inpredictable
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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Denver Nuggets 83 Excitement8.6 [138] MVPCarlos Arroyo (UTA): +22.3%
Utah Jazz 85 Comeback2.0 [735] LVPAndre Miller (DEN): -65.6%


Denver Nuggets
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Jon Barry0.140,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.14,0.14,0.140.030.11-0.01950%0.1400.0000%0.00
Rodney White0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.050.030.00787%0.153-0.07250%-0.02
Earl Boykins0.000,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0,0,0,0,0-0.020.020.001054%0.052-0.054100%0.02
Chris Andersen-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.010.00-0.010.00250%-0.0100.0000%0.00
Marcus Camby-0.010,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.040.01-0.02440%0.011-0.022100%0.01
Nene-0.020,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.02,-0.02-0.070.050.00741%0.052-0.073100%0.02
Michael Doleac-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.05-0.04-0.00425%-0.041-0.0400%0.00
Carmelo Anthony-0.270,0,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.1,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.12,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.27-0.00-0.260.002057%-0.024-0.25475%-0.01
Andre Miller-0.660,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.17,-0.19,-0.22,-0.22,-0.22,-0.27,-0.27,-0.3,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.33,-0.31,-0.34,-0.38,-0.38,-0.38,-0.41,-0.41,-0.41,-0.44,-0.43,-0.43,-0.66-0.34-0.34-0.021519%-0.237-0.43683%0.02

Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Carlos Arroyo0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.220.22-0.030.250.001853%0.344-0.1200%0.00
Sasha Pavlovic0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.080.080.020.06-0.01383%0.111-0.0200%0.00
Jarron Collins0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.070.070.050.020.002100%0.0700.002100%0.01
Greg Ostertag0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.030.030.000.030.00250%0.0300.0000%0.00
Mikki Moore0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.010.01-0.030.03-0.001044%0.0100.005100%0.04
Raul Lopez0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01-0.01-0.020.010.00367%0.042-0.0400%0.00
Raja Bell0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.02,0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04-0.04-0.050.01-0.011148%0.073-0.101100%0.00
Mo Williams0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06-0.06-0.05-0.00-0.0020%-0.031-0.0300%0.00
Tom Gugliotta0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.07-0.07-0.02-0.0130%-0.061-0.0200%0.00
Gordan Giricek0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08-0.08-0.04-0.030.011541%-0.0800.004100%0.02
Andrei Kirilenko0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.2,-0.2-0.20-0.09-0.12-0.011245%-0.133-0.07540%-0.03
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.61.632.115.424.21.835.1134.0
league avg47.82.427.914.324.82.129.8150.4
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
UTA +23.9%
DEN -4.3%
DEN -19.8%
UTA +48.2%
UTA +2.0%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsDENUTANBADENUTANBA
this game15.417.715.793.3100.0100.5
season14.917.2101.699.4
opponent15.215.4100.8101.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
DEN19.012.516.015.015.4
UTA17.917.018.217.917.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Denver Nuggets
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Michael Doleac2120-0.03-0.470.44-0.00-1-1017.714.72.9817.617.7-0.09
Carmelo Anthony5755-0.12-0.380.26-0.4712-142615.315.7-0.3917.817.60.18
Chris Andersen3530-0.14-0.360.22-0.11-1-1013.716.6-2.8915.419.0-3.53
Nene4950-0.25-0.250.00-0.343-5815.615.20.4319.315.53.84
Rodney White4037-0.28-0.22-0.06-0.05-86-1414.716.1-1.3916.818.4-1.61
Jon Barry4543-0.31-0.19-0.11-0.25-20-217.013.83.2518.017.40.57
Earl Boykins5047-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.24-64-1014.017.3-3.2416.818.8-1.99
Andre Miller7573-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.36-20-215.912.83.1518.512.75.78
Marcus Camby7370-0.540.04-0.59-0.40-53-815.515.20.3117.618.3-0.75

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Gordan Giricek58600.66-0.160.820.3411-92018.416.22.1916.413.52.85
Sasha Pavlovic16180.64-0.140.780.524-2616.418.0-1.5814.215.7-1.52
Carlos Arroyo66690.450.050.410.344-2618.216.12.0816.113.12.95
Raja Bell39420.410.090.320.323-1415.919.3-3.3614.816.0-1.24
Andrei Kirilenko63630.260.240.030.35-35-818.714.83.9116.113.82.25
Greg Ostertag67700.240.26-0.020.076-41016.920.9-4.0215.216.4-1.18
Mikki Moore38430.110.39-0.270.0811016.518.7-2.2014.416.4-2.06
Mo Williams18190.060.44-0.370.0311016.518.0-1.5412.616.2-3.64
Raul Lopez19200.050.45-0.410.11-24-616.118.2-2.0813.116.1-2.95
Jarron Collins1818-0.190.69-0.89-0.02-68-1420.916.94.0217.215.02.24
Tom Gugliotta2323-0.200.70-0.900.07-911-2020.116.83.3117.114.92.22


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.43,0.38,0.37,0.43,0.43,0.51,0.55,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.49,0.54,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.39,0.46,0.44,0.5,0.43,0.49,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.62,0.61,0.56,0.41,0.52,0.6,0.66,0.57,0.67,0.79,0.77,0.64,0.85,0.9,0.93,0.93,0.77,0.41,1
GameSimilarity Score
BKN 125, TOR 1270.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.44,0.47,0.43,0.41,0.45,0.4,0.35,0.34,0.44,0.42,0.38,0.42,0.33,0.32,0.34,0.48,0.39,0.44,0.54,0.42,0.46,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.45,0.58,0.62,0.62,0.52,0.44,0.48,0.5,0.51,0.67,0.71,0.65,0.79,0.81,0.86,0.85,0.79,0.84,0.42,191.5%
UTA 87, DET 920.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.7,0.8,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.58,191.4%
DEN 103, SAC 1050.5,0.49,0.48,0.51,0.52,0.5,0.47,0.41,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.47,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.4,0.39,0.44,0.4,0.44,0.44,0.51,0.51,0.5,0.46,0.4,0.39,0.4,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.41,0.48,0.48,0.46,0.52,0.67,0.62,0.81,0.69,0.76,0.83,0.86,0.72,0.67,0.58,191.2%