NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Washington Wizards	86		Excitement	8.2 [247]		MVP	Jarrett Allen (CLE): +39.6%
Cleveland Cavaliers	92		Comeback	18.3 [182]		LVP	Brandon Goodwin (CLE): -24.9%

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kyle Kuzma	0.34	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.1,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.07,0.17,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.35,0.4,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.34	0.19	0.14	-0.00	22	77%	0.46	4	-0.11	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	0.07	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.09	-0.01	0.01	9	74%	0.10	1	-0.03	1	0%	-0.01
Rui Hachimura	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,0,0,0	0.04	-0.03	-0.00	8	62%	0.02	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.01	-0.04	-0.01	10	52%	0.07	2	-0.12	5	100%	0.03
Corey Kispert	-0.06	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	4	25%	-0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.06	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Raul Neto	-0.10	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.11	-0.05	-0.06	10	20%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.13	-0.02	-0.00	4	0%	-0.08	3	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Ish Smith	-0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.15,-0.15,-0.2	-0.11	-0.10	-0.01	10	25%	-0.16	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Jarrett Allen	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.4	0.40	0.14	0.25	0.00	8	90%	0.44	1	-0.04	4	100%	0.10
Lauri Markkanen	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.14,0.1,0.13,0.22,0.22,0.15,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.08	0.04	0.01	18	55%	0.14	1	-0.02	6	83%	0.01
Cedi Osman	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.14,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.01	-0.01	13	61%	0.18	3	-0.11	5	60%	-0.02
RJ Nembhard Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Isaac Okoro	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.02	0.02	-0.00	7	43%	0.03	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Dean Wade	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.01	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Evan Mobley	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.03	-0.08	0.02	14	47%	-0.02	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.00
Kevin Love	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.13,-0.16,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18	-0.18	-0.14	-0.04	-0.01	10	18%	-0.12	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Brandon Goodwin	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.15,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.18,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.15,-0.25	-0.25	-0.12	-0.11	0.01	11	30%	-0.16	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.5	1.8	26.2	14.8	27.5	2.7	31.6	129.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

WAS -26.3%

CLE +38.3%

CLE +30.5%

CLE +2.2%

CLE +5.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	WAS	CLE	NBA	WAS	CLE	NBA
this game	15.5	15.0	14.5	92.5	95.8	110.8
season	14.9	15.2		109.8	110.6
opponent	14.4	14.4		108.5	113.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
WAS	13.2	14.4	16.5	18.2	15.5
CLE	15.0	15.6	14.2	15.3	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Deni Avdija	43	44	0.10	-0.60	0.70	-0.05	5	-11	16	15.4	15.5	-0.14	15.7	14.4	1.37
Daniel Gafford	48	49	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.01	1	-7	8	15.5	15.5	-0.03	14.8	15.3	-0.48
Thomas Bryant	30	31	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.02	-5	-1	-4	15.2	15.6	-0.35	15.0	15.0	-0.06
Ish Smith	45	47	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.11	-3	-3	0	14.4	16.5	-2.17	14.6	15.4	-0.81
Raul Neto	48	49	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.21	-3	-3	0	16.5	14.4	2.17	15.4	14.6	0.81
Rui Hachimura	43	44	-0.44	-0.06	-0.38	-0.30	-5	-1	-4	15.1	15.8	-0.75	15.5	14.6	0.95
Kyle Kuzma	74	78	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	-1	-4	15.9	13.8	2.12	14.9	15.3	-0.33
Corey Kispert	69	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.21	-11	5	-16	15.4	15.7	-0.32	14.3	16.8	-2.46
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	65	69	-0.53	0.03	-0.56	-0.41	-4	-2	-2	15.5	15.4	0.11	15.2	14.6	0.53

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Isaac Okoro	72	71	0.82	-0.32	1.14	0.29	18	-12	30	14.9	15.2	-0.26	16.3	12.9	3.36
Jarrett Allen	66	65	0.72	-0.22	0.95	0.40	11	-5	16	15.2	14.5	0.74	16.5	13.1	3.44
Brandon Goodwin	76	74	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.38	7	-1	8	14.9	15.5	-0.62	15.6	15.1	0.53
Evan Mobley	77	72	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.38	3	3	0	14.7	16.2	-1.43	14.5	18.8	-4.31
Lauri Markkanen	70	67	0.46	0.04	0.41	0.31	5	1	4	15.1	14.7	0.38	15.6	15.0	0.60
RJ Nembhard Jr.	9	9	-0.07	0.57	-0.64	0.02	-3	9	-12	15.8	14.9	0.85	12.4	15.8	-3.35
Dean Wade	24	23	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.04	-3	9	-12	14.8	15.1	-0.29	14.9	15.7	-0.74
Cedi Osman	57	55	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.12	-2	8	-10	15.4	14.5	0.88	15.7	15.2	0.49
Kevin Love	29	29	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	-0.00	-6	12	-18	14.7	15.1	-0.41	14.0	16.2	-2.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.48,0.48,0.5,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.41,0.43,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.37,0.3,0.31,0.36,0.31,0.37,0.32,0.39,0.42,0.39,0.33,0.33,0.49,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.35,0.26,0.28,0.37,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.26,0.33,0.38,0.23,0.21,0.11,0.13,0.32,0.54,0.85,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
TOR 91, LAC 96	0.5,0.49,0.54,0.46,0.45,0.43,0.41,0.4,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.33,0.27,0.28,0.24,0.31,0.36,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.39,0.46,0.49,0.39,0.39,0.49,0.46,0.52,0.39,0.36,0.36,0.39,0.38,0.31,0.34,0.48,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.38,0.38,0.32,0.21,0.16,0.33,0.39,0.69,0.75,0.84,1	92.4%
BOS 87, MIA 97	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.45,0.45,0.39,0.43,0.36,0.36,0.34,0.3,0.34,0.44,0.47,0.39,0.35,0.32,0.39,0.44,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.36,0.33,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.41,0.52,0.44,0.44,0.42,0.34,0.25,0.21,0.23,0.31,0.24,0.17,0.14,0.37,0.77,0.92,1	91.1%
SAS 89, PHX 94	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.39,0.31,0.29,0.25,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.31,0.42,0.39,0.48,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.36,0.27,0.25,0.29,0.34,0.33,0.3,0.39,0.34,0.35,0.28,0.3,0.33,0.4,0.34,0.22,0.25,0.38,0.32,0.26,0.16,0.22,0.38,0.64,0.77,0.95,1	90.9%