.6	17.2	0.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.45,0.48,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.35,0.4,0.4,0.36,0.35,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.33,0.35,0.37,0.31,0.3,0.39,0.42,0.28,0.32,0.34,0.44,0.52,0.74,0.74,0.67,0.58,0.71,0.79,0.76,0.78,0.69,0.45,0.55,0.84,0.54,0.69,0.72,0.55,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 126, MIL 121	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.54,0.55,0.49,0.49,0.53,0.43,0.4,0.39,0.38,0.32,0.28,0.28,0.32,0.32,0.35,0.35,0.37,0.44,0.39,0.34,0.3,0.3,0.25,0.26,0.25,0.39,0.31,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.48,0.56,0.52,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.52,0.62,0.63,0.69,0.81,0.73,0.76,0.85,0.78,0.85,0.54,0.61,0.55,0.68,0.73,0	88.6%
DAL 101, POR 104	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.42,0.43,0.39,0.41,0.39,0.41,0.45,0.47,0.44,0.43,0.36,0.34,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.41,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.44,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.36,0.38,0.36,0.26,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.48,0.52,0.58,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.68,0.69,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.69,0.92,1	87.8%
PHI 108, DET 101	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.54,0.5,0.46,0.48,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.47,0.4,0.39,0.41,0.36,0.28,0.33,0.36,0.46,0.4,0.52,0.61,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.62,0.48,0.66,0.67,0.64,0.7,0.74,0.82,0.71,0.63,0.83,0.81,0.72,0.68,0.54,0.68,0.84,0.46,0.48,0.55,0.55,0.42,0	87.8%