inpredictable
Powered by Blogger.
NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Memphis Grizzlies 114 Excitement10.4 [57] MVPD'Angelo Russell (MIN): +72.1%
Minnesota Timberwolves 119 Comeback3.7 [272] LVPJa Morant (MEM): -36.3%


Memphis Grizzlies
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Brandon Clarke0.290,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.18,0.29,0.290.050.24-0.01562%0.311-0.02633%-0.11
Ziaire Williams0.170,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.170.130.040.011181%0.222-0.054100%0.02
Jaren Jackson Jr.0.110,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.03,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.11,0.110.060.03-0.011551%0.141-0.041182%0.02
John Konchar0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.040.02-0.00383%0.0700.0000%0.00
De'Anthony Melton0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.010.00955%0.051-0.044100%0.02
Tyus Jones-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.040.01-0.01625%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Steven Adams-0.070,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.06-0.02-0.02637%-0.022-0.05450%-0.03
Kyle Anderson-0.090,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.07-0.03-0.01333%-0.013-0.0800%0.00
Desmond Bane-0.090,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.09-0.04-0.050.001544%0.002-0.102100%0.03
Ja Morant-0.360,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.22,-0.25,-0.25,-0.33,-0.32,-0.21,-0.26,-0.22,-0.2,-0.22,-0.31,-0.36-0.17-0.190.002534%-0.253-0.11967%-0.07

Minnesota Timberwolves
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
D'Angelo Russell0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.06,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.07,0.3,0.34,0.45,0.41,0.53,0.72,0.720.720.190.540.002173%0.814-0.09989%0.09
Malik Beasley0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.07,0.12,0.21,0.21,0.21,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.3,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.42,0.420.420.150.26-0.01994%0.441-0.0200%0.00
Jaden McDaniels0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.050.050.060.000.02387%0.0500.002100%0.00
Naz Reid0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.040.040.030.020.00560%0.0400.0000%0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.030.010.00558%0.0300.00250%-0.01
Patrick Beverley0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.000.01-0.001250%0.052-0.05250%-0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.04,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.16,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.010.06-0.070.001952%-0.0100.00450%-0.02
Jordan McLaughlin0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.020.00-0.0000%0.001-0.0200%0.00
Taurean Prince0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.05-0.03-0.00831%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Anthony Edwards0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.19,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.31-0.31-0.20-0.080.021118%-0.213-0.09650%-0.04
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game25.21.628.414.630.02.642.4144.9
league avg25.62.328.114.728.02.332.3134.3
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
MIN +81.7%
MEM -18.4%
MEM -35.2%
MIN +22.7%
MEM -0.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsMEMMINNBAMEMMINNBA
this game15.013.714.5112.9119.0110.8
season14.113.9112.9112.6
opponent14.414.3110.6107.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
MEM13.114.216.516.415.0
MIN14.113.513.014.213.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Memphis Grizzlies
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Kyle Anderson31310.07-0.570.64-0.116-111714.215.3-1.1113.213.9-0.77
Tyus Jones2828-0.07-0.430.370.05-4-1-314.915.0-0.0913.113.9-0.86
John Konchar3534-0.11-0.390.27-0.110-5515.914.51.4614.613.21.36
De'Anthony Melton4746-0.18-0.320.13-0.180-5514.615.3-0.7613.513.9-0.39
Brandon Clarke5048-0.22-0.280.07-0.16-2-3114.415.5-1.1913.613.8-0.21
Jaren Jackson Jr.6563-0.30-0.20-0.10-0.09-72-915.114.70.3714.113.01.05
Desmond Bane6161-0.31-0.19-0.12-0.22-3-2-115.114.70.3913.913.40.42
Ja Morant7372-0.43-0.07-0.37-0.41-1-4315.014.90.0913.913.10.86
Ziaire Williams5960-0.46-0.04-0.41-0.25-72-914.615.5-0.9613.014.8-1.81
Steven Adams5657-0.49-0.01-0.48-0.28-72-915.814.01.8113.913.50.39

Minnesota Timberwolves
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Jaden McDaniels33340.63-0.130.750.398-31112.514.3-1.8015.414.70.64
D'Angelo Russell79810.56-0.060.610.357-2914.012.61.3614.715.8-1.11
Naz Reid44410.53-0.030.550.269-41313.214.0-0.7915.214.80.48
Anthony Edwards66650.410.090.310.2650514.112.91.2215.114.70.33
Patrick Beverley58610.220.28-0.060.2205-513.813.60.1614.615.5-0.98
Taurean Prince42410.210.29-0.080.1232113.114.1-0.9815.114.80.31
Malik Beasley39400.080.42-0.340.14-27-912.714.3-1.5515.114.80.31
Jordan McLaughlin27250.010.49-0.47-0.0114-313.113.9-0.7414.915.0-0.05
Karl-Anthony Towns5660-0.030.53-0.550.09-49-1314.013.20.7914.815.2-0.48
Jarred Vanderbilt5657-0.110.61-0.73-0.05-27-914.812.32.4915.114.80.21


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.5,0.49,0.5,0.46,0.43,0.37,0.35,0.34,0.28,0.24,0.24,0.3,0.28,0.24,0.23,0.31,0.29,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.36,0.42,0.49,0.46,0.45,0.49,0.6,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.65,0.52,0.52,0.56,0.52,0.54,0.57,0.38,0.43,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.82,0.81,0.64,0.68,0.87,1
GameSimilarity Score
LAC 103, GSW 1050.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.38,0.41,0.46,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.33,0.26,0.29,0.34,0.24,0.24,0.29,0.25,0.24,0.25,0.27,0.34,0.42,0.36,0.36,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.58,0.61,0.67,0.53,0.59,0.45,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.38,0.48,0.38,0.42,0.53,0.59,0.6,0.54,0.62,0.54,0.57,0.85,192.2%
OKC 99, IND 1070.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.54,0.48,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.35,0.38,0.32,0.27,0.3,0.22,0.2,0.27,0.31,0.39,0.44,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.39,0.41,0.46,0.29,0.37,0.45,0.52,0.64,0.68,0.75,0.66,0.56,0.71,0.6,0.5,0.57,0.56,0.52,0.53,0.47,0.54,0.78,0.67,0.52,0.85,0.97,191.4%
POR 89, SAC 980.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.53,0.44,0.41,0.39,0.34,0.32,0.33,0.29,0.3,0.26,0.32,0.36,0.3,0.33,0.37,0.41,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.42,0.5,0.57,0.54,0.69,0.67,0.7,0.77,0.74,0.66,0.59,0.67,0.48,0.42,0.49,0.43,0.57,0.47,0.53,0.54,0.78,0.75,0.71,0.77,0.98,191.1%