NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Memphis Grizzlies	116		Excitement	7.2 [415]		MVP	Ja Morant (MEM): +26.2%
Chicago Bulls	110		Comeback	1.3 [824]		LVP	Nikola Vucevic (CHI): -13.7%

Memphis Grizzlies
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ja Morant	0.26	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.12,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.2,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.16,0.16,0.12,0.24,0.26,0.27,0.26	0.14	0.14	0.02	28	65%	0.34	5	-0.08	15	87%	0.05
Tyus Jones	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.17	0.09	0.09	0.02	6	79%	0.17	0	0.00	2	100%	0.05
Ziaire Williams	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.00	0.01	7	64%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Desmond Bane	0.02	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.14,0.04,0.02	-0.09	0.09	-0.03	18	31%	0.02	0	0.00	3	100%	0.01
Steven Adams	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	9	55%	0.03	3	-0.04	4	50%	-0.02
John Konchar	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	1	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Brandon Clarke	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.00	-0.01	5	40%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
De'Anthony Melton	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.02	-0.01	8	44%	-0.01	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Anderson	-0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.08,-0.08	-0.01	-0.09	-0.01	6	50%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Jaren Jackson Jr.	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.07	-0.03	-0.01	12	33%	-0.06	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Chicago Bulls
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Coby White	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.19	0.08	0.12	0.00	11	62%	0.19	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Zach LaVine	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.05,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.17	0.17	0.08	0.10	0.01	19	62%	0.25	3	-0.08	7	100%	0.07
Javonte Green	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.11	-0.01	0.02	7	80%	0.08	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Derrick Jones Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.01	4	67%	0.04	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.01
Troy Brown Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Matt Thomas	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
DeMar DeRozan	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.09,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.08,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.06,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.00	0.00	29	46%	0.02	1	-0.02	10	90%	0.03
Tristan Thompson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.03	0.00	-0.00	4	42%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	25%	-0.04
Ayo Dosunmu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.09	-0.01	-0.01	2	0%	-0.03	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Nikola Vucevic	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.14	-0.11	-0.03	0.00	17	31%	-0.12	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.2	2.5	26.3	14.7	28.6	2.4	37.6	138.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHI -4.2%

MEM +8.6%

MEM +47.2%

CHI -1.5%

CHI -0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MEM	CHI	NBA	MEM	CHI	NBA
this game	14.1	13.1	14.5	108.4	104.8	110.8
season	14.1	14.5		112.9	110.9
opponent	14.5	14.3		112.3	107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MEM	14.1	14.1	10.5	18.8	14.1
CHI	13.1	14.1	13.2	11.7	13.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Steven Adams	78	76	0.57	-0.07	0.63	0.13	15	-9	24	14.4	13.2	1.25	13.1	13.0	0.11
Ja Morant	81	80	0.49	0.01	0.48	0.17	11	-5	16	13.7	15.3	-1.62	13.0	13.4	-0.42
Kyle Anderson	63	61	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.40	1	5	-4	13.9	14.3	-0.36	12.9	13.4	-0.53
De'Anthony Melton	51	51	0.35	0.15	0.20	0.06	10	-4	14	12.8	15.2	-2.37	14.0	12.2	1.87
Jaren Jackson Jr.	60	58	0.35	0.15	0.19	0.17	6	0	6	14.0	14.1	-0.12	12.6	13.7	-1.17
Ziaire Williams	64	64	0.30	0.20	0.10	-0.11	14	-8	22	13.4	15.2	-1.80	13.1	13.0	0.17
Tyus Jones	35	34	0.12	0.38	-0.26	0.30	-6	12	-18	14.5	13.9	0.60	13.1	13.1	0.06
Brandon Clarke	24	24	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.15	-6	12	-18	14.1	14.1	0.05	14.4	12.7	1.68
Desmond Bane	61	59	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.28	-11	17	-28	16.1	11.3	4.80	12.3	14.0	-1.72
John Konchar	18	18	-0.04	0.54	-0.59	0.07	-4	10	-14	13.3	14.2	-0.90	13.6	13.0	0.58

Chicago Bulls
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Tristan Thompson	35	35	0.19	-0.69	0.87	-0.22	14	-20	34	12.9	13.2	-0.33	15.1	13.6	1.57
Matt Thomas	1	1	-0.02	-0.48	0.45	0.04	-2	-4	2	4.0	13.2	-9.16	1.0	14.2	-13.21
Troy Brown Jr.	14	15	-0.06	-0.44	0.38	-0.00	-2	-4	2	15.9	12.6	3.21	12.9	14.3	-1.34
Derrick Jones Jr.	41	42	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	-0.22	4	-10	14	13.0	13.1	-0.13	14.7	13.7	1.08
Coby White	75	77	-0.17	-0.33	0.15	-0.44	9	-15	24	13.0	13.2	-0.13	14.6	12.9	1.69
DeMar DeRozan	89	93	-0.36	-0.14	-0.21	-0.39	1	-7	8	12.9	14.1	-1.16	14.5	11.5	2.97
Ayo Dosunmu	54	52	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.05	-14	8	-22	12.8	13.3	-0.50	12.4	15.7	-3.31
Javonte Green	63	65	-0.48	-0.01	-0.47	-0.19	-10	4	-14	13.3	12.8	0.48	13.8	14.5	-0.68
Zach LaVine	83	84	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.20	-12	6	-18	13.0	13.4	-0.42	14.5	12.7	1.82
Nikola Vucevic	70	71	-0.57	0.07	-0.64	-0.04	-18	12	-30	13.2	12.9	0.33	13.6	15.0	-1.42

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.53,0.5,0.5,0.45,0.43,0.36,0.29,0.3,0.33,0.36,0.32,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.33,0.36,0.28,0.27,0.21,0.16,0.23,0.24,0.3,0.29,0.19,0.2,0.27,0.16,0.18,0.14,0.09,0.05,0.04,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.15,0.26,0.31,0.21,0.41,0.08,0
Game		Similarity Score
ATL 98, DET 95	0.5,0.51,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.33,0.37,0.34,0.35,0.32,0.36,0.36,0.4,0.31,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.14,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.15,0.19,0.08,0.16,0.09,0.08,0.09,0.16,0.09,0.06,0.11,0.04,0.07,0.12,0.08,0.09,0.17,0.2,0.28,0.33,0.13,0	93.1%
NJN 95, NOK 84	0.5,0.51,0.48,0.42,0.38,0.4,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.29,0.31,0.35,0.4,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.25,0.21,0.21,0.22,0.25,0.29,0.24,0.18,0.22,0.27,0.24,0.28,0.25,0.33,0.21,0.13,0.09,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.07,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.11,0.15,0.13,0.19,0.07,0.15,0,0	92.5%
POR 100, DEN 95	0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.36,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.31,0.28,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.33,0.37,0.39,0.3,0.24,0.34,0.39,0.33,0.3,0.32,0.23,0.13,0.16,0.19,0.15,0.17,0.08,0.04,0.05,0.1,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.09,0.13,0.31,0.21,0.06,0.02,0	92.4%