NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	98		Excitement	6.9 [460]		MVP	Dikembe Mutombo (HOU): +8.7%
Phoenix Suns	97		Comeback	3.4 [178]		LVP	Bob Sura (HOU): -22.6%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Dikembe Mutombo	0.09	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09	0.07	0.01	-0.01	6	75%	0.09	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Jon Barry	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	-0.00	0.04	-0.05	6	42%	0.08	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Tracy McGrady	0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.03	0.03	0.00	25	55%	0.08	1	-0.02	12	75%	0.00
Scott Padgett	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	-0.00	3	50%	0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Mike James	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.06,-0.06,0.01,0.01,0.01	-0.06	0.03	-0.03	9	30%	0.01	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
David Wesley	-0.01	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	0.02	0.01	0.04	9	50%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Yao Ming	-0.02	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.02,-0.02	-0.03	0.01	0.00	9	50%	0.02	2	-0.05	2	100%	0.01
Ryan Bowen	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.00	0.01	8	37%	-0.03	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Clar. Weatherspoon	-0.05	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.07	0.00	-0.02	3	0%	-0.03	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Bob Sura	-0.23	0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.23	-0.04	-0.19	-0.00	12	45%	-0.19	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.17

Phoenix Suns
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Shawn Marion	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.13,0.13,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.09	-0.01	0.02	16	62%	0.10	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Amar'e Stoudemire	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0,0,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.04,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,-0.01,0.01,-0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	-0.00	0.01	20	62%	0.10	2	-0.06	12	83%	0.03
Jim Jackson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.00	-0.01	-0.01	6	42%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Joe Johnson	0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.05	-0.03	0.03	14	57%	0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Walter McCarty	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.04	0.00	-0.02	1	0%	-0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Leandro Barbosa	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05	-0.05	-0.04	-0.01	-0.00	2	33%	-0.03	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Quentin Richardson	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13,-0.13	-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.01	7	0%	-0.11	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Steven Hunter	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.16	-0.16	-0.07	-0.10	-0.00	6	21%	-0.16	0	0.00	2	50%	-0.01
Steve Nash	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.07,-0.03,0.02,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.03,-0.06,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,-0.2	-0.20	-0.02	-0.18	0.00	19	50%	-0.13	3	-0.07	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.2	3.7	31.2	17.5	25.3	0.2	39.2	142.4
league avg	51.6	2.4	28.6	12.7	25.1	2.1	30.4	153.9

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +41.7%

PHX -3.8%

HOU +6.7%

HOU +1.3%

HOU +4.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	PHX	NBA	HOU	PHX	NBA
this game	16.3	14.7	15.5	106.5	103.2	104.0
season	16.0	13.5		104.2	112.9
opponent	16.0	15.8		106.2	100.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	15.9	16.0	14.6	19.0	16.3
PHX	13.5	16.7	15.4	13.1	14.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Dikembe Mutombo	47	46	1.03	-0.53	1.57	0.45	20	-19	39	15.8	16.9	-1.10	14.7	14.6	0.16
Ryan Bowen	55	53	0.79	-0.29	1.07	0.20	20	-19	39	14.9	18.4	-3.48	17.2	11.4	5.76
Tracy McGrady	86	88	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.47	0	1	-1	16.7	11.7	4.98	14.0	23.8	-9.80
David Wesley	67	70	0.47	0.03	0.45	0.41	2	-1	3	16.4	16.1	0.34	13.8	17.2	-3.37
Mike James	35	35	0.38	0.12	0.26	0.53	-5	6	-11	17.7	15.5	2.15	16.3	13.7	2.68
Bob Sura	57	59	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.06	6	-5	11	15.5	17.7	-2.15	13.7	16.3	-2.68
Jon Barry	39	41	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.16	-4	5	-9	16.8	15.9	0.90	14.4	14.9	-0.48
Scott Padgett	15	15	-0.05	0.55	-0.59	-0.02	-1	2	-3	15.7	16.5	-0.79	17.7	14.1	3.58
Clar. Weatherspoon	14	15	-0.23	0.73	-0.96	0.18	-14	15	-29	18.6	15.9	2.73	11.2	15.3	-4.12
Yao Ming	45	48	-0.53	1.03	-1.57	0.02	-19	20	-39	16.9	15.8	1.10	14.6	14.7	-0.16

Phoenix Suns
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Walter McCarty	10	9	0.17	-0.67	0.84	-0.10	9	-10	19	9.7	15.2	-5.55	20.2	15.9	4.32
Leandro Barbosa	23	23	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	6	-13	16.0	14.2	1.72	15.3	16.7	-1.30
Amar'e Stoudemire	70	70	-0.20	-0.30	0.09	-0.29	3	-4	7	15.1	13.4	1.73	16.1	16.9	-0.77
Jim Jackson	37	36	-0.25	-0.25	-0.00	0.04	-10	9	-19	15.7	14.0	1.72	15.4	16.9	-1.59
Steven Hunter	31	29	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.19	-3	2	-5	15.4	14.3	1.13	15.8	16.6	-0.78
Quentin Richardson	63	62	-0.27	-0.23	-0.05	-0.51	8	-9	17	14.9	14.1	0.79	16.4	16.1	0.34
Steve Nash	71	69	-0.37	-0.13	-0.23	-0.54	6	-7	13	14.2	16.0	-1.72	16.7	15.3	1.30
Joe Johnson	88	86	-0.47	-0.03	-0.45	-0.47	0	-1	1	14.0	23.8	-9.80	16.7	11.7	4.98
Shawn Marion	77	76	-0.69	0.19	-0.88	-0.37	-11	10	-21	14.6	14.9	-0.34	16.2	16.7	-0.51

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.57,0.59,0.63,0.69,0.71,0.74,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.65,0.6,0.62,0.64,0.67,0.67,0.7,0.73,0.73,0.66,0.58,0.56,0.51,0.6,0.63,0.62,0.52,0.49,0.43,0.36,0.24,0.21,0.19,0.15,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.04,0.12,0.17,0.2,0.1,0.07,0.11,0.09,0.1,0
Game		Similarity Score
NOH 109, WAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.54,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.61,0.66,0.7,0.68,0.7,0.66,0.64,0.65,0.64,0.71,0.73,0.71,0.71,0.75,0.68,0.61,0.54,0.58,0.51,0.5,0.48,0.51,0.55,0.52,0.52,0.38,0.2,0.16,0.17,0.09,0.1,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.11,0.07,0.06,0.11,0.17,0.05,0.03,0,0,0	93.5%
CHH 93, NJN 87	0.5,0.51,0.56,0.58,0.57,0.64,0.66,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.7,0.68,0.66,0.72,0.72,0.7,0.75,0.75,0.72,0.72,0.71,0.69,0.61,0.61,0.61,0.67,0.55,0.55,0.61,0.52,0.49,0.35,0.32,0.28,0.18,0.09,0.05,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.03,0.06,0.03,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.3%
MIL 87, MIN 72	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.51,0.55,0.56,0.56,0.65,0.63,0.65,0.63,0.67,0.62,0.66,0.64,0.62,0.6,0.62,0.65,0.61,0.66,0.66,0.67,0.67,0.66,0.63,0.65,0.6,0.55,0.45,0.48,0.45,0.32,0.31,0.23,0.2,0.1,0.08,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.01,0.01,0,0.01,0.01,0,0,0,0	93.1%