NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Utah Jazz	86		Excitement	7.3 [362]		MVP	Terry Porter (SAS): +24.4%
San Antonio Spurs	93		Comeback	6.1 [295]		LVP	John Stockton (UTA): -17.8%

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Howard Eisley	0.10	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.08	0.04	0.01	12	67%	0.13	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Quincy Lewis	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.03	0.02	0.00	3	33%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Greg Ostertag	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	6	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jeff Hornacek	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.01	-0.01	8	47%	0.03	3	-0.08	3	67%	0.02
Jacque Vaughn	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	0.00	3	44%	-0.02	1	-0.03	3	33%	-0.03
Bryon Russell	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0,0,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.08	0.00	11	60%	0.04	2	-0.10	3	100%	0.01
Armen Gilliam	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.05	-0.01	-0.00	3	0%	-0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Olden Polynice	-0.12	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.07	0.01	7	47%	-0.02	2	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Karl Malone	-0.13	0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0,-0.01,-0.16,-0.15,-0.13	-0.00	-0.15	-0.02	14	59%	-0.05	2	-0.08	11	82%	0.00
John Stockton	-0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.2,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.17,-0.18	-0.16	-0.06	-0.04	7	37%	0.02	6	-0.20	2	100%	0.03

San Antonio Spurs
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Terry Porter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.24	0.24	0.09	0.13	-0.02	8	84%	0.29	2	-0.05	3	67%	0.01
Tim Duncan	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,-0.03,-0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.18,0.1,0.19,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.10	0.12	0.02	28	64%	0.34	3	-0.13	16	87%	0.03
Jaren Jackson	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.06	0.01	0.01	4	80%	0.06	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Samaki Walker	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jerome Kersey	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	0.00	1	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.06,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.07	-0.07	0.00	-0.00	5	40%	0.00	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00
Mario Elie	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.04	-0.00	4	60%	0.02	3	-0.10	2	100%	0.01
Malik Rose	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.10	-0.08	-0.03	-0.01	4	0%	-0.07	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Antonio Daniels	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.03,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.12	-0.12	-0.04	-0.08	0.00	7	47%	-0.00	2	-0.11	1	100%	0.00
Avery Johnson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.08	-0.05	0.00	7	29%	-0.08	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	23.8	1.8	28.0	17.8	26.3	2.6	41.0	141.2
league avg	26.0	2.2	28.8	16.5	26.3	2.2	33.7	137.0

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

SAS +43.5%

SAS +12.1%

UTA -7.2%

SAS +2.3%

UTA -0.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	UTA	SAS	NBA	UTA	SAS	NBA
this game	17.2	14.3	15.2	93.5	102.2	101.7
season	16.3	15.5		104.5	101.6
opponent	15.4	15.2		95.9	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
UTA	19.0	15.5	16.2	18.3	17.2
SAS	15.1	14.5	15.1	12.5	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Jeff Hornacek	59	58	0.15	-0.65	0.79	-0.12	9	-16	25	16.4	18.6	-2.18	14.0	14.7	-0.74
Greg Ostertag	36	37	0.05	-0.55	0.59	0.10	-2	-5	3	17.6	16.9	0.71	14.5	14.1	0.35
Jacque Vaughn	15	16	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	0.00	-1	-6	5	16.6	17.3	-0.72	16.3	13.8	2.50
Quincy Lewis	21	21	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	0.04	-8	1	-9	18.8	16.7	2.02	13.9	14.4	-0.51
Karl Malone	77	77	-0.20	-0.30	0.10	-0.29	3	-10	13	16.9	18.5	-1.59	14.5	13.0	1.48
Howard Eisley	49	47	-0.25	-0.25	-0.01	-0.11	-5	-2	-3	18.3	15.9	2.44	14.3	14.2	0.01
Armen Gilliam	18	17	-0.28	-0.22	-0.05	0.02	-10	3	-13	17.4	17.2	0.23	14.1	14.3	-0.17
Bryon Russell	71	70	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.34	1	-8	9	16.7	18.8	-2.02	14.4	13.9	0.51
Olden Polynice	51	49	-0.57	0.07	-0.63	-0.45	-4	-3	-1	17.7	16.6	1.16	14.3	14.1	0.20
John Stockton	63	63	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.34	-18	11	-29	16.8	18.1	-1.31	13.5	15.9	-2.32

San Antonio Spurs
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
David Robinson	39	41	0.66	-0.16	0.82	0.46	7	0	7	14.6	14.0	0.54	19.1	15.7	3.46
Mario Elie	58	58	0.65	-0.15	0.81	0.33	11	-4	15	13.4	15.7	-2.27	17.8	16.2	1.59
Antonio Daniels	46	47	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.15	13	-6	19	13.2	15.3	-2.05	17.5	16.9	0.67
Tim Duncan	86	87	0.45	0.05	0.40	0.27	6	1	5	14.4	12.4	1.96	17.3	16.0	1.28
Terry Porter	43	42	0.34	0.16	0.18	0.04	10	-3	13	13.6	14.9	-1.32	17.5	17.0	0.50
Avery Johnson	62	63	0.29	0.21	0.08	0.29	0	7	-7	14.1	14.6	-0.44	16.8	18.1	-1.36
Jerome Kersey	26	27	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.05	3	4	-1	15.6	13.7	1.85	16.0	17.7	-1.71
Samaki Walker	11	10	-0.02	0.52	-0.53	-0.02	0	7	-7	14.4	14.2	0.13	16.3	17.3	-1.02
Malik Rose	44	44	-0.10	0.60	-0.70	-0.10	0	7	-7	14.4	14.1	0.21	16.1	18.2	-2.18
Jaren Jackson	40	41	-0.45	0.95	-1.39	-0.01	-15	22	-37	16.0	12.9	3.16	16.6	17.7	-1.16

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.5,0.44,0.44,0.46,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.43,0.44,0.46,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.58,0.58,0.61,0.53,0.48,0.44,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.43,0.45,0.42,0.55,0.45,0.42,0.45,0.45,0.44,0.3,0.25,0.15,0.19,0.25,0.29,0.23,0.47,0.71,0.6,0.75,0.63,0.9,0.84,1
Game		Similarity Score
DET 72, CLE 74	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.48,0.5,0.49,0.45,0.45,0.51,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.43,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.49,0.49,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.46,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.52,0.42,0.48,0.44,0.41,0.33,0.36,0.26,0.26,0.25,0.42,0.42,0.53,0.6,0.83,0.81,0.63,0.78,0.58,1	92.2%
ORL 98, TOR 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.59,0.49,0.47,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.58,0.49,0.47,0.48,0.52,0.56,0.54,0.46,0.46,0.45,0.4,0.39,0.36,0.48,0.32,0.45,0.48,0.41,0.3,0.28,0.26,0.26,0.28,0.48,0.47,0.59,0.65,0.66,0.69,0.63,0.77,0.84,1	91.6%
HOU 84, MIA 88	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.5,0.48,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.46,0.54,0.58,0.6,0.55,0.49,0.39,0.42,0.47,0.44,0.53,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.54,0.54,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.55,0.41,0.34,0.37,0.37,0.36,0.34,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.32,0.47,0.59,0.47,0.62,0.71,0.86,0.98,1	91.3%