NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Brooklyn Nets	111		Excitement	6.3 [582]		MVP	Gabe Vincent (MIA): +11.2%
Miami Heat	115		Comeback	1.4 [1223]		LVP	Patty Mills (BKN): -5.2%

Brooklyn Nets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cam Thomas	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07	0.06	0.00	-0.01	18	55%	0.24	1	-0.16	4	100%	0.01
Bruce Brown	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.07	-0.00	0.00	6	69%	0.09	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.05
Day'Ron Sharpe	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.01	6	67%	0.09	1	-0.03	3	0%	-0.04
James Johnson	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.00	-0.02	7	60%	0.06	1	-0.01	1	0%	-0.01
Kyrie Irving	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.11,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.09,-0.01,-0.02,0,0.01,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.05	0.11	0.01	0.06	22	58%	0.09	2	-0.04	6	100%	0.06
David Duke Jr.	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jevon Carter	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	2	0%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kessler Edwards	-0.04	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	0.01	-0.04	0.01	13	46%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Blake Griffin	-0.05	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.02	-0.01	0.01	8	44%	-0.03	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.01
Patty Mills	-0.05	0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.01	0.01	11	41%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Gabe Vincent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.01	-0.01	7	79%	0.11	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duncan Robinson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0.06,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.14	0.01	0.03	10	85%	0.13	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Max Strus	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.06	0.02	-0.01	7	64%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.01	-0.02	6	57%	0.06	1	-0.01	2	50%	-0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,0.04	0.04	-0.05	0.08	-0.01	11	46%	0.10	3	-0.06	6	83%	-0.01
Tyler Herro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0.02,0,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.01	-0.04	11	52%	0.08	2	-0.04	7	100%	0.04
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,0.01,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.07,0.06,0.03	0.03	-0.02	0.05	0.00	10	50%	0.08	2	-0.05	6	83%	0.01
P.J. Tucker	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	0.01	0.02	8	53%	0.04	1	-0.03	3	67%	0.01
Bam Adebayo	0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	-0.02	-0.01	12	66%	0.09	5	-0.09	5	60%	-0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.1	1.8	29.2	14.8	25.9	2.0	38.0	137.8
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +31.0%

MIA +2.9%

MIA +15.4%

BKN -1.5%

MIA +2.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	BKN	MIA	NBA	BKN	MIA	NBA
this game	14.9	14.1	14.5	111.0	116.2	110.8
season	14.4	14.9		112.8	112.0
opponent	14.9	14.5		107.6	112.1

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
BKN	17.0	15.0	15.3	12.3	14.9
MIA	13.6	12.7	14.7	15.3	14.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Brooklyn Nets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Day'Ron Sharpe	55	56	0.24	-0.74	0.98	-0.46	24	-28	52	13.7	16.3	-2.56	15.1	12.8	2.32
David Duke Jr.	12	13	0.10	-0.60	0.69	0.01	3	-7	10	16.2	14.7	1.58	12.8	14.3	-1.42
Jevon Carter	13	14	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.08	1	-5	6	14.5	14.9	-0.46	14.9	14.0	0.90
James Johnson	29	30	-0.10	-0.40	0.29	0.01	-4	0	-4	16.7	14.1	2.63	14.3	14.0	0.36
Cam Thomas	68	68	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.45	11	-15	26	14.4	15.7	-1.31	14.2	13.8	0.40
Patty Mills	73	72	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.45	1	-5	6	14.3	16.5	-2.22	14.4	13.3	1.03
Kessler Edwards	62	61	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.40	-1	-3	2	14.0	16.2	-2.22	14.6	13.2	1.46
Kyrie Irving	87	85	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.30	-5	1	-6	14.9	14.5	0.46	14.0	14.9	-0.90
Bruce Brown	55	54	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	0.16	-23	19	-42	15.9	13.6	2.37	12.9	15.6	-2.70
Blake Griffin	46	42	-0.74	0.24	-0.98	0.05	-27	23	-50	16.1	13.8	2.35	13.0	14.9	-1.84

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Bam Adebayo	76	79	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.07	22	-18	40	13.3	16.5	-3.18	15.1	13.8	1.33
Kyle Lowry	77	77	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.27	7	-3	10	13.7	15.5	-1.88	14.6	15.9	-1.31
Jimmy Butler	71	74	0.47	0.03	0.44	0.27	7	-3	10	13.9	14.4	-0.48	14.8	15.0	-0.14
Duncan Robinson	49	53	0.45	0.05	0.41	0.01	15	-11	26	13.9	14.2	-0.32	15.6	14.0	1.62
P.J. Tucker	61	62	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.09	11	-7	18	13.9	14.4	-0.51	15.1	14.4	0.71
Gabe Vincent	51	52	0.18	0.32	-0.15	0.47	-10	14	-24	13.9	14.2	-0.29	13.5	16.3	-2.83
Tyler Herro	48	46	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.18	-6	10	-16	14.6	13.6	1.06	15.3	14.4	0.90
Max Strus	39	36	0.00	0.50	-0.49	0.24	-8	12	-20	15.2	13.4	1.81	15.3	14.6	0.74
Dewayne Dedmon	23	21	-0.22	0.72	-0.94	0.31	-18	22	-40	16.5	13.3	3.18	13.8	15.1	-1.33

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.46,0.48,0.5,0.56,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.53,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.53,0.6,0.63,0.63,0.68,0.64,0.75,0.69,0.67,0.67,0.69,0.82,0.8,0.91,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.96,0.93,0.91,0.87,0.88,0.82,0.94,0.96,0.98,0.85,0.97,0.92,1
Game		Similarity Score
SAS 118, NYK 130	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.57,0.49,0.45,0.47,0.53,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.55,0.62,0.65,0.72,0.71,0.66,0.72,0.69,0.67,0.75,0.79,0.9,0.85,0.88,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.97,0.97,0.94,0.9,0.92,0.93,0.89,0.89,0.93,0.92,0.94,0.98,0.98,1,1,1	94.6%
LAC 82, POR 100	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.53,0.53,0.51,0.52,0.49,0.42,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.7,0.76,0.76,0.72,0.75,0.78,0.77,0.8,0.82,0.91,0.95,0.96,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.99,1,1,1,1,1,1	94.4%
MIA 86, ORL 98	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.55,0.55,0.47,0.49,0.54,0.52,0.51,0.51,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.58,0.64,0.71,0.69,0.67,0.74,0.7,0.68,0.77,0.85,0.87,0.93,0.94,0.94,0.91,0.93,0.88,0.94,0.92,0.96,0.92,0.92,0.93,0.97,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.99,0.99,1,1	94.4%