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NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?
Utah Jazz 87 Excitement7.8 [292] MVPKentavious Caldwell-Pope (DET): +12.1%
Detroit Pistons 92 Comeback2.0 [425] LVPAnthony Tolliver (DET): -9.0%


Utah Jazz
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Derrick Favors0.060,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.060.12-0.050.011568%0.122-0.06875%0.01
Gordon Hayward0.040,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.15,-0.17,-0.17,0.04-0.080.120.001146%0.174-0.13650%-0.07
Joe Ingles0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.010.02-0.00450%0.0200.0000%0.00
Raul Neto0.010,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.010.03-0.020.00667%0.071-0.0600%0.00
Trey Lyles-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.000.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Elijah Millsap-0.020,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Rudy Gobert-0.070,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.01650%0.023-0.0800%0.00
Trey Burke-0.070,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07-0.05-0.02-0.0020%-0.031-0.0400%0.00
Alec Burks-0.080,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.11,-0.080.04-0.12-0.001451%-0.0800.00786%0.01
Rodney Hood-0.080,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08-0.04-0.06-0.031540%-0.061-0.0200%0.00

Detroit Pistons
PlayerWPAeWPAclWPAgbWPAFGATS%tsWPATOtoWPAFTAFT%ftWPA
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.06,0.120.120.040.080.001162%0.202-0.084100%0.06
Reggie Jackson0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.10.10-0.010.11-0.001454%0.374-0.27757%-0.04
Andre Drummond0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.090.090.070.070.041155%0.0900.001173%-0.01
Stanley Johnson0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.050.050.010.04-0.001046%0.0500.004100%0.03
Ersan Ilyasova0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.020.020.030.010.02667%0.061-0.0300%0.00
Jodie Meeks0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,00.00-0.020.00-0.0210%0.0000.0000%0.00
Marcus Morris0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0,00.000.04-0.06-0.021061%0.052-0.053100%0.02
Aron Baynes0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.01-0.010.00440%-0.0200.002100%0.01
Reggie Bullock0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02-0.02-0.02-0.010.0010%-0.0200.0000%0.00
Steve Blake0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03-0.03-0.030.00-0.00333%-0.011-0.0200%0.00
Anthony Tolliver0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09-0.09-0.06-0.030.0030%-0.0900.0030%-0.05
Game Length Report (minutes)

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4Total
this game23.32.629.815.828.02.037.2138.7
league avg24.52.329.515.826.72.333.5136.2
Win Probability Added by the Four Factors
(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP
start
50% WP
DET +31.3%
DET +17.7%
DET +19.6%
UTA -13.8%
UTA -4.8%
Pace and Efficiency Report

seconds / possessionpoints / 100 possessions
all possessionsUTADETNBAUTADETNBA
this game15.915.114.995.696.8105.1
season16.315.0104.6104.9
opponent15.115.0105.0102.8

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

Q1Q2Q3Q4Total
UTA16.416.816.314.215.9
DET14.916.714.514.615.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Raul Neto48500.24-0.740.99-0.0811-162715.616.2-0.6017.113.04.10
Rudy Gobert70710.01-0.510.52-0.021-6716.214.91.3115.912.83.11
Elijah Millsap1819-0.02-0.480.46-0.020-5517.315.51.7615.814.90.84
Rodney Hood5457-0.07-0.430.36-0.287-121916.015.70.3215.414.60.81
Joe Ingles3133-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.30-1-4315.016.3-1.3715.315.00.24
Gordon Hayward6972-0.33-0.17-0.16-0.361-6715.616.6-0.9514.616.7-2.03
Derrick Favors6771-0.42-0.08-0.33-0.33-3-2-115.716.4-0.6914.516.9-2.35
Trey Lyles1617-0.42-0.08-0.340.02-1510-2516.715.70.9912.215.8-3.58
Trey Burke3131-0.510.01-0.53-0.10-149-2317.015.31.7213.016.1-3.14
Alec Burks5154-0.650.15-0.80-0.30-127-1915.216.7-1.4415.215.00.16

Detroit Pistons
possessionswin probabilitypointspace (offense)pace (defense)
playeroffensedefenseonoffdiffcl+/-onoffdiffonoffdiffonoffdiff
Andre Drummond74700.74-0.240.990.3314-92314.019.0-4.9315.716.3-0.54
Marcus Morris73690.62-0.120.750.2413-82114.118.5-4.4015.816.2-0.47
Stanley Johnson39370.410.090.320.4105-515.215.10.0615.616.1-0.51
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope70680.380.120.270.3323-115.115.3-0.2215.816.1-0.29
Steve Blake31310.270.230.040.019-41315.614.90.6916.715.41.33
Reggie Jackson64600.230.27-0.040.35-49-1314.915.6-0.6915.416.7-1.33
Anthony Tolliver35350.160.34-0.190.0732115.914.71.1716.215.60.59
Jodie Meeks13110.100.40-0.29-0.0450513.515.4-1.8317.015.71.29
Reggie Bullock12120.010.49-0.480.07-27-917.214.82.3515.216.0-0.71
Ersan Ilyasova4341-0.190.69-0.88-0.02-611-1716.214.22.0016.015.70.28
Aron Baynes2121-0.240.74-0.990.02-914-2319.014.04.9316.315.70.54


Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.53,0.5,0.45,0.38,0.37,0.37,0.42,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.51,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.48,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.41,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.48,0.48,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.7,0.8,0.85,0.8,0.77,0.64,0.71,0.78,0.85,0.92,0.9,0.58,1
GameSimilarity Score
UTA 84, BOS 850.5,0.49,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.39,0.37,0.39,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.49,0.48,0.44,0.45,0.42,0.47,0.51,0.48,0.45,0.36,0.36,0.46,0.46,0.5,0.58,0.72,0.64,0.7,0.61,0.65,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.63,0.71,0.74,0.82,0.82,0.83,0.88,0.79,0.71,0.83,0.81,0.93,0.96,0.85,191.9%
PHI 96, CHH 1030.5,0.51,0.46,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.41,0.4,0.43,0.49,0.53,0.5,0.51,0.51,0.51,0.4,0.42,0.53,0.52,0.4,0.41,0.46,0.49,0.5,0.57,0.57,0.64,0.61,0.55,0.62,0.59,0.65,0.52,0.6,0.68,0.78,0.7,0.79,0.76,0.68,0.74,0.88,0.87,0.85,0.84,0.95,0.93,191.5%
SAS 90, MEM 930.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.53,0.54,0.53,0.47,0.47,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.46,0.44,0.42,0.4,0.44,0.48,0.41,0.36,0.41,0.42,0.36,0.41,0.49,0.42,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.55,0.45,0.35,0.38,0.43,0.48,0.56,0.62,0.7,0.67,0.67,0.58,0.64,0.76,0.67,0.69,0.79,0.78,0.59,191.4%