NBA Win Probability Game Box Scores

NBA Win Probability Box Scores (click here for LIVE graphs)

Real Time? Pre Game Odds?

winProb
gameTime
fourFactors
pace
on/off
misc

Atlanta Hawks	118		Excitement	8.8 [152]		MVP	De'Andre Hunter (ATL): +28.0%
Miami Heat	124		Comeback	6.0 [352]		LVP	Kevin Huerter (ATL): -13.4%

Atlanta Hawks
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
De'Andre Hunter	0.28	0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.2,0.2,0.2,0.28,0.28,0.28,0.28	0.15	0.12	-0.00	10	83%	0.29	1	-0.01	4	75%	-0.00
Delon Wright	0.11	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.07	0.05	0.00	3	80%	0.11	0	0.00	4	75%	-0.00
John Collins	0.09	0,0,0,0.01,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,0,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.05,0.05,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.16,0.16,0.16,0.09,0.09	0.05	0.03	-0.01	13	57%	0.12	1	-0.03	2	100%	0.01
Danilo Gallinari	0.04	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.08,0.08,0.06,0.08,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.12,0.12,0.12,0.16,0.13,0.13,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.04	0.09	-0.05	0.00	12	62%	0.09	1	-0.04	5	100%	0.02
Gorgui Dieng	0.00	0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0	-0.02	0.00	-0.01	2	50%	0.01	1	-0.01	0	0%	0.00
Onyeka Okongwu	-0.03	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.02	-0.01	-0.00	2	71%	0.06	3	-0.09	3	33%	-0.04
Bogdan Bogdanovic	-0.03	0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03	-0.03	-0.01	-0.02	7	39%	-0.01	1	-0.02	4	100%	0.02
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	-0.06	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0.03,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06	-0.03	-0.03	-0.00	3	50%	0.00	2	-0.06	0	0%	0.00
Trae Young	-0.11	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.03,0.03,0.02,0.02,0,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.02,0.06,0.06,0.06,0.12,0.12,0.15,0.15,0.15,0.12,0.12,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.17,0.22,0.22,0.16,-0.11,-0.11	0.10	-0.21	0.01	13	73%	0.20	4	-0.32	7	100%	0.10
Kevin Huerter	-0.13	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.03,0.07,0.07,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.13	0.03	-0.15	0.01	14	52%	-0.01	1	-0.12	1	100%	0.00

Miami Heat
Player	WPA		eWPA	clWPA	gbWPA	FGA	TS%	tsWPA	TO	toWPA	FTA	FT%	ftWPA
Tyler Herro	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.01,0.01,0.04,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.03,0.03,0,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,-0.02,0.04,0.04,0,0,-0.03,0.11,0.07,0.07,0.25,0.19,0.19,0.09,0.27	0.27	0.08	0.21	0.02	16	63%	0.35	3	-0.09	6	100%	0.10
P.J. Tucker	0,0,0,-0.01,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.09,0.09,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.09,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.08,0.21,0.21	0.21	0.13	0.10	0.02	8	85%	0.24	1	-0.03	4	100%	0.06
Omer Yurtseven	0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0,0.03,0.05,0.08,0.13,0.11,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.1,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14	0.14	0.11	0.02	-0.01	9	74%	0.17	1	-0.04	5	60%	-0.02
Max Strus	0,0,0,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.09,0.1,0.12,0.15,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.14,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13,0.13	0.13	0.15	0.00	0.02	9	89%	0.13	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Jimmy Butler	0,0,0,0,0,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.02,0.04,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.05,0.03,0.03,0.04,0.06,0.06,0.09,0.07,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.07,0.1,0.07,0.03,0,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,-0.01,-0.05,-0.05,0.02,0.02,0.11	0.11	0.09	0.04	0.02	13	66%	0.17	2	-0.06	9	100%	0.05
Dewayne Dedmon	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.02,-0.02,0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0,0.03,0.09,0.09,0.07,0.07,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11,0.11	0.11	0.02	0.07	-0.01	6	75%	0.16	3	-0.06	4	100%	0.03
Kyle Lowry	0,0,0,0,-0.05,-0.05,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.03,-0.03,-0.03,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.01,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.04,0.01,0.01,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,0.04,0.04,0.18,0.1,0.1,0.1	0.10	0.02	0.06	-0.02	9	65%	0.15	3	-0.05	2	100%	0.02
Caleb Martin	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.02,-0.06,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.05	0.01	-0.03	4	25%	0.02	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00
Gabe Vincent	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01	-0.01	-0.02	0.00	-0.00	1	0%	-0.01	0	0.00	0	0%	0.00
Duncan Robinson	0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,0,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.01,-0.06,-0.06,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08,-0.08	-0.08	-0.05	-0.03	-0.00	2	0%	-0.04	1	-0.04	0	0%	0.00

Game Length Report (minutes)

	Q1		Q2		Q3		Q4	Total
this game	28.4	1.7	32.0	15.0	30.2	2.4	36.6	146.3
league avg	25.6	2.3	28.1	14.7	28.0	2.3	32.3	134.3

Win Probability Added by the Four Factors

(aka How the Game Was Won)

victory
100% WP

start
50% WP

MIA +29.6%

MIA +19.6%

ATL -29.8%

MIA +30.5%

MIA +0.1%

Pace and Efficiency Report

	seconds / possession			points / 100 possessions
all possessions	ATL	MIA	NBA	ATL	MIA	NBA
this game	15.1	15.1	14.5	124.2	129.2	110.8
season	14.6	14.9		114.3	112.0
opponent	14.9	14.5		107.6	113.2

Quarterly Pace Report (seconds per possession)

	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Total
ATL	14.0	15.7	14.5	16.4	15.1
MIA	13.7	15.0	15.5	16.3	15.1

On/Off Win Probability and Pace Statistics

Atlanta Hawks
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
Delon Wright	29	29	0.33	-0.83	1.15	-0.08	14	-20	34	13.9	15.6	-1.74	14.2	15.4	-1.21
Timothe Luwawu-Cabarrot	38	37	0.27	-0.77	1.03	-0.03	10	-16	26	14.2	15.7	-1.54	13.8	15.9	-2.11
Onyeka Okongwu	34	32	0.19	-0.69	0.87	0.10	3	-9	12	13.1	16.2	-3.19	15.9	14.6	1.28
Gorgui Dieng	30	32	0.04	-0.54	0.58	0.04	0	-6	6	15.2	15.0	0.19	14.8	15.2	-0.31
Danilo Gallinari	68	65	-0.24	-0.26	0.01	-0.54	10	-16	26	15.4	14.3	1.18	14.9	15.4	-0.54
Bogdan Bogdanovic	43	44	-0.30	-0.20	-0.11	0.20	-17	11	-28	15.2	15.0	0.23	16.0	14.2	1.75
Kevin Huerter	56	56	-0.48	-0.02	-0.46	-0.48	0	-6	6	15.5	14.6	0.92	13.9	16.7	-2.82
De'Andre Hunter	54	57	-0.54	0.04	-0.58	-0.27	-9	3	-12	15.4	14.8	0.57	16.1	13.5	2.55
Trae Young	66	67	-0.83	0.33	-1.15	-0.24	-20	14	-34	15.6	13.9	1.74	15.4	14.2	1.21
John Collins	57	61	-0.93	0.43	-1.36	-0.31	-21	15	-36	15.8	14.1	1.67	15.1	14.9	0.17

Miami Heat
	possessions		win probability				points			pace (offense)			pace (defense)
player	offense	defense	on	off	diff	cl+/-	on	off	diff	on	off	diff	on	off	diff
P.J. Tucker	64	64	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.25	19	-13	32	15.4	14.3	1.06	14.9	15.5	-0.61
Jimmy Butler	64	64	0.81	-0.31	1.12	0.25	19	-13	32	15.4	14.3	1.06	14.9	15.5	-0.61
Kyle Lowry	72	71	0.71	-0.21	0.92	0.15	19	-13	32	15.1	15.0	0.01	15.0	15.4	-0.42
Caleb Martin	41	42	0.46	0.04	0.42	0.52	-2	8	-10	14.8	15.3	-0.47	15.3	15.0	0.28
Tyler Herro	63	64	0.31	0.19	0.11	0.54	-8	14	-22	14.6	15.9	-1.31	15.6	14.1	1.45
Max Strus	41	38	0.12	0.38	-0.26	-0.23	12	-6	18	16.2	14.2	2.00	14.4	15.6	-1.23
Omer Yurtseven	55	51	0.06	0.44	-0.39	-0.18	8	-2	10	15.6	14.3	1.37	15.7	14.4	1.34
Gabe Vincent	13	12	-0.19	0.69	-0.88	0.13	-11	17	-28	14.0	15.2	-1.22	15.2	15.1	0.17
Duncan Robinson	37	38	-0.25	0.75	-1.00	0.10	-12	18	-30	14.3	15.5	-1.27	15.2	15.0	0.22
Dewayne Dedmon	30	31	-0.33	0.83	-1.17	0.08	-14	20	-34	13.6	15.7	-2.06	14.6	15.3	-0.68

Dopplegamers 0.5,0.51,0.51,0.55,0.57,0.67,0.69,0.66,0.73,0.78,0.75,0.69,0.64,0.7,0.62,0.62,0.6,0.53,0.49,0.47,0.47,0.46,0.42,0.44,0.39,0.33,0.31,0.23,0.3,0.25,0.36,0.29,0.38,0.28,0.23,0.3,0.25,0.3,0.38,0.18,0.2,0.19,0.36,0.15,0.27,0.32,0.37,0.33,0.59,1
Game		Similarity Score
DAL 98, LAL 101	0.5,0.51,0.52,0.52,0.54,0.59,0.58,0.59,0.59,0.65,0.72,0.69,0.66,0.65,0.6,0.54,0.51,0.56,0.52,0.47,0.44,0.36,0.39,0.41,0.31,0.46,0.4,0.28,0.3,0.38,0.3,0.26,0.17,0.22,0.31,0.27,0.24,0.15,0.19,0.21,0.24,0.15,0.26,0.15,0.28,0.39,0.37,0.24,0.42,1	92.0%
IND 97, WAS 98	0.5,0.51,0.49,0.51,0.53,0.54,0.6,0.66,0.67,0.65,0.65,0.68,0.64,0.68,0.66,0.58,0.55,0.6,0.61,0.59,0.54,0.54,0.44,0.46,0.41,0.42,0.31,0.25,0.36,0.27,0.24,0.29,0.15,0.18,0.1,0.14,0.18,0.26,0.18,0.14,0.24,0.27,0.31,0.24,0.33,0.38,0.28,0.22,0.72,1	91.6%
BOS 96, IND 99	0.5,0.51,0.57,0.57,0.6,0.62,0.6,0.68,0.68,0.63,0.67,0.68,0.68,0.66,0.7,0.64,0.6,0.58,0.54,0.42,0.47,0.46,0.39,0.44,0.33,0.33,0.29,0.4,0.3,0.27,0.33,0.29,0.35,0.28,0.21,0.3,0.36,0.34,0.22,0.18,0.17,0.27,0.1,0.15,0.22,0.38,0.28,0.67,0.73,1	91.5%