NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Detroit Pistons	111		Excitement	7.9 [293]		MVP	Nikola Jokic (DEN): +53.5%
Denver Nuggets	117		Comeback	1.4 [931]		LVP	Monte Morris (DEN): -25.1%

Detroit Pistons
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Cory Joseph	0.18	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.13,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.39,0.18	0.12	0.05	-0.01	9	90%	0.39	2	-0.22	2	100%	0.01
Isaiah Stewart	0.10	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.16	-0.01	0.05	8	106%	0.18	2	-0.08	1	100%	0.00
Trey Lyles	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.02,0.12,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.06	0.04	0.01	11	58%	0.15	2	-0.06	9	67%	-0.01
Killian Hayes	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	0.03	0.00	5	80%	0.13	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Rodney McGruder	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.01	-0.00	-0.02	4	75%	0.09	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Cassius Stanley	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	3	33%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Hamidou Diallo	-0.01	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	-0.01	0.01	7	53%	0.02	1	-0.03	3	100%	0.01
Josh Jackson	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	0.00	-0.00	0.02	2	60%	0.01	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.00
Saddiq Bey	-0.03	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.13,-0.13,0.09,0.09,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.01	11	50%	0.16	3	-0.19	0	0%	0.00
Cade Cunningham	-0.17	0,0,0,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.03,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.12,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17	-0.07	-0.09	0.01	15	55%	0.02	6	-0.19	3	100%	0.02

Denver Nuggets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Nikola Jokic	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.04,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.04,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.17,0.17,0.29,0.54	0.54	0.16	0.40	0.02	19	71%	0.61	3	-0.08	10	90%	0.11
Zeke Nnaji	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.12,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.14	0.00	0.01	5	120%	0.14	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Will Barton	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.06	0.07	-0.00	11	64%	0.17	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Bryn Forbes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.1,0.1,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.03	-0.02	9	60%	0.12	0	0.00	2	100%	0.02
Austin Rivers	0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.07	0.05	0.02	7	65%	0.11	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.01
Davon Reed	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	4	75%	0.09	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Facundo Campazzo	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.07,0.07,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07	0.07	0.05	0.02	-0.01	6	75%	0.08	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
DeMarcus Cousins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.11	0.02	-0.01	7	12%	-0.06	1	-0.02	2	0%	-0.03
Aaron Gordon	0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.15	-0.15	-0.01	-0.13	0.00	8	65%	-0.03	4	-0.11	4	50%	-0.03
Monte Morris	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.11,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.25,-0.25	-0.25	-0.11	-0.13	0.02	9	20%	-0.21	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	29.5	2.5	29.2	0.2	26.2	2.5	37.3	127.5
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

DET -20.9%

DEN +7.7%

DEN +9.1%

DEN +58.4%

DET -4.3%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	DET	DEN	NBA	DET	DEN	NBA
this game	14.7	15.0	14.5	114.4	120.6	110.8
season	14.6	14.8		105.0	113.4
opponent	14.4	14.4		111.6	112.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
DET	14.4	14.3	15.9	14.0	14.7
DEN	14.4	16.3	11.8	18.0	15.0

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Detroit Pistons
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Trey Lyles	44	44	-0.05	-0.45	0.40	-0.17	4	-10	14	13.8	15.4	-1.54	15.0	15.0	-0.02
Josh Jackson	33	33	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.12	1	-7	8	13.9	15.1	-1.21	17.8	13.6	4.16
Rodney McGruder	46	47	-0.09	-0.41	0.31	-0.18	3	-9	12	14.6	14.7	-0.10	15.5	14.5	0.97
Cassius Stanley	21	22	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.08	-2	-4	2	12.4	15.3	-2.93	17.6	14.3	3.34
Killian Hayes	48	49	-0.22	-0.28	0.05	-0.25	1	-7	8	14.3	15.1	-0.81	17.0	13.0	3.94
Hamidou Diallo	42	40	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	0.02	-10	4	-14	15.5	14.0	1.53	14.5	15.4	-0.87
Cade Cunningham	74	74	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.24	-4	-2	-2	15.3	12.8	2.43	14.2	17.6	-3.35
Saddiq Bey	64	64	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.20	-7	1	-8	15.1	13.9	1.21	13.6	17.8	-4.16
Cory Joseph	60	59	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.23	-6	0	-6	14.5	14.9	-0.39	13.4	17.6	-4.18
Isaiah Stewart	53	53	-0.45	-0.05	-0.40	-0.16	-10	4	-14	15.4	13.8	1.54	15.0	15.0	0.02

Denver Nuggets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Nikola Jokic	73	73	0.58	-0.08	0.67	0.23	12	-6	18	14.3	17.2	-2.87	15.4	12.5	2.90
Davon Reed	27	25	0.43	0.07	0.36	0.34	3	3	0	15.1	15.0	0.14	12.6	15.4	-2.80
Aaron Gordon	64	65	0.27	0.23	0.04	0.18	3	3	0	14.4	16.2	-1.78	14.9	14.3	0.55
Facundo Campazzo	39	39	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.23	1	5	-4	16.8	13.8	2.98	13.6	15.4	-1.82
Will Barton	53	55	0.26	0.24	0.02	0.17	3	3	0	14.3	15.9	-1.60	15.6	13.5	2.17
Bryn Forbes	44	42	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.08	6	0	6	15.1	15.0	0.11	14.3	15.0	-0.65
Austin Rivers	68	69	0.26	0.24	0.01	0.17	3	3	0	14.2	16.8	-2.59	15.2	13.4	1.76
Zeke Nnaji	33	32	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.14	3	3	0	16.2	14.4	1.78	14.3	14.9	-0.55
Monte Morris	61	61	0.02	0.48	-0.45	0.02	0	6	-6	15.0	15.0	0.06	15.1	14.0	1.04
DeMarcus Cousins	23	24	-0.07	0.57	-0.65	0.04	-4	10	-14	17.9	14.1	3.80	12.5	15.4	-2.90

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.48,0.54,0.52,0.46,0.47,0.59,0.61,0.57,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.48,0.51,0.6,0.51,0.53,0.56,0.63,0.7,0.73,0.61,0.54,0.59,0.5,0.58,0.51,0.51,0.61,0.7,0.68,0.68,0.65,0.66,0.81,0.91,0.97,0.97,0.98,0.92,0.73,0.74,0.88,0.87,0.86,0.84,0.76,0.58,1
Game		Similarity Score
OKC 97, IND 102	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.57,0.51,0.47,0.51,0.57,0.61,0.53,0.49,0.45,0.51,0.52,0.45,0.47,0.56,0.6,0.61,0.61,0.66,0.59,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.51,0.48,0.46,0.49,0.61,0.67,0.58,0.65,0.69,0.63,0.7,0.79,0.81,0.78,0.82,0.89,0.88,0.89,0.85,0.91,0.85,0.72,0.77,0.91,1	91.2%
CLE 77, WAS 80	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.55,0.58,0.61,0.58,0.53,0.49,0.55,0.6,0.6,0.6,0.57,0.62,0.58,0.62,0.67,0.65,0.61,0.69,0.76,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.58,0.63,0.66,0.69,0.68,0.73,0.74,0.72,0.69,0.69,0.81,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.96,0.95,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.95,0.97,0.93,0.91,0.59,1	91.2%
TOR 88, CHH 91	0.5,0.49,0.48,0.52,0.55,0.5,0.54,0.64,0.59,0.57,0.6,0.53,0.58,0.57,0.66,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.63,0.68,0.61,0.64,0.64,0.67,0.73,0.67,0.69,0.75,0.72,0.61,0.61,0.65,0.68,0.66,0.76,0.86,0.91,0.94,0.84,0.85,0.92,0.81,0.78,0.76,0.94,0.97,0.72,0.78,0.58,1	91.1%