NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Toronto Raptors	109		Excitement	6.5 [531]		MVP	Fred VanVleet (TOR): +30.0%
Washington Wizards	105		Comeback	3.4 [457]		LVP	Bradley Beal (WAS): -20.7%

Toronto Raptors
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Fred VanVleet	0.30	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.03,0.3	0.07	0.23	-0.00	17	54%	0.33	1	-0.03	5	100%	0.03
Scottie Barnes	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.06,0.08,0.11,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.14,0.11,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.2,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.13	0.13	0.00	0.00	19	64%	0.20	2	-0.07	4	75%	-0.00
Chris Boucher	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.07	0.01	0.00	7	71%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Pascal Siakam	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.06,0.06	0.04	0.03	0.00	17	55%	0.10	2	-0.04	4	100%	0.01
Precious Achiuwa	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.01	5	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gary Trent Jr.	0.02	0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.03	-0.00	0.02	12	48%	0.02	0	0.00	3	67%	-0.02
Justin Champagnie	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yuta Watanabe	0.00	0	0.00	0.00	0.00	0	0%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
OG Anunoby	-0.03	0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.04,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03	-0.05	-0.02	-0.04	13	44%	0.04	3	-0.07	1	0%	-0.01

Washington Wizards
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Montrezl Harrell	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.04,0.22,0.22	0.22	0.08	0.18	0.04	5	91%	0.25	1	-0.02	1	100%	0.02
Spencer Dinwiddie	0,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.18,0.18,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.13	0.13	0.14	0.02	0.03	10	85%	0.16	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Rui Hachimura	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0,0,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.1,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.01	-0.01	-0.03	12	46%	0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Daniel Gafford	0,0,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	0.03	-0.01	0.01	5	67%	0.04	1	-0.04	2	100%	0.01
Davis Bertans	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	-0.02	4	25%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Thomas Bryant	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.01	-0.01	6	36%	-0.01	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Raul Neto	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	-0.01	0.00	1	100%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	0,0,0.03,0.03,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	0.01	-0.02	0.01	8	62%	0.03	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Corey Kispert	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.00	-0.02	-0.00	7	43%	-0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Deni Avdija	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0,-0.02,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.03	0.00	8	56%	0.02	2	-0.05	0	0%	0.00
Bradley Beal	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.03,-0.01,0,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.11,-0.17,-0.17,-0.17,-0.14,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.16,-0.15,-0.13,-0.13,-0.15,-0.13,-0.1,-0.07,-0.11,-0.17,-0.2,-0.21	-0.21	-0.07	-0.10	0.03	19	58%	0.01	9	-0.22	5	80%	0.02

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	22.4	2.3	25.5	15.5	25.3	1.8	32.3	125.2
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

TOR +19.4%

TOR +4.7%

WAS -1.6%

TOR +28.3%

WAS -0.8%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	TOR	WAS	NBA	TOR	WAS	NBA
this game	15.2	15.4	14.5	114.7	112.9	110.8
season	14.9	14.9		111.3	109.8
opponent	14.4	14.8		113.1	109.9

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
TOR	13.1	13.8	14.5	20.0	15.2
WAS	16.3	16.2	15.5	13.4	15.4

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Toronto Raptors
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Fred VanVleet	78	77	0.54	-0.04	0.57	0.30	8	-4	12	14.7	17.6	-2.90	15.2	16.4	-1.22
Gary Trent Jr.	56	58	0.48	0.02	0.47	0.51	-1	5	-6	15.7	14.5	1.23	15.0	16.2	-1.23
Precious Achiuwa	39	36	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.07	11	-7	18	14.5	15.7	-1.18	17.1	14.4	2.74
Pascal Siakam	82	81	0.39	0.11	0.28	0.36	1	3	-2	15.5	13.1	2.47	15.1	17.5	-2.38
Scottie Barnes	78	75	0.29	0.21	0.07	0.43	-5	9	-14	15.8	12.5	3.34	15.4	15.5	-0.09
OG Anunoby	81	80	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.40	-7	11	-18	15.6	12.9	2.76	15.2	16.7	-1.47
Chris Boucher	44	43	0.14	0.36	-0.22	-0.15	10	-6	16	14.5	15.8	-1.37	15.6	15.3	0.37
Justin Champagnie	5	4	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.03	5	-1	6	13.2	15.3	-2.12	15.7	15.4	0.33
Yuta Watanabe	12	11	-0.04	0.54	-0.58	0.02	-2	6	-8	13.1	15.5	-2.43	16.8	15.2	1.57

Washington Wizards
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Daniel Gafford	24	24	0.22	-0.72	0.95	-0.13	12	-16	28	14.5	15.7	-1.20	14.6	15.4	-0.84
Davis Bertans	23	25	-0.05	-0.45	0.39	0.01	-2	-2	0	17.0	14.9	2.03	15.4	15.2	0.20
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope	57	56	-0.08	-0.42	0.35	-0.34	9	-13	22	14.6	16.7	-2.06	15.7	14.5	1.14
Spencer Dinwiddie	75	76	-0.18	-0.32	0.14	-0.42	8	-12	20	15.4	15.4	-0.02	15.7	13.4	2.24
Corey Kispert	32	32	-0.19	-0.31	0.11	-0.02	-6	2	-8	16.5	14.9	1.63	13.9	15.9	-1.92
Montrezl Harrell	42	43	-0.26	-0.24	-0.01	-0.23	-1	-3	2	14.8	16.0	-1.18	16.9	13.8	3.01
Deni Avdija	62	62	-0.26	-0.24	-0.03	-0.29	1	-5	6	14.8	16.6	-1.82	15.4	14.9	0.42
Raul Neto	10	11	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.05	-12	8	-20	16.4	15.3	1.09	12.8	15.5	-2.71
Bradley Beal	77	79	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.38	-1	-3	2	14.9	18.0	-3.10	15.5	13.9	1.53
Rui Hachimura	36	39	-0.42	-0.08	-0.35	-0.04	-13	9	-22	16.7	14.6	2.06	14.5	15.7	-1.14
Thomas Bryant	27	28	-0.47	-0.03	-0.43	-0.03	-15	11	-26	17.2	14.7	2.53	13.2	16.0	-2.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.56,0.59,0.57,0.59,0.61,0.6,0.66,0.65,0.69,0.71,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.74,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.61,0.71,0.61,0.54,0.56,0.46,0.5,0.57,0.46,0.51,0.55,0.58,0.48,0.41,0.27,0.34,0.2,0.06,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.09,0.13,0.15,0.11,0.06,0.42,0
Game		Similarity Score
HOU 98, PHX 97	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.1,0	91.8%
NOH 109, WAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.68,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.09,0.1,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	91.3%
LAC 122, MIA 117	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.52,0.55,0.52,0.64,0.62,0.74,0.73,0.72,0.66,0.7,0.66,0.74,0.72,0.68,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.64,0.69,0.56,0.61,0.56,0.51,0.57,0.63,0.61,0.54,0.55,0.55,0.45,0.45,0.37,0.33,0.18,0.03,0.05,0.09,0.01,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0,0.01,0.01,0	91.0%