NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Miami Heat	108		Excitement	5.9 [666]		MVP	Kevin Huerter (ATL): +19.6%
Atlanta Hawks	110		Comeback	1.8 [677]		LVP	Jimmy Butler (MIA): -22.2%

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Duncan Robinson	0.19	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.19	0.10	0.12	0.03	11	76%	0.25	3	-0.06	3	67%	-0.01
Bam Adebayo	0.04	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.06	0.00	0.02	13	64%	0.11	3	-0.07	7	100%	0.03
Omer Yurtseven	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.02	0.01	0.00	2	100%	0.05	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Dewayne Dedmon	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.00	0.01	3	67%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Vincent	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.05	-0.02	0.02	9	78%	0.10	3	-0.08	0	0%	0.00
Max Strus	0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.14,0.12,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.01	0.00	-0.00	-0.02	16	47%	0.04	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Kyle Guy	0.00	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	0.03	-0.00	0.02	4	62%	0.00	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Caleb Martin	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.04,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.00	-0.02	-0.01	10	55%	0.03	2	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
P.J. Tucker	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	33%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	-0.22	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,-0.22	-0.04	-0.19	-0.01	14	43%	-0.19	2	-0.04	2	100%	0.03

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kevin Huerter	0,0,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.21,0.21,0.2,0.2,0.2	0.20	0.16	0.06	0.02	13	81%	0.22	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Clint Capela	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.06	0.07	0.01	3	100%	0.12	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
John Collins	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.13	0.00	0.03	8	83%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Delon Wright	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.08	0.01	0.00	4	90%	0.10	0	0.00	2	100%	0.01
Lou Williams	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05	0.05	0.02	0.00	-0.03	9	50%	0.05	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.03,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.05,0.05,0.05,0,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.03,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.01,0.01,0,0.06,0.03,0.04	0.04	-0.03	0.04	-0.03	15	62%	0.19	8	-0.15	15	80%	-0.02
De'Andre Hunter	0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.04,-0.07,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,0,-0.02,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0	0.00	-0.02	0.00	-0.02	11	52%	0.05	3	-0.05	3	67%	-0.01
Kevin Knox II	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.00	0.00	0.00	0.01	2	75%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	3	75%	0.03	3	-0.06	2	100%	0.01

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	24.2	2.0	27.1	15.4	29.2	2.6	36.5	137.1
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

ATL +40.6%

ATL +5.1%

ATL +11.3%

MIA -11.1%

ATL +4.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIA	ATL	NBA	MIA	ATL	NBA
this game	15.2	15.8	14.5	116.1	118.3	110.8
season	14.9	14.6		112.0	114.3
opponent	14.5	14.9		113.2	107.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIA	16.4	16.5	13.8	14.1	15.2
ATL	16.3	14.2	15.7	17.2	15.8

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Tucker	16	15	0.03	-0.53	0.56	0.00	1	-3	4	16.9	14.8	2.16	16.2	15.7	0.46
Duncan Robinson	54	56	-0.01	-0.49	0.48	-0.33	11	-13	24	14.9	15.5	-0.54	17.8	12.8	4.95
Kyle Guy	25	24	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.09	0	-2	2	15.6	15.0	0.67	14.2	16.4	-2.17
Omer Yurtseven	13	13	-0.12	-0.38	0.26	-0.00	-4	2	-6	13.8	15.4	-1.61	18.5	15.4	3.16
Dewayne Dedmon	31	28	-0.22	-0.28	0.06	0.07	-10	8	-18	14.5	15.5	-1.00	13.6	16.8	-3.16
Bam Adebayo	62	65	-0.27	-0.23	-0.04	-0.50	8	-10	18	15.5	14.5	1.00	16.8	13.6	3.16
Jimmy Butler	70	69	-0.31	-0.19	-0.11	-0.36	2	-4	6	15.5	14.0	1.59	15.9	15.7	0.15
Gabe Vincent	74	74	-0.40	-0.10	-0.30	-0.11	-10	8	-18	14.9	16.1	-1.13	16.0	15.0	1.03
Max Strus	64	65	-0.41	-0.09	-0.32	-0.44	1	-3	4	15.0	15.5	-0.53	15.2	17.3	-2.10
Caleb Martin	55	55	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.27	-9	7	-16	15.1	15.3	-0.19	14.5	17.8	-3.33

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Clint Capela	50	51	0.56	-0.06	0.63	0.12	15	-13	28	14.1	17.8	-3.71	15.8	14.3	1.53
Delon Wright	56	54	0.50	-0.00	0.50	0.65	-5	7	-12	15.1	16.9	-1.87	14.5	16.1	-1.55
Kevin Huerter	69	68	0.41	0.09	0.32	0.32	3	-1	4	16.2	14.8	1.38	16.0	12.8	3.21
Trae Young	71	72	0.39	0.11	0.27	0.44	-2	4	-6	15.8	16.0	-0.18	15.0	15.6	-0.54
De'Andre Hunter	67	67	0.25	0.25	0.01	0.52	-9	11	-20	16.2	14.7	1.51	15.1	15.2	-0.00
Lou Williams	28	29	0.20	0.30	-0.10	0.02	6	-4	10	15.1	16.1	-0.96	14.4	15.5	-1.12
Kevin Knox II	31	31	0.14	0.36	-0.21	-0.00	5	-3	8	14.7	16.4	-1.61	14.5	15.5	-1.00
Onyeka Okongwu	48	48	0.14	0.36	-0.23	0.31	-6	8	-14	17.9	13.6	4.25	14.4	16.0	-1.65
John Collins	46	46	0.08	0.42	-0.35	-0.01	3	-1	4	16.2	15.5	0.71	15.7	14.6	1.08

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.51,0.51,0.44,0.47,0.49,0.41,0.39,0.45,0.51,0.47,0.42,0.52,0.58,0.6,0.62,0.56,0.54,0.56,0.71,0.66,0.66,0.77,0.82,0.75,0.79,0.82,0.78,0.64,0.67,0.74,0.86,0.92,0.89,0.96,0.97,0.95,0.92,0.9,0.97,0.98,0.94,0.94,0.93,0.98,0.93,0.91,0.91,1
Game		Similarity Score
POR 72, TOR 83	0.5,0.49,0.52,0.48,0.48,0.44,0.44,0.45,0.46,0.39,0.39,0.4,0.42,0.52,0.6,0.56,0.58,0.6,0.6,0.65,0.69,0.69,0.71,0.7,0.7,0.78,0.79,0.77,0.72,0.74,0.73,0.82,0.8,0.86,0.8,0.91,0.93,0.94,0.95,0.94,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.98,0.97,0.99,0.98,1,1,1	94.6%
MIN 101, PHX 108	0.5,0.51,0.46,0.43,0.46,0.44,0.44,0.43,0.47,0.49,0.45,0.49,0.51,0.46,0.49,0.58,0.58,0.51,0.56,0.61,0.64,0.54,0.66,0.72,0.67,0.67,0.76,0.75,0.72,0.7,0.7,0.82,0.85,0.91,0.9,0.94,0.98,0.99,0.99,0.98,0.95,0.93,0.97,0.94,0.98,0.94,0.99,1,1,1	94.3%
NJN 93, CHI 100	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.48,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.49,0.47,0.53,0.51,0.54,0.6,0.58,0.55,0.58,0.63,0.61,0.66,0.61,0.66,0.72,0.78,0.75,0.79,0.81,0.76,0.73,0.76,0.76,0.83,0.75,0.85,0.86,0.87,0.95,0.96,0.98,0.93,0.85,0.89,0.89,0.95,0.99,0.97,0.98,0.99,1	94.2%