NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Cleveland Cavaliers	103		Excitement	8.2 [250]		MVP	Isaac Okoro (CLE): +27.4%
Detroit Pistons	106		Comeback	2.7 [247]		LVP	Rajon Rondo (CLE): -13.8%

Cleveland Cavaliers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Isaac Okoro	0.27	0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.27,0.27	0.09	0.19	0.00	6	73%	0.27	0	0.00	3	33%	-0.02
Lauri Markkanen	0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.06,0,0,0.01,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03	0.06	-0.03	0.01	16	52%	0.03	0	0.00	10	80%	-0.07
Dean Wade	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.03	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Evan Mobley	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.00	8	50%	0.06	1	-0.05	8	75%	0.02
Lamar Stevens	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Brandon Goodwin	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.04,-0.02	0.06	-0.07	0.01	12	60%	0.03	1	-0.05	1	100%	0.01
Kevin Love	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.06	0.02	-0.01	5	33%	0.00	2	-0.04	2	50%	-0.02
Cedi Osman	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.00	-0.07	-0.00	7	50%	-0.04	1	-0.02	4	75%	0.00
Jarrett Allen	-0.10	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.1	0.01	-0.11	0.01	9	55%	-0.07	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Rajon Rondo	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.05	-0.08	0.01	8	67%	0.08	6	-0.22	2	0%	-0.03

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Rodney McGruder	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.25	0.25	0.16	0.09	0.00	4	150%	0.25	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamidou Diallo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.18,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.13	0.10	0.01	11	81%	0.28	2	-0.06	4	100%	0.04
Isaiah Stewart	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.01,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.03	0.01	6	79%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Marvin Bagley III	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.08	-0.01	0.01	13	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.25,0.03	0.03	-0.07	0.10	-0.00	16	40%	0.09	2	-0.06	10	90%	0.14
Jerami Grant	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.03	0.03	-0.01	15	42%	0.04	1	-0.03	8	75%	-0.00
Killian Hayes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.01	-0.01	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kelly Olynyk	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.04	-0.03	-0.02	0.00	3	25%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Saddiq Bey	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.12	-0.03	-0.03	7	21%	-0.05	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Cory Joseph	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.06	-0.04	0.03	7	37%	-0.09	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	30.6	1.7	27.3	14.5	27.2	1.8	35.0	138.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CLE -2.1%

DET +26.9%

DET +11.7%

DET +11.2%

DET +2.4%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	CLE	DET	NBA	CLE	DET	NBA
this game	15.6	14.4	14.5	107.3	110.4	110.8
season	15.2	14.6		110.6	105.0
opponent	14.4	14.4		112.6	108.5

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
CLE	14.6	13.9	16.3	18.0	15.6
DET	13.6	15.5	14.4	14.0	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Cleveland Cavaliers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dean Wade	47	45	0.18	-0.68	0.86	-0.02	7	-10	17	15.9	15.4	0.42	13.5	15.1	-1.61
Lamar Stevens	14	14	0.05	-0.55	0.60	-0.04	3	-6	9	14.6	15.8	-1.25	16.4	14.0	2.33
Brandon Goodwin	47	48	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	-0.35	10	-13	23	17.0	14.3	2.67	14.5	14.2	0.23
Jarrett Allen	65	65	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.35	6	-9	15	15.2	16.6	-1.49	14.8	13.4	1.49
Cedi Osman	40	40	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	-0.10	-4	1	-5	16.8	14.8	2.08	12.9	15.4	-2.47
Kevin Love	36	36	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.11	-5	2	-7	14.9	16.1	-1.19	13.6	14.8	-1.25
Isaac Okoro	55	55	-0.28	-0.22	-0.06	-0.31	1	-4	5	14.9	16.7	-1.83	15.1	13.3	1.79
Rajon Rondo	52	52	-0.55	0.05	-0.60	-0.11	-15	12	-27	15.2	16.1	-0.88	14.2	14.5	-0.25
Evan Mobley	70	70	-0.57	0.07	-0.65	-0.28	-10	7	-17	16.3	13.8	2.45	13.9	15.6	-1.66
Lauri Markkanen	54	55	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.39	-8	5	-13	15.0	16.4	-1.37	15.4	13.0	2.34

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jerami Grant	63	64	0.63	-0.13	0.76	0.43	7	-4	11	14.6	13.9	0.65	15.3	16.3	-0.97
Rodney McGruder	32	31	0.59	-0.09	0.67	0.21	13	-10	23	13.7	14.7	-0.97	17.0	15.0	2.02
Saddiq Bey	51	49	0.57	-0.07	0.65	0.54	1	2	-1	14.2	14.6	-0.40	14.8	16.5	-1.67
Hamidou Diallo	40	41	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.17	9	-6	15	14.0	14.6	-0.54	17.0	14.6	2.38
Kelly Olynyk	42	40	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.18	8	-5	13	13.2	15.3	-2.09	17.4	14.4	3.02
Cory Joseph	49	47	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.19	3	0	3	14.6	14.2	0.38	14.5	16.7	-2.20
Killian Hayes	47	49	0.22	0.28	-0.06	0.22	0	3	-3	14.2	14.6	-0.38	16.7	14.5	2.20
Isaiah Stewart	37	40	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	0.21	-8	11	-19	15.6	13.6	2.09	14.7	16.3	-1.60
Cade Cunningham	64	65	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.21	-10	13	-23	14.7	13.7	0.97	15.0	17.0	-2.02
Marvin Bagley III	55	54	-0.53	1.03	-1.55	-0.29	-8	11	-19	14.5	14.1	0.42	15.1	16.3	-1.20

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.46,0.47,0.41,0.38,0.37,0.4,0.38,0.42,0.35,0.47,0.42,0.38,0.38,0.41,0.39,0.27,0.29,0.38,0.38,0.44,0.46,0.4,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.61,0.58,0.62,0.52,0.37,0.4,0.36,0.42,0.48,0.57,0.79,0.77,0.89,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.9,0.78,0.42,1
Game		Similarity Score
BKN 125, TOR 127	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.79,0.84,0.42,1	92.6%
DEN 103, SAC 105	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.67,0.62,0.81,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.72,0.67,0.58,1	91.0%
DEN 83, UTA 85	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.41,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.64,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.77,0.41,1	90.9%