NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Sacramento Kings	123		Excitement	5.9 [656]		MVP	Maurice Harkless (SAC): +17.6%
Washington Wizards	110		Comeback	4.3 [422]		LVP	Anthony Gill (WAS): -6.6%

Sacramento Kings
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Maurice Harkless	0.18	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.22,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.02	0.03	5	113%	0.22	1	-0.04	5	80%	-0.00
Harrison Barnes	0.17	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.15	0.05	0.04	9	78%	0.19	1	-0.02	9	78%	-0.01
Chimezie Metu	0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.08	0.05	0.00	3	125%	0.18	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.02
Justin Holiday	0.12	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.10	0.03	0.01	8	75%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Domantas Sabonis	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.08	-0.00	0.01	9	80%	0.13	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Richaun Holmes	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.00	0.04	-0.00	3	75%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.02
De'Aaron Fox	0.04	0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.02	0.01	-0.01	21	53%	0.12	3	-0.08	7	86%	0.03
Davion Mitchell	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.06	0.03	0.00	9	44%	0.07	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Donte DiVincenzo	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	0.00	9	35%	-0.04	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Thomas Bryant	0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.05	-0.01	-0.02	10	65%	0.10	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Kuzma	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.07	-0.01	0.01	14	61%	0.11	2	-0.06	8	75%	0.01
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.01	0.03	-0.01	9	45%	0.05	0	0.00	4	75%	0.01
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.06	-0.01	0.00	16	59%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.03	-0.00	-0.01	7	64%	0.08	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.06	0.01	0.04	9	61%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.02	-0.02	-0.00	11	57%	0.08	2	-0.07	1	100%	0.00
Vernon Carey Jr.	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.01	0.01	0.02	9	45%	-0.00	0	0.00	4	75%	0.00
Anthony Gill	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	3	25%	-0.03	1	-0.03	2	0%	-0.03

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.0	1.5	30.1	14.6	27.5	2.3	28.4	126.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAC +38.3%

SAC +19.0%

WAS -2.7%

WAS -8.1%

SAC +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	SAC	WAS	NBA	SAC	WAS	NBA
this game	14.5	15.5	14.5	128.1	114.6	110.8
season	14.0	14.9		109.2	109.8
opponent	14.4	14.6		113.1	114.4

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
SAC	15.2	14.2	12.7	16.0	14.5
WAS	16.1	14.0	17.3	14.7	15.5

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Sacramento Kings
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Justin Holiday	59	58	0.43	0.07	0.35	-0.01	15	-2	17	14.3	14.9	-0.69	16.3	14.3	1.97
Chimezie Metu	39	42	0.42	0.08	0.33	0.18	8	5	3	13.9	14.9	-1.05	14.5	16.2	-1.74
Davion Mitchell	42	43	0.41	0.09	0.33	0.18	8	5	3	14.4	14.6	-0.29	13.4	17.2	-3.82
De'Aaron Fox	76	75	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.02	11	2	9	14.5	14.5	0.03	16.0	13.5	2.50
Domantas Sabonis	66	64	0.34	0.16	0.17	-0.04	13	0	13	14.7	14.1	0.61	16.2	13.9	2.31
Harrison Barnes	65	63	0.28	0.22	0.06	0.05	8	5	3	14.5	14.5	-0.04	15.9	14.6	1.33
Donte DiVincenzo	39	40	0.23	0.27	-0.03	0.06	6	7	-1	14.3	14.7	-0.40	14.6	16.1	-1.42
Richaun Holmes	35	36	0.15	0.35	-0.20	0.12	1	12	-11	14.6	14.5	0.08	14.8	15.9	-1.03
Maurice Harkless	59	59	-0.10	0.60	-0.69	0.05	-5	18	-23	15.2	13.4	1.86	15.9	14.8	1.04

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Thomas Bryant	42	41	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.02	1	-14	15	17.5	13.9	3.55	14.7	14.4	0.24
Vernon Carey Jr.	2	3	0.00	-0.50	0.50	-0.03	1	-14	15	11.0	15.6	-4.57	19.7	14.4	5.31
Corey Kispert	72	71	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.14	0	-13	13	15.8	14.5	1.36	14.5	14.7	-0.27
Ish Smith	40	41	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.16	-1	-12	11	13.3	17.0	-3.65	15.0	14.1	0.88
Anthony Gill	38	40	-0.23	-0.27	0.05	-0.05	-6	-7	1	13.1	17.0	-3.93	14.6	14.5	0.14
Raul Neto	56	55	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.04	-12	-1	-11	17.0	13.3	3.65	14.1	15.0	-0.88
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	57	56	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	0.08	-15	2	-17	16.9	13.4	3.57	14.1	15.2	-1.12
Kyle Kuzma	70	69	-0.40	-0.10	-0.29	-0.13	-9	-4	-5	16.0	14.2	1.76	14.5	14.7	-0.20
Rui Hachimura	44	45	-0.43	-0.07	-0.35	-0.13	-10	-3	-7	14.6	16.2	-1.68	14.9	14.2	0.78
Deni Avdija	59	59	-0.50	-0.00	-0.49	-0.09	-14	1	-15	14.0	17.8	-3.75	14.4	14.7	-0.34

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.45,0.49,0.46,0.42,0.43,0.45,0.45,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.63,0.66,0.66,0.55,0.65,0.63,0.72,0.75,0.81,0.74,0.77,0.75,0.67,0.69,0.58,0.61,0.61,0.64,0.58,0.41,0.4,0.41,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.21,0.17,0.12,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 91, MIA 84	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.39,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.55,0.55,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.62,0.6,0.61,0.65,0.73,0.76,0.72,0.79,0.73,0.73,0.68,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.55,0.58,0.45,0.41,0.34,0.4,0.44,0.3,0.26,0.21,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0	95.0%
TOR 117, MIL 111	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.41,0.37,0.36,0.43,0.41,0.5,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.75,0.73,0.75,0.77,0.82,0.78,0.75,0.78,0.75,0.65,0.69,0.67,0.64,0.64,0.52,0.52,0.44,0.41,0.4,0.4,0.34,0.43,0.34,0.2,0.1,0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0.01,0,0	93.4%
HOU 96, UTA 85	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.5,0.45,0.41,0.39,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.77,0.72,0.76,0.77,0.85,0.81,0.77,0.7,0.63,0.71,0.66,0.58,0.58,0.58,0.65,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.33,0.44,0.22,0.19,0.12,0.08,0.1,0.21,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.03,0.02,0,0	93.4%