NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Minnesota Timberwolves	112		Excitement	10.0 [71]		MVP	Karl-Anthony Towns (MIN): +35.4%
New York Knicks	110		Comeback	5.5 [333]		LVP	RJ Barrett (NYK): -41.0%

Minnesota Timberwolves
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Karl-Anthony Towns	0.35	0,0,0,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.03,-0.03,0.35	0.09	0.29	0.02	12	65%	0.43	2	-0.07	7	86%	0.06
Jaylen Nowell	0.14	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.08,-0.07,0.04,0.04,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.03	0.11	-0.00	12	50%	0.14	0	0.00	4	75%	0.02
D'Angelo Russell	0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.02,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.09,0.09,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.05	0.07	0.00	11	68%	0.23	3	-0.12	3	100%	0.05
Naz Reid	0.08	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08	0.08	0.00	0.00	2	90%	0.08	0	0.00	6	100%	0.03
Malik Beasley	0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.06,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.09,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06	0.06	0.00	-0.00	8	62%	0.06	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jarred Vanderbilt	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	0.00	0.00	3	40%	-0.01	0	0.00	4	50%	-0.04
Taurean Prince	-0.01	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	50%	0.01	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Anthony Edwards	-0.06	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.02,0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.07,0.1,0.1,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.03,0.08,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.09,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	0.02	-0.06	0.01	17	55%	0.09	4	-0.14	4	75%	-0.00
Patrick Beverley	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,0.02,0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.04	-0.02	-0.00	7	39%	-0.02	1	-0.03	4	50%	-0.09
Jaden McDaniels	-0.12	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,0,0,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.12,-0.12	-0.04	-0.09	-0.01	8	40%	-0.10	1	-0.02	4	50%	-0.08

New York Knicks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Kemba Walker	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.02,0.09,0.16,0.29,0.19,0.19,0.19	0.18	0.09	0.10	0.01	13	61%	0.25	1	-0.07	5	60%	-0.03
Julius Randle	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.01,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.07,-0.07,-0.04,-0.04,-0.06,-0.06,0,0.05,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.1,0.1,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.05	0.05	-0.01	0.05	-0.01	15	51%	0.11	3	-0.07	11	82%	-0.07
Mitchell Robinson	0,0,0,0,0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.06	0.00	0.03	5	80%	0.04	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Quentin Grimes	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04	0.04	0.01	0.02	-0.00	3	43%	0.04	0	0.00	1	100%	0.01
Immanuel Quickley	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03	0.03	0.02	0.00	0.00	2	75%	0.05	1	-0.02	4	75%	-0.00
Evan Fournier	0,0,0.03,0.04,0.04,0.03,0.03,0.06,0.06,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.24,0.24,0.35,0.35,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.24,0.17,0.02	0.02	0.17	-0.14	0.02	17	75%	0.13	2	-0.11	2	100%	0.03
Taj Gibson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01	0.01	0.00	0.01	0.00	3	62%	0.03	1	-0.02	2	50%	-0.01
Obi Toppin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02	-0.02	-0.01	-0.01	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	1	-0.02	2	100%	0.01
Alec Burks	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.07,-0.12	-0.12	-0.09	-0.04	-0.01	3	0%	-0.09	2	-0.03	0	0%	0.00
RJ Barrett	0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.05,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.09,-0.07,-0.07,-0.05,-0.07,-0.09,-0.11,-0.07,-0.12,-0.11,-0.09,-0.11,-0.11,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.11,-0.19,-0.14,-0.14,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.19,-0.18,-0.32,-0.41	-0.41	-0.14	-0.26	0.00	16	45%	-0.09	7	-0.32	6	50%	-0.06

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	26.6	1.8	31.4	14.8	35.2	2.4	41.4	153.6
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIN +19.1%

MIN +24.4%

NYK -8.8%

MIN +21.0%

NYK -5.7%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	MIN	NYK	NBA	MIN	NYK	NBA
this game	13.3	15.7	14.5	112.0	111.1	110.8
season	13.9	15.1		112.6	109.4
opponent	14.6	14.4		109.6	110.6

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
MIN	13.6	12.5	13.8	13.3	13.3
NYK	13.6	16.3	15.6	17.4	15.7

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Minnesota Timberwolves
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Anthony Edwards	81	80	0.77	-0.27	1.03	0.53	8	-6	14	13.8	11.2	2.64	15.7	15.3	0.42
Patrick Beverley	62	61	0.74	-0.24	0.97	0.56	6	-4	10	13.5	13.0	0.53	15.9	15.2	0.72
Karl-Anthony Towns	76	74	0.40	0.10	0.29	0.48	-3	5	-8	13.0	14.2	-1.20	15.5	16.0	-0.51
Jaylen Nowell	49	48	0.17	0.33	-0.16	0.05	4	-2	6	12.6	14.0	-1.43	15.7	15.6	0.06
Jaden McDaniels	41	41	0.16	0.34	-0.18	0.31	-5	7	-12	12.0	14.2	-2.24	15.8	15.5	0.29
Naz Reid	24	25	0.10	0.40	-0.29	-0.04	5	-3	8	14.2	13.0	1.20	16.0	15.5	0.51
Malik Beasley	36	34	0.09	0.41	-0.31	-0.11	7	-5	12	13.1	13.4	-0.30	16.3	15.3	1.02
Jarred Vanderbilt	70	72	0.05	0.45	-0.39	0.05	0	2	-2	13.6	12.6	1.00	15.2	17.0	-1.80
D'Angelo Russell	53	51	0.04	0.46	-0.41	0.34	-10	12	-22	13.9	12.6	1.33	14.9	16.5	-1.56
Taurean Prince	8	9	-0.02	0.52	-0.54	0.04	-2	4	-6	12.0	13.4	-1.41	17.8	15.4	2.33

New York Knicks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Taj Gibson	52	52	0.24	-0.74	0.97	0.18	2	-4	6	16.0	15.3	0.68	12.7	13.9	-1.23
Mitchell Robinson	40	41	-0.03	-0.47	0.45	-0.03	0	-2	2	14.9	16.2	-1.23	15.0	12.2	2.80
Evan Fournier	77	77	-0.13	-0.37	0.24	-0.45	11	-13	24	15.8	15.3	0.49	13.4	12.8	0.62
Quentin Grimes	36	37	-0.13	-0.37	0.23	0.07	-7	5	-12	15.7	15.7	0.02	12.2	13.9	-1.72
Julius Randle	81	81	-0.20	-0.30	0.11	-0.46	9	-11	20	15.5	16.2	-0.69	13.2	13.7	-0.47
Kemba Walker	59	58	-0.27	-0.23	-0.03	-0.47	7	-9	16	16.0	15.1	0.93	14.0	12.3	1.75
Obi Toppin	18	19	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.02	-11	9	-20	16.2	15.5	0.69	13.7	13.2	0.47
Immanuel Quickley	21	23	-0.43	-0.07	-0.36	-0.08	-12	10	-22	14.8	15.9	-1.08	12.1	13.6	-1.52
Alec Burks	36	37	-0.62	0.12	-0.75	-0.48	-5	3	-8	15.6	15.7	-0.16	12.2	13.9	-1.68
RJ Barrett	75	75	-0.63	0.13	-0.75	-0.51	-4	2	-6	15.7	15.5	0.15	13.5	12.7	0.83

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.49,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.46,0.51,0.41,0.41,0.4,0.44,0.36,0.35,0.32,0.38,0.36,0.35,0.35,0.3,0.23,0.29,0.23,0.23,0.25,0.22,0.32,0.34,0.34,0.33,0.39,0.45,0.42,0.52,0.56,0.7,0.75,0.7,0.7,0.53,0.43,0.63,0.69,0.6,0.61,0.75,0.71,0.68,0.73,0
Game		Similarity Score
CLE 98, BOS 96	0.5,0.49,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.48,0.45,0.43,0.43,0.39,0.4,0.38,0.32,0.35,0.38,0.36,0.38,0.42,0.42,0.37,0.33,0.29,0.36,0.33,0.36,0.37,0.32,0.37,0.31,0.36,0.33,0.35,0.32,0.31,0.37,0.52,0.68,0.74,0.74,0.66,0.52,0.63,0.59,0.6,0.66,0.69,0.79,0.77,0.42,0	91.0%
GSW 98, MIN 95	0.5,0.49,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.48,0.52,0.57,0.45,0.51,0.43,0.38,0.42,0.4,0.4,0.31,0.27,0.31,0.31,0.32,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.33,0.39,0.3,0.34,0.4,0.49,0.52,0.55,0.59,0.55,0.62,0.73,0.63,0.6,0.54,0.48,0.57,0.57,0.58,0.59,0.53,0.55,0.76,0.63,0.78,0.59,0	90.5%
CLE 97, TOR 96	0.5,0.49,0.46,0.43,0.4,0.37,0.35,0.32,0.34,0.31,0.27,0.22,0.21,0.3,0.34,0.42,0.32,0.25,0.24,0.24,0.25,0.2,0.17,0.23,0.33,0.37,0.29,0.21,0.25,0.22,0.27,0.35,0.38,0.41,0.52,0.56,0.64,0.66,0.62,0.57,0.58,0.37,0.64,0.65,0.6,0.69,0.71,0.85,0.72,0	89.9%