NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	121		Excitement	9.3 [106]		MVP	Mikal Bridges (PHX): +27.6%
Phoenix Suns	124		Comeback	4.3 [703]		LVP	Devin Booker (PHX): -17.4%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Alperen Sengun	0.22	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.16,0.16,0.13,0.19,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.22,0.22,0.22	0.14	0.09	0.00	11	79%	0.25	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Jalen Green	0.19	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.19,0.19	0.05	0.15	0.02	12	59%	0.21	1	-0.02	5	80%	0.02
Kenyon Martin Jr.	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.03,0,0,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.02	0.00	10	52%	0.08	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.00
Jae'Sean Tate	0.01	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.01	0.12	-0.09	0.03	9	85%	0.20	3	-0.20	8	100%	0.04
David Nwaba	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	25%	-0.02	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Garrison Mathews	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.00	6	50%	0.02	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	-0.04	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,0.01,-0.08,-0.08,-0.04	-0.07	0.01	-0.02	24	40%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	50%	-0.01
Josh Christopher	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.09	-0.03	0.00	8	12%	-0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Schroder	-0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.07,-0.11,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.04,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.08,0.04,0.04,-0.04,-0.15,-0.15	-0.04	-0.12	-0.01	16	57%	0.03	6	-0.18	8	87%	0.08

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Mikal Bridges	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.09,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.22,0.28	0.28	0.05	0.22	0.00	10	61%	0.31	1	-0.03	8	62%	-0.02
Cameron Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.24,0.24	0.24	0.07	0.17	0.00	11	58%	0.24	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.00
Torrey Craig	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.07	0.08	0.00	6	69%	0.15	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
JaVale McGee	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.10	0.02	0.00	4	100%	0.11	0	0.00	1	100%	0.00
Aaron Holiday	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.01	0.07	0.00	7	64%	0.15	2	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Deandre Ayton	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.08	-0.02	0.02	15	64%	0.17	2	-0.12	6	83%	0.01
Elfrid Payton	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Chris Paul	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.02	-0.01	0.01	5	73%	0.07	3	-0.08	5	100%	0.02
Jae Crowder	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.02	-0.01	0.03	6	50%	-0.02	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Devin Booker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.08,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.03,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.23,-0.23,-0.17	-0.17	-0.04	-0.13	0.01	22	45%	0.00	3	-0.17	9	100%	0.08

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.3	2.3	31.4	20.5	26.5	2.3	35.4	147.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

PHX +45.0%

PHX +7.3%

HOU -10.8%

PHX +7.8%

PHX +0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHX	NBA	HOU	PHX	NBA
this game	14.5	12.6	14.5	114.2	115.9	110.8
season	14.4	14.2		107.5	114.0
opponent	14.7	13.9		107.5	115.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.0	12.3	15.3	16.5	14.5
PHX	13.7	12.5	11.9	12.3	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Alperen Sengun	66	65	0.07	-0.57	0.64	-0.25	11	-14	25	13.2	16.5	-3.35	12.7	12.4	0.26
Jalen Green	78	78	0.06	-0.56	0.62	-0.26	11	-14	25	13.8	16.2	-2.43	13.2	10.9	2.27
Jae'Sean Tate	62	64	-0.02	-0.48	0.47	-0.28	9	-12	21	13.7	15.5	-1.81	12.8	12.3	0.44
Dennis Schroder	84	85	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	-0.40	5	-8	13	14.1	16.0	-1.88	13.0	10.9	2.17
Josh Christopher	26	26	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.06	-7	4	-11	15.3	14.2	1.12	11.1	13.1	-1.95
David Nwaba	33	33	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.08	-11	8	-19	15.8	13.9	1.88	12.7	12.5	0.20
Garrison Mathews	45	49	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.06	-14	11	-25	15.3	13.9	1.44	11.7	13.3	-1.65
Kenyon Martin Jr.	51	50	-0.58	0.08	-0.67	-0.14	-15	12	-27	16.2	12.9	3.30	12.6	12.5	0.10
Eric Gordon	85	85	-0.64	0.14	-0.78	-0.52	-4	1	-5	14.7	13.3	1.41	12.2	13.9	-1.66

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Cameron Johnson	69	67	0.74	-0.24	0.98	0.30	15	-12	27	12.1	13.4	-1.29	15.3	13.1	2.15
Torrey Craig	51	49	0.62	-0.12	0.74	0.44	6	-3	9	11.9	13.2	-1.27	15.7	13.4	2.21
Aaron Holiday	42	42	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.21	11	-8	19	12.4	12.7	-0.34	16.0	13.4	2.63
Mikal Bridges	89	89	0.51	-0.01	0.51	0.45	2	1	1	12.8	11.6	1.24	14.5	14.5	-0.01
Devin Booker	95	94	0.38	0.12	0.27	0.41	-1	4	-5	12.8	10.7	2.16	14.6	13.2	1.37
JaVale McGee	23	23	0.08	0.42	-0.34	-0.04	4	-1	5	12.5	12.6	-0.14	14.5	14.5	0.02
Chris Paul	45	44	0.07	0.43	-0.36	0.01	2	1	1	13.2	12.2	0.98	13.5	15.2	-1.68
Elfrid Payton	7	7	-0.09	0.59	-0.69	0.02	-4	7	-11	12.4	12.6	-0.17	12.7	14.6	-1.87
Deandre Ayton	61	61	-0.17	0.67	-0.83	0.13	-10	13	-23	13.3	11.6	1.72	13.7	15.5	-1.78
Jae Crowder	53	54	-0.18	0.68	-0.85	0.12	-10	13	-23	11.9	13.2	-1.28	12.8	16.2	-3.43

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.5,0.53,0.48,0.43,0.39,0.47,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.37,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.27,0.27,0.27,0.31,0.25,0.31,0.24,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.38,0.26,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.22,0.38,0.67,0.77,0.8,0.8,0.83,0.76,0.63,0.43,0.72,1
Game		Similarity Score
PHI 92, ATL 96	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.49,0.48,0.43,0.42,0.41,0.47,0.49,0.43,0.37,0.38,0.48,0.4,0.4,0.38,0.31,0.37,0.3,0.34,0.34,0.31,0.22,0.25,0.27,0.26,0.23,0.3,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.38,0.39,0.34,0.33,0.44,0.34,0.34,0.43,0.57,0.63,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.46,0.35,0.73,1	91.7%
SAS 105, PHX 108	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.6,0.57,0.51,0.51,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.49,0.51,0.5,0.44,0.47,0.38,0.35,0.29,0.28,0.34,0.36,0.25,0.28,0.3,0.3,0.4,0.34,0.27,0.33,0.39,0.32,0.23,0.18,0.27,0.19,0.13,0.3,0.38,0.46,0.62,0.77,0.82,0.84,0.87,0.55,0.66,0.56,0.58,1	91.3%
DEN 111, UTA 116	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.35,0.41,0.4,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.38,0.42,0.46,0.51,0.44,0.44,0.39,0.42,0.41,0.37,0.42,0.37,0.36,0.36,0.27,0.29,0.2,0.21,0.31,0.3,0.29,0.34,0.34,0.51,0.48,0.68,0.7,0.61,0.73,0.75,0.72,0.67,0.73,1	90.2%