NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	109		Excitement	9.0 [135]		MVP	Anthony Edwards (MIN): +50.4%
Portland Trail Blazers	107		Comeback	5.5 [350]		LVP	Anfernee Simons (POR): -35.6%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Anthony Edwards	0.50	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.28,0.4,0.52,0.54,0.55,0.52,0.5,0.5	0.21	0.28	-0.01	27	62%	0.53	1	-0.03	11	64%	-0.02
D'Angelo Russell	0.23	0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.12,-0.12,-0.15,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,0.23	0.02	0.24	0.02	16	58%	0.42	4	-0.18	6	83%	-0.00
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.15	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.09	0.06	-0.00	7	85%	0.26	3	-0.10	6	100%	0.04
Jarred Vanderbilt	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.04	0.05	-0.02	-0.01	7	68%	0.14	2	-0.10	5	60%	-0.01
Jaylen Nowell	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.01	-0.01	8	47%	0.03	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Malik Beasley	-0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04	-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	5	30%	-0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jaden McDaniels	-0.07	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.06	-0.02	-0.00	6	25%	-0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Naz Reid	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	4	30%	-0.05	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.03
Taurean Prince	-0.10	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1	-0.07	-0.02	-0.00	2	0%	-0.05	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00

Portland Trail Blazers
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
CJ McCollum	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,0.23	0.23	0.02	0.22	0.01	15	47%	0.23	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Nassir Little	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17	0.17	0.16	0.03	0.01	11	80%	0.19	1	-0.02	3	67%	-0.00
Ben McLemore	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.04	0.01	-0.01	8	56%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Dennis Smith Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	0.03	-0.00	5	67%	0.08	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Jusuf Nurkic	0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0.02,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.01	18	48%	0.03	1	-0.02	6	67%	-0.05
Norman Powell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,0.01	0.01	-0.00	0.01	-0.00	6	57%	0.07	2	-0.06	2	100%	0.03
Trendon Watford	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	0.00	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Robert Covington	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.02,0.07,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,-0.05,-0.14	-0.14	-0.07	-0.09	-0.01	11	33%	-0.13	1	-0.01	2	100%	0.03
Anfernee Simons	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.07,0.08,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.05,0.07,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.19,-0.19,-0.31,-0.29,-0.29,-0.29,-0.36	-0.36	-0.11	-0.25	-0.00	18	44%	-0.13	6	-0.23	3	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	2.5	25.3	14.6	29.2	2.4	38.4	140.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +66.9%

MIN +10.3%

POR -10.7%

POR -18.2%

MIN +1.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	POR	NBA	MIN	POR	NBA
this game	13.7	14.7	14.5	106.9	105.9	110.8
season	13.9	14.6		112.6	106.9
opponent	14.5	14.4		115.6	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.8	13.0	13.1	15.1	13.7
POR	14.4	14.8	15.2	14.3	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Karl-Anthony Towns	80	78	0.92	-0.42	1.33	0.54	13	-11	24	13.5	14.5	-1.00	14.8	14.2	0.63
Anthony Edwards	84	82	0.87	-0.37	1.24	0.46	14	-12	26	13.2	15.9	-2.64	14.8	14.3	0.49
Taurean Prince	57	58	0.55	-0.05	0.60	0.49	2	0	2	13.3	14.2	-0.95	14.4	15.0	-0.67
Malik Beasley	41	42	0.44	0.06	0.37	0.29	5	-3	8	14.1	13.5	0.64	14.3	14.9	-0.65
Jaylen Nowell	43	41	0.13	0.37	-0.25	0.10	1	1	0	13.2	14.1	-0.88	15.5	14.1	1.35
D'Angelo Russell	72	74	0.10	0.40	-0.31	0.30	-7	9	-16	14.7	11.4	3.23	14.3	15.6	-1.32
Jarred Vanderbilt	76	74	0.01	0.49	-0.48	0.07	-2	4	-6	13.8	13.5	0.29	15.1	13.6	1.51
Jaden McDaniels	35	33	-0.09	0.59	-0.67	0.06	-5	7	-12	13.6	13.8	-0.22	14.3	14.8	-0.54
Naz Reid	22	23	-0.42	0.92	-1.33	-0.09	-11	13	-24	14.5	13.5	1.00	14.2	14.8	-0.63

Portland Trail Blazers
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nassir Little	60	62	0.18	-0.68	0.85	-0.21	13	-15	28	14.6	14.7	-0.12	13.9	13.4	0.48
Jusuf Nurkic	64	65	0.13	-0.63	0.76	-0.14	9	-11	20	15.3	13.5	1.77	14.1	13.1	1.00
Ben McLemore	40	39	0.05	-0.55	0.60	0.05	0	-2	2	14.2	15.0	-0.81	13.6	13.8	-0.12
Dennis Smith Jr.	28	28	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.07	-2	0	-2	14.0	14.9	-0.97	13.3	13.9	-0.59
Anfernee Simons	72	74	-0.30	-0.20	-0.10	-0.42	4	-6	10	14.2	15.8	-1.58	14.0	12.9	1.08
CJ McCollum	78	80	-0.32	-0.18	-0.15	-0.38	2	-4	6	15.2	12.9	2.32	14.1	12.2	1.96
Trendon Watford	32	32	-0.33	-0.17	-0.15	-0.03	-10	8	-18	13.5	15.2	-1.75	12.6	14.2	-1.68
Robert Covington	76	76	-0.87	0.37	-1.24	-0.52	-12	10	-22	14.9	13.9	0.99	13.8	13.5	0.24
Norman Powell	55	54	-0.90	0.40	-1.30	-0.49	-14	12	-26	14.9	14.4	0.46	12.9	14.6	-1.72

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.53,0.51,0.47,0.43,0.46,0.55,0.59,0.53,0.53,0.6,0.58,0.57,0.6,0.6,0.62,0.69,0.67,0.59,0.73,0.73,0.83,0.75,0.73,0.73,0.71,0.72,0.82,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.75,0.72,0.73,0.67,0.64,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.67,0.63,0.59,0.46,0.33,0.05,0.01,0.1,0.07,0
Game		Similarity Score
DET 94, UTA 87	0.5,0.49,0.55,0.55,0.55,0.59,0.56,0.55,0.61,0.55,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.63,0.6,0.53,0.53,0.56,0.65,0.7,0.75,0.73,0.8,0.77,0.78,0.78,0.81,0.77,0.67,0.76,0.79,0.79,0.77,0.81,0.73,0.63,0.48,0.38,0.38,0.47,0.57,0.53,0.53,0.46,0.28,0.14,0.07,0,0,0	93.0%
TOR 106, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.44,0.45,0.45,0.47,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.4,0.47,0.51,0.54,0.58,0.58,0.62,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.7,0.73,0.68,0.64,0.61,0.73,0.68,0.72,0.78,0.67,0.73,0.74,0.68,0.78,0.69,0.56,0.6,0.58,0.7,0.53,0.67,0.58,0.47,0.4,0.17,0.14,0.04,0.03,0.01,0	92.2%
DEN 126, POR 115	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.5,0.54,0.53,0.55,0.47,0.57,0.55,0.53,0.58,0.6,0.64,0.6,0.62,0.59,0.56,0.51,0.58,0.56,0.66,0.77,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.77,0.82,0.88,0.81,0.87,0.88,0.89,0.86,0.77,0.71,0.62,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.68,0.59,0.46,0.28,0.1,0.01,0.06,0.01,0	91.8%