NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	121		Excitement	8.5 [193]		MVP	Malik Monk (LAL): +42.1%
Atlanta Hawks	129		Comeback	9.0 [313]		LVP	Danilo Gallinari (ATL): -7.8%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Malik Monk	0.42	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.27,0.25,0.25,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.26,0.37,0.37,0.37,0.46,0.42	0.25	0.17	-0.00	19	82%	0.48	2	-0.06	2	50%	-0.01
Stanley Johnson	0.20	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.09	0.11	0.00	6	77%	0.20	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.02
Austin Reaves	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.03	0.04	-0.01	3	60%	0.08	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	5	80%	0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Carmelo Anthony	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.02	-0.02	11	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,-0.01,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.04,0,0,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	-0.01	15	57%	0.08	4	-0.09	5	40%	-0.04
Dwight Howard	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	2	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	0%	-0.03
Kent Bazemore	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	0.00	1	0%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Anthony Davis	-0.02	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0,0,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.09,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.02	-0.03	0.01	20	55%	0.05	3	-0.07	9	67%	-0.04
Avery Bradley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	0.00	5	40%	-0.01	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.22,0.29,0.36,0.36,0.36,0.36	0.36	0.14	0.22	0.00	9	89%	0.36	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.05,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.34	0.34	0.08	0.26	0.00	22	65%	0.50	6	-0.16	11	73%	-0.00
John Collins	0,0,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.15	0.03	0.00	13	74%	0.18	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.09	0.03	0.01	8	65%	0.12	0	0.00	7	43%	-0.05
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.03	0.07	0.00	5	64%	0.12	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	83%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	50%	-0.00	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	5	56%	0.04	2	-0.06	6	50%	-0.08
Bogdan Bogdanovic	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.08,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	0.02	9	50%	0.02	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00
Danilo Gallinari	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.04	-0.04	-0.00	5	36%	-0.05	1	-0.03	1	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.7	1.8	29.4	15.5	29.4	2.4	28.5	131.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +33.1%

ATL +7.4%

ATL +6.2%

LAL -0.2%

ATL +3.5%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	ATL	NBA	LAL	ATL	NBA
this game	15.2	12.6	14.5	117.5	124.0	110.8
season	14.3	14.6		109.5	114.3
opponent	14.5	14.2		113.2	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	14.7	12.6	17.0	17.4	15.2
ATL	12.5	11.9	12.5	13.9	12.6

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Kent Bazemore	16	15	-0.07	-0.43	0.36	0.02	-3	-5	2	14.6	15.4	-0.79	13.4	12.5	0.93
Austin Reaves	58	57	-0.08	-0.42	0.34	-0.02	-2	-6	4	14.7	15.9	-1.13	11.8	13.5	-1.69
Carmelo Anthony	49	48	-0.11	-0.39	0.29	0.13	-8	0	-8	15.1	15.4	-0.33	11.2	13.8	-2.56
Stanley Johnson	58	60	-0.19	-0.31	0.12	-0.34	5	-13	18	15.2	15.2	-0.02	13.8	10.9	2.90
Anthony Davis	83	85	-0.24	-0.26	0.02	-0.30	2	-10	12	14.9	16.5	-1.63	12.5	13.2	-0.68
Dwight Howard	20	19	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	0.03	-10	2	-12	16.5	14.9	1.63	13.2	12.5	0.68
Talen Horton-Tucker	33	32	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.03	-8	0	-8	14.9	15.4	-0.52	12.7	12.6	0.12
Malik Monk	79	81	-0.38	-0.12	-0.26	-0.26	-4	-4	0	15.5	14.4	1.06	12.5	13.0	-0.45
Avery Bradley	45	47	-0.42	-0.08	-0.34	-0.25	-6	-2	-4	15.9	14.7	1.13	13.5	11.8	1.69
Russell Westbrook	74	76	-0.48	-0.02	-0.47	-0.31	-6	-2	-4	15.4	14.8	0.56	12.4	13.1	-0.69

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Onyeka Okongwu	45	45	0.77	-0.27	1.05	0.33	15	-7	22	13.8	11.7	2.18	15.6	14.9	0.69
Trae Young	80	81	0.59	-0.09	0.69	0.39	7	1	6	12.5	12.9	-0.40	15.5	14.4	1.05
Lou Williams	32	31	0.49	0.01	0.47	0.22	9	-1	10	13.8	12.1	1.70	16.5	14.7	1.79
John Collins	56	55	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.12	10	-2	12	12.3	13.0	-0.69	15.6	14.8	0.75
Bogdan Bogdanovic	58	57	0.32	0.18	0.13	0.26	2	6	-4	13.1	12.0	1.05	15.0	15.5	-0.44
De'Andre Hunter	57	56	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.08	6	2	4	12.5	12.7	-0.21	15.1	15.4	-0.35
Danilo Gallinari	53	53	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.11	2	6	-4	12.4	12.9	-0.50	15.2	15.2	-0.01
Kevin Huerter	56	55	-0.02	0.52	-0.55	-0.02	0	8	-8	11.7	13.7	-1.97	14.3	16.2	-1.90
Delon Wright	29	29	-0.13	0.63	-0.75	-0.13	0	8	-8	12.6	12.6	-0.03	15.7	15.1	0.59
Clint Capela	54	53	-0.35	0.85	-1.20	-0.03	-11	19	-30	12.1	13.1	-0.95	14.5	16.0	-1.41

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.45,0.39,0.39,0.43,0.43,0.43,0.47,0.45,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.58,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.61,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.49,0.39,0.25,0.24,0.23,0.25,0.33,0.36,0.55,0.48,0.52,0.34,0.3,0.18,0.13,0.16,0.15,0.29,0.37,0.47,0.59,0.72,0.75,0.72,0.8,0.73,1
Game		Similarity Score
UTA 86, SAS 93	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.3,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.47,0.71,0.6,0.75,0.63,0.9,0.84,1	91.0%
ORL 98, TOR 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.32,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.84,1	90.1%
MEM 122, OKC 128	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.51,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.55,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.43,0.44,0.51,0.55,0.62,0.6,0.58,0.53,0.39,0.39,0.39,0.41,0.3,0.19,0.18,0.3,0.36,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.2,0.17,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.41,0.47,0.47,0.53,0.72,0.86,0.95,0.98,1,1	90.1%