NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Los Angeles Lakers	114		Excitement	6.8 [480]		MVP	Ish Smith (CHA): +35.0%
Charlotte Hornets	117		Comeback	1.0 [1137]		LVP	Avery Bradley (LAL): -8.5%

Los Angeles Lakers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kent Bazemore	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.14,0.13,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.01	0.01	7	81%	0.11	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Austin Reaves	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.17,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.09	0.00	0.01	12	59%	0.08	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Carmelo Anthony	0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.06	-0.00	0.00	12	61%	0.07	1	-0.01	7	100%	0.03
Stanley Johnson	0.05	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,0.05	-0.04	0.08	-0.01	7	29%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Russell Westbrook	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0.03,0.05,0.07,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.17,0.14,0.11,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.16,0.2,0.04	0.19	-0.13	0.02	23	62%	0.06	1	-0.02	10	80%	0.00
Talen Horton-Tucker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	6	43%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Wayne Ellington	-0.01	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.02	8	56%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
DeAndre Jordan	-0.04	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.05	0.00	-0.02	2	33%	-0.02	1	-0.02	8	25%	-0.07
Trevor Ariza	-0.05	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	4	37%	-0.01	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Avery Bradley	-0.08	0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.09	-0.02	-0.02	10	25%	-0.06	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00

Charlotte Hornets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Ish Smith	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.16,0.24,0.24,0.22,0.31,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.35,0.35	0.35	0.21	0.14	0.00	12	92%	0.35	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Miles Bridges	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.15,0.15,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.18,0.18,0.18	0.18	0.16	0.02	0.00	15	68%	0.21	1	-0.02	8	87%	0.02
Terry Rozier	0,0,0,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.18,0.17,0.17,0.14	0.14	0.06	0.06	-0.02	16	57%	0.17	2	-0.03	3	67%	-0.01
LaMelo Ball	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.09,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.03	-0.00	18	48%	0.08	1	-0.04	6	67%	-0.04
Cody Martin	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.02	0.02	-0.02	7	44%	0.05	1	-0.04	2	50%	-0.01
P.J. Washington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.01	-0.00	-0.01	8	52%	0.04	2	-0.03	7	57%	-0.01
James Bouknight	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	33%	-0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mason Plumlee	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	4	80%	0.06	4	-0.09	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.4	3.6	28.2	14.8	35.7	2.8	40.9	155.4
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

CHA +62.4%

CHA +5.0%

LAL -7.3%

LAL -9.1%

LAL -1.0%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	LAL	CHA	NBA	LAL	CHA	NBA
this game	15.5	14.4	14.5	117.5	121.9	110.8
season	14.3	14.0		109.5	112.9
opponent	14.5	14.2		112.8	112.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
LAL	16.6	14.0	14.5	17.0	15.5
CHA	12.8	13.2	15.5	16.5	14.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Los Angeles Lakers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Carmelo Anthony	71	72	0.02	-0.52	0.54	-0.57	20	-23	43	14.5	18.1	-3.56	14.7	13.3	1.43
Kent Bazemore	29	28	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.23	6	-9	15	13.0	16.5	-3.48	14.7	14.2	0.54
Trevor Ariza	27	27	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.16	1	-4	5	14.9	15.7	-0.86	15.4	14.0	1.45
Talen Horton-Tucker	53	53	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.46	11	-14	25	15.4	15.5	-0.09	15.5	13.0	2.43
Austin Reaves	54	54	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.46	9	-12	21	15.6	15.3	0.27	15.4	13.0	2.47
Wayne Ellington	36	35	-0.29	-0.21	-0.08	0.06	-12	9	-21	16.8	14.7	2.12	13.3	15.0	-1.74
DeAndre Jordan	41	40	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	0.11	-14	11	-25	16.7	14.6	2.05	12.8	15.4	-2.60
Avery Bradley	43	42	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	0.05	-12	9	-21	15.3	15.6	-0.27	13.0	15.4	-2.47
Russell Westbrook	76	76	-0.52	0.02	-0.54	-0.20	-11	8	-19	15.8	14.3	1.52	14.0	15.8	-1.88
Stanley Johnson	55	53	-0.59	0.09	-0.68	-0.21	-13	10	-23	16.1	14.6	1.51	14.5	14.2	0.28

Charlotte Hornets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
LaMelo Ball	68	71	0.72	-0.22	0.94	0.11	21	-18	39	13.6	16.3	-2.71	15.6	15.2	0.44
Cody Martin	54	57	0.55	-0.05	0.61	0.11	15	-12	27	14.7	13.9	0.82	17.5	12.6	4.89
Mason Plumlee	76	76	0.53	-0.03	0.56	0.03	17	-14	31	14.0	15.9	-1.94	16.0	13.4	2.61
Miles Bridges	83	84	0.47	0.03	0.43	0.29	6	-3	9	14.0	16.8	-2.78	15.4	15.7	-0.25
Ish Smith	50	50	0.21	0.29	-0.08	0.30	-3	6	-9	15.4	13.2	2.24	15.4	15.6	-0.15
Terry Rozier	76	76	0.18	0.32	-0.14	0.44	-9	12	-21	14.2	14.8	-0.61	15.1	16.8	-1.70
P.J. Washington	58	57	-0.00	0.50	-0.50	0.61	-21	24	-45	15.0	13.3	1.69	13.7	17.9	-4.21
James Bouknight	15	14	-0.16	0.66	-0.82	0.16	-11	14	-25	15.3	14.2	1.07	13.1	15.9	-2.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.54,0.61,0.63,0.61,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.69,0.75,0.71,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.64,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.7,0.75,0.76,0.81,0.82,0.88,0.9,0.94,0.96,0.93,0.89,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.84,0.77,0.56,0.56,0.58,0.74,0.71,0.74,0.72,0.79,0.93,0.87,0.75,0.92,0.95,0.98,1
Game		Similarity Score
MIL 89, MIN 95	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.49,0.57,0.56,0.6,0.62,0.66,0.63,0.69,0.73,0.73,0.72,0.74,0.71,0.71,0.72,0.74,0.8,0.83,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.79,0.84,0.89,0.85,0.9,0.87,0.83,0.78,0.7,0.63,0.72,0.7,0.78,0.78,0.8,0.73,0.83,0.76,0.91,0.81,0.84,0.91,0.84,1	92.4%
NJN 90, CLE 93	0.5,0.51,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.63,0.66,0.71,0.75,0.78,0.78,0.71,0.69,0.69,0.72,0.73,0.73,0.77,0.81,0.89,0.86,0.84,0.86,0.92,0.81,0.86,0.87,0.83,0.76,0.77,0.78,0.75,0.62,0.74,0.71,0.77,0.89,0.92,0.85,0.87,0.86,0.89,0.9,0.84,1	92.3%
HOU 77, SAC 86	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.54,0.58,0.61,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.65,0.63,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.54,0.53,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.72,0.78,0.76,0.79,0.89,0.86,0.86,0.82,0.83,0.78,0.73,0.71,0.74,0.79,0.77,0.71,0.56,0.7,0.7,0.62,0.71,0.73,0.64,0.85,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.99,1,1	91.9%