NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Houston Rockets	116		Excitement	8.2 [241]		MVP	Garrison Mathews (HOU): +35.9%
Utah Jazz	111		Comeback	7.5 [30]		LVP	Jalen Green (HOU): -13.7%

Houston Rockets
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Garrison Mathews	0.36	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.13,0.14,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.29,0.36	0.19	0.15	-0.02	10	77%	0.36	0	0.00	10	80%	0.05
Jae'Sean Tate	0.20	0,0,0.02,0.04,0.07,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.1,-0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.2,0.2	0.06	0.15	0.01	16	55%	0.24	1	-0.04	1	100%	0.01
Armoni Brooks	0.19	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0.11,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.07	0.11	-0.01	5	82%	0.19	0	0.00	1	0%	-0.01
Kevin Porter Jr.	0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.13	0.06	0.07	0.01	12	62%	0.15	1	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
Eric Gordon	0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.07,0.07	0.10	-0.02	0.00	10	76%	0.17	1	-0.10	1	100%	0.01
Christian Wood	0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,-0.04,0.01,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.03	-0.01	0.04	-0.00	12	50%	0.09	2	-0.07	2	0%	-0.05
Josh Christopher	0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	-0.00	0.02	-0.00	7	43%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Alperen Sengun	-0.02	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.02	6	50%	0.05	2	-0.07	2	100%	0.02
Kenyon Martin Jr.	-0.07	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07	-0.04	-0.03	-0.00	5	20%	-0.07	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jalen Green	-0.14	0,0,0,0,0.02,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,-0.03,-0.08,-0.1,-0.1,-0.1,-0.12,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14,-0.14	-0.10	-0.04	-0.00	13	27%	-0.12	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00

Utah Jazz
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Bojan Bogdanovic	0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0,0,-0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.12,0.08,0.17,0.17,0.19	0.19	0.05	0.11	-0.03	27	50%	0.22	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.04
Mike Conley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.14,0.14,0.09,0.19,0.18	0.18	0.09	0.10	0.00	12	61%	0.18	0	0.00	4	100%	0.02
Rudy Gobert	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.07,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.19,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.18,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.17,0.17,0.2,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.15	0.15	0.13	0.03	0.01	13	70%	0.18	1	-0.03	7	71%	-0.05
Jordan Clarkson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.03,0.02,0.06,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.04,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.12	0.12	0.04	0.07	-0.01	13	61%	0.20	3	-0.09	5	80%	0.00
Joe Ingles	0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.04	0.00	0.00	9	56%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Danuel House Jr.	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02	0.02	0.01	0.00	-0.00	4	50%	0.02	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Trent Forrest	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	4	50%	-0.00	1	-0.02	0	0%	0.00
Udoka Azubuike	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09	-0.09	-0.06	-0.03	0.00	2	50%	-0.00	3	-0.09	0	0%	0.00
Royce O'Neale	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.13	-0.13	-0.02	-0.11	-0.00	5	30%	-0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	25.3	2.7	22.5	15.3	25.1	1.5	38.3	130.7
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

HOU +42.7%

UTA -6.2%

HOU +18.4%

UTA -11.0%

HOU +6.2%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	HOU	UTA	NBA	HOU	UTA	NBA
this game	15.7	14.3	14.5	120.8	115.6	110.8
season	14.4	14.8		107.5	115.1
opponent	14.7	13.9		110.0	115.7

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
HOU	14.2	17.2	15.8	15.6	15.7
UTA	16.5	12.8	14.9	13.2	14.3

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Houston Rockets
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Garrison Mathews	59	59	0.95	-0.45	1.40	0.30	22	-17	39	15.4	16.1	-0.76	14.5	14.0	0.50
Armoni Brooks	26	25	0.69	-0.19	0.88	0.10	20	-15	35	14.3	16.2	-1.92	16.2	13.7	2.47
Kenyon Martin Jr.	36	35	0.64	-0.14	0.77	0.17	16	-11	27	14.9	16.1	-1.24	15.5	13.7	1.86
Christian Wood	64	65	0.28	0.21	0.07	0.20	3	2	1	15.0	17.0	-1.95	14.8	13.5	1.30
Kevin Porter Jr.	62	62	0.26	0.24	0.03	0.21	2	3	-1	15.2	16.6	-1.38	14.7	13.6	1.11
Eric Gordon	72	73	0.23	0.27	-0.04	0.26	-1	6	-7	15.6	15.7	-0.11	13.5	17.0	-3.45
Alperen Sengun	32	31	0.21	0.28	-0.07	0.16	2	3	-1	17.0	15.0	1.95	13.5	14.8	-1.30
Jae'Sean Tate	52	52	-0.14	0.64	-0.79	0.27	-14	19	-33	16.1	15.2	0.90	13.5	15.3	-1.73
Josh Christopher	32	32	-0.18	0.68	-0.87	0.14	-11	16	-27	17.8	14.6	3.22	14.0	14.5	-0.45
Jalen Green	45	46	-0.44	0.94	-1.38	-0.03	-14	19	-33	16.2	15.2	1.00	14.1	14.6	-0.47

Utah Jazz
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Joe Ingles	63	61	-0.09	-0.41	0.32	-0.23	5	-10	15	13.6	15.7	-2.03	15.6	15.9	-0.30
Danuel House Jr.	23	21	-0.14	-0.36	0.22	-0.05	-3	-2	-1	14.2	14.4	-0.15	15.4	15.7	-0.30
Rudy Gobert	75	71	-0.17	-0.33	0.16	-0.23	2	-7	9	14.1	15.3	-1.22	15.8	15.4	0.41
Trent Forrest	29	29	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.02	-6	1	-7	14.9	14.1	0.81	15.6	15.7	-0.16
Royce O'Neale	72	73	-0.26	-0.24	-0.02	-0.26	0	-5	5	14.4	14.2	0.17	15.7	15.6	0.13
Mike Conley	67	67	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	-0.33	1	-6	7	14.1	14.9	-0.81	15.7	15.6	0.16
Udoka Azubuike	21	25	-0.33	-0.17	-0.16	-0.12	-7	2	-9	15.3	14.1	1.22	15.4	15.8	-0.41
Bojan Bogdanovic	73	75	-0.36	-0.14	-0.22	-0.30	-2	-3	1	14.4	14.2	0.15	15.7	15.4	0.30
Jordan Clarkson	57	58	-0.65	0.15	-0.81	-0.21	-15	10	-25	15.1	13.3	1.77	15.7	15.6	0.19

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.45,0.42,0.42,0.44,0.43,0.37,0.41,0.45,0.36,0.38,0.32,0.4,0.34,0.36,0.35,0.39,0.37,0.48,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.59,0.63,0.76,0.77,0.7,0.78,0.86,0.82,0.8,0.69,0.63,0.44,0.36,0.42,0.31,0.38,0.33,0.23,0.11,0.12,0.14,0.19,0.11,0.22,0.28,0
Game		Similarity Score
BOS 97, LAC 96	0.5,0.51,0.45,0.44,0.45,0.44,0.4,0.4,0.45,0.45,0.43,0.47,0.47,0.43,0.47,0.38,0.47,0.42,0.42,0.52,0.52,0.59,0.56,0.56,0.61,0.67,0.69,0.69,0.69,0.73,0.7,0.68,0.71,0.65,0.59,0.56,0.4,0.38,0.34,0.18,0.13,0.12,0.11,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.24,0.26,0	92.1%
UTA 110, PHI 102	0.5,0.51,0.51,0.54,0.5,0.5,0.47,0.49,0.51,0.47,0.45,0.47,0.49,0.35,0.42,0.36,0.42,0.4,0.42,0.49,0.51,0.49,0.46,0.51,0.54,0.54,0.66,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.71,0.79,0.71,0.59,0.66,0.56,0.52,0.46,0.44,0.34,0.21,0.15,0.1,0.12,0.1,0.07,0.04,0.03,0.05,0	91.1%
TOR 109, DAL 104	0.5,0.49,0.44,0.46,0.5,0.44,0.42,0.39,0.41,0.35,0.33,0.32,0.38,0.35,0.38,0.47,0.51,0.53,0.46,0.47,0.39,0.39,0.44,0.51,0.56,0.5,0.62,0.77,0.8,0.78,0.76,0.74,0.68,0.66,0.63,0.48,0.4,0.38,0.3,0.15,0.17,0.23,0.17,0.06,0.07,0.14,0.22,0.03,0.08,0	91.0%